Wednesday's HRN top 10 speed figures + fastest maiden winners

Photo: Coady Media / Turfway Park

Love Song posted Wednesday's highest Horse Racing Nation speed figure with a 132 at Turfway Park. The 3-year-old filly by Ghostzapper won a 1 1/4-mile allowance optional claimer on synthetic at 5-2 odds for a 4 1/2-length victory. This marked her second career victory from 10 starts.

Braciole earned a 121 HRN speed figure at Aqueduct in a 6 1/2-furlong dirt allowance optional claimer. The 6-year-old gelding by Micromanage scored at 9-1 odds to capture his sixth career win from 31 starts.

Golden Symphony completed the top three with a 117 HRN speed figure at Aqueduct in a seven-furlong dirt waiver claiming race. The 4-year-old gelding by Medaglia d'Oro won at 9-2 odds, recording his third career victory from 14 starts.

Tuesday's top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
132 Love Song Ghostzapper 3F TP 8 1 1/4 syn
121 Braciole Micromanage 6G AQU 7 6 1/2f dirt
117 Golden Symphony Medaglia d'Oro 4G AQU 4 7f dirt
117 Crooked Dreams Jess's Dream 4G TAM 8 7f dirt
110 Icelander Speightster 4C TAM 9 7f dirt
110 Peace Cloud War of Will 3G TAM 4 1 1/16 dirt
109 Gracie's Delight American Pharoah 2F TP 5 6f syn
108 Bet On Bret Divisidero 3G TP 6 6 1/2f syn
108 Divine Romance Divining Rod 5M TAM 2 6f dirt
106 Embrace Me Candy Ride 5M TP 3 1 1/8 syn

Fastest maiden winners

Gracie's Delight posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 109 HRN speed figure at Turfway Park. The 2-year-old filly by American Pharoah won a six-furlong synthetic maiden special weight at 1-1 odds in her fifth career start. She is out of Ultima D, a daughter of Scat Daddy who earned $242,000, and her top sibling Ultima Grace by American Pharoah has earned $77,000.

Fric and Frac impressed with a 104 HRN speed figure in a 6 1/2-furlong dirt maiden claimer at Aqueduct. The 3-year-old gelding by Leofric won at 5-2 odds in his third career start. His dam Image of Noon by Disco Rico earned $200,000, and his top sibling Mid Day Image by Midshipman has earned $541,000.

Game for It earned a 101 HRN speed figure at Aqueduct in his debut. The 2-year-old colt by Known Agenda captured a six-furlong maiden optional claimer on dirt at 4-5 odds. He is out of Manahatta, a daughter of Old Fashioned who earned $81,000, and his top sibling Sea to Success by Anchor Down has earned $270,000.

Tuesday's top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance Winning
margin
109 Gracie's Delight American Pharoah 2F TP 5 6f syn 3 1/2
104 Fric and Frac Leofric 3G AQU 5 6 1/2f dirt nose
101 Game for It Known Agenda 2C AQU 2 6f dirt 1/2
101 Forever Man Bolt d'Oro 2G TAM 6 1 3/16 dirt 3/4
  99 Timeless Love Nyquist 3F TP 7 6f syn 1/2
  98 Zoomaha Omaha Beach 2F TP 2 5f syn 3 1/2
  94 Parlaypauline Mitole 2F TAM 5 1 3/16 dirt 1/2
  88 Chacarera Hard Spun 3F TAM 7 7f dirt 1
  83 Hit Song Maclean's Music 3F TAM 3 1 1/16 dirt 1 1/4
  79 Valdero Medaglia d'Oro 2C TAM 1 5 1/2f dirt 1/4

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure, 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure, 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure, 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

Note: For the fastest maiden winners mentioned, all dam and sibling earnings are based on North American starts only.

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