Top 10 daily HRN speed figures and fastest maidens

Photo: Bob Mayberger / Eclipse Sportswire

Gewurztraminer led Wednesday's performers with a 118 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Horseshoe Indiana in the third race. The 4-year-old gelding by Collected captured a one-mile starter optional claimer on turf at 6-1 odds in dominant fashion, winning by 7 1/4 lengths. This marked his ninth career victory in his 25th start.

Shape Note earned a 108 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs in a six-furlong dirt starter allowance. The 4-year-old gelding by Mendelssohn won at 3-1 odds by a nose to record his ninth career win from 20 starts.

Fine Vino completed the top three with a 107 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs in a one-mile maiden claimer on dirt. The 3-year-old colt by Vino Rosso dominated at 7-2 odds in a commanding win by 8 1/2 lengths, securing his first career victory in his second start.

Wednesday's top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
118 Gewurztraminer Collected 4G IND 3 1 mile turf
108 Shape Note Mendelssohn 4G CD 2 6f dirt
107 Fine Vino Vino Rosso 3C CD 9 1 mile dirt
105 Slip Mahoney Arrogate 5G CD 4 1 mile dirt
103 Outrageously Practical Joke 4F CD 8 6 1/2f dirt
103 Curlin's Gesture Curlin 5G CD 6 7f dirt
102 Mom's Palace Palace Malice 3F IND 7 5f turf
101 Company You Keep Audible 4G IND 4 1 3/16 dirt
100 Zach Pass Rush 4G IND 5 1 1/16 turf
  99 Brooklynn Drew Army Mule 4F CD 1 6f dirt

Fastest maiden winners

Fine Vino posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 107 HRN speed figure in his second start at Churchill Downs. Trained by Brad Cox, he is out of Fairy Star, a More Than Ready mare who earned $6,000, and his top sibling Aboukir Bay has earned $199,000.

Jr Jimmy impressed with a 91 HRN speed figure in a 5 1/2-furlong maiden claimer on dirt at Horseshoe Indiana in dominant fashion, winning by 6 1/2 lengths. The 2-year-old gelding by Jimmy Creed won at 6-5 odds in his sixth career start. His dam A. P. Double Cat by A.P. Indy earned $1,000, and his top sibling Runningforhome has earned $202,000.

Scot's Law earned a 90 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs in her debut. The 2-year-old filly by Tiz the Law won a six-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 15-1 odds, capturing her first career victory. She is out of Bodebabe by Bodemeister, who earned $32,000, and her top sibling is Grade 1 winner Scottish Lassie, who has earned $678,000.

Wednesday's top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
107 Fine Vino Vino Rosso 3C CD 9 1 mile dirt
  91 Jr Jimmy Jimmy Creed 2G IND 2 5 1/2f dirt
  90 Scot's Law Tiz the Law 2F CD 5 6f dirt
  89 Eltinge Unbridled Express 2F IND 6 5 1/2f dirt
  89 Signatory Man Ten Sovereigns 2C IND 8 1 mile turf
  83 Grand Luxx Instagrand 2F CD 7 6f dirt
  77 Court of Appeal Constitution 2C CD 3 1 1/16 dirt

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure, 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure, 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure, 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

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