Top 10 daily HRN speed figures and fastest maidens

Photo: Rob Simmons / Eclipse Sportswire

R Disaster led Wednesday's performers with a 132 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Saratoga in the second race. The 4-year-old filly by Awesome Slew captured a six-furlong, optional-claiming allowance race on a sloppy track at 2-5 odds. This marked her sixth career victory in her 11th career start.

Barksdale earned a 128 HRN speed figure at Saratoga in a six-furlong, optional-claiming starter race. The 4-year-old gelding by Street Sense dominated by 3 3/4 lengths at 6-5 odds for his fourth career win from 14 starts.

Bouncer completed the top three with a 126 HRN speed figure at Delaware Park in a six-furlong, optional-claiming allowance race. The 5-year-old gelding by Adios Charlie won at 3-5 odds, recording his eighth career victory from 24 starts.

Tuesday's top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
132 R Disaster Awesome Slew 4F SAR 2 6f dirt
128 Barksdale Street Sense 4G SAR 4 6f dirt
126 Bouncer Adios Charlie 5G DEL 6 6f dirt
124 Eastbostonbenny Bucchero 4G CNL 2 6f dirt
119 Passing Game Medaglia d'Oro 4G SAR 7 1 mile dirt
118 Devil Pays in Gold Uncle Lino 5M DEL 8 6f dirt
117 Dripping Gold Lemon Drop Kid 6G CNL 7 1 1/16 turf
117 Run Away Rojo Run Away and Hide 5G IND 8 1 1/16 dirt
116 Scottish Storm Mitole 4G DEL 4 1 mile dirt
113 Loco Abarrio Valiant Minister 5G SAR 8 1 mile dirt

Fastest maiden winners

Scottish Storm posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 116 HRN speed figure at Delaware Park. The 4-year-old gelding by Mitole won a one-mile maiden special weight at 2-1 odds in his eighth career start. He is out of Warm Breeze, a Grade 3-placed Street Sense mare who earned $125,000.

Gratefully impressed with a 108 HRN speed figure at Saratoga in a 5 1/2-furlong maiden claimer. The 3-year-old filly by Laoban dominated by six lengths at 6-1 odds in her debut. She is out of Selflessly, a Grade 2 winner by More Than Ready who earned $227,000.

Spirit of the Law earned a 103 HRN speed figure at Saratoga in his ninth career start. The 3-year-old gelding by Tiz the Law won a one-mile maiden special weight at 4-5 odds. His dam Bourbon Endowment by Sky Mesa earned $29,000, and top sibling Dusk by Bolt d'Oro has earned $72,000.

Tuesday's top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
116 Scottish Storm Mitole 4G DEL 4 1 mile dirt
108 Gratefully Laoban 3F SAR 9 5 1/2f dirt
103 Spirit of the Law Tiz the Law 3G SAR 5 1 mile dirt
101 Stylish Lady Violence 3F IND 3 1 1/16 dirt
  99 Chalky White Practical Joke 2C SAR 3 7f dirt
  98 Terrie T Tapiture 4F CNL 8 1 mile turf
  98 Celtic Dawn Honest Mischief 2F SAR 6 5 1/2f dirt
  97 Arise My Love Bourbon Courage 3F CNL 3 1 mile turf
  95 Cow Creek Kid Bucchero 3G IND 5 1 3/16 dirt
  82 Proton Astern 2G CNL 1 5 1/2f turf

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

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