Top 10 daily HRN speed figures and fastest maidens

Photo: Gary Johnson / Eclipse Sportswire

With an eye-popping, 17 3/4-length debut triumph Saturday at Saratoga, 2-year-old It’s Our Time posted Saturday’s highest Horse Racing Nation speed figure with a 137 performance in the seventh race.

A colt sired by Not This Time and ridden by Luis Saez, It’s Our Time captured a 6 1/2-furlong maiden sprint at 5-1 odds in his debut for trainer Tom Amoss and owner Double Down Horse Racing.

Click here for Saratoga entries and results.

Soze earned a 130 HRN figure at Monmouth Park in a six-furlong dirt allowance race. The 4-year-old gelding by Maximus Mischief won at 9-2 odds to record his sixth career win from 21 starts.

Simcoe completed the top three performers with a 130 at Woodbine in the Grade 3 Bold Venture. The 5-year-old gelding by Uncle Mo won the 6 1/2-furlong synthetic stakes at 5-1 odds, securing his sixth career victory from 18 starts.

Friday’s top 10

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
137 It’s Our Time Not This Time 2 c SAR 7 6 1/2 f dirt
130 Soze Maximus Mischief 4 g MTH 8 6 f dirt
130 Simcoe Uncle Mo 5 g WO 8 6 1/2 f syn
129 Velocity Nyquist 3 f DMR 8 1 1/8 turf
129 Nitrogen Medaglia d’Oro 3 f SAR 10 1 1/4 dirt
127 Surface to Air Midshipman 5 h MTH 5 1 1/16 dirt
126 Gettinby Petrov 3 c IND 2 5 1/2 f dirt
125 Mission North Noble Mission 4 g CNL 5 1 1/16 turf
125 Gas Me Up Hard Spun 5 g WO 10 1 mile turf
124 Ayra Stark Cosmic Trigger 5 m CNL 8 1 3/16 turf

Fastest maiden winners

It’s Our Time posted the day’s highest maiden winner figure, too, with his 137. He is out of Shea D Summer, a Summer Front mare who earned $170,000 during her racing career.

Miss Artois impressed with a 113 HRN figure in a 1 1/16-mile turf maiden race at Del Mar. The 3-year-old filly by Mucho Macho Man won at 2-1 odds in her fifth career start. Her dam Tiz Felicity, a Scat Daddy mare, earned $7,000 during her racing career.

Tennessee Belle earned a 112 HRN speed figure at Saratoga in her second career start. The 2-year-old filly by Yaupon won a six-furlong maiden race at even money. She is out of Grade 1 winner Belle Gallantey, an After Market mare who earned $1.13 million. Her top sibling Happy Runner, by Runhappy, has earned $205,000.

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
137 It’s Our Time Not This Time 2 c SAR 7 6 1/2 f dirt
113 Miss Artois Mucho Macho Man 3 f DMR 10 1 1/16 turf
112 Tennessee Belle Yaupon 2 f SAR 4 6 f dirt
110 Skynet Yoshida 3 r ELP 1 6 f dirt
108 Litmus Test Nyquist 2 c DMR 3 5 1/2 f dirt
106 Untamed Moment Outwork 3 f ELP 2 6 f dirt
100 Theoretically Higher Power 3 f IND 7 6 f dirt
  99 Road Forever Bolt d’Oro 2 c GP 7 5 1/2 f dirt
  98 Yours Sincerely Cable Bay 2 f DMR 4 1 mile turf
  98 Can’t Help Myself Violence 2 c DMR 7 6 f dirt

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN’s proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure 26.2% winners.

Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners.

Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners.

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

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