Super Screener preview: Filly can upset King’s Plate

The connections of Caitlinhergrtness gambled by supplementing their Woodbine Oaks runner-up to the King's Plate, and Mike Shutty says the Omaha Beach filly is worth a gamble in the pari-mutuel pool as well.

The King's Plate on Saturday at Woodbine is one of five stakes covered in this week’s Super Screener plus a sixth race is analyzed as part of a suggested Pick 3 play. Each race includes picks, analysis and wagering strategy.

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Back to the Plate, Shutty is taking on a well-regard Mark Casse-trained trio by picking Caitlinhergrtness.

"The main draw with this filly is what form-cycle analysis reveals," Shutty said. "After logging that pace top last out, she is primed for a six- to seven-point move forward off that last race. In addition, with this surface favoring forwardly placed types right now and the fact that the pace will be reasonable here, she’ll find a ground-saving trip comfortably traveling just two lengths off the pace and then will steadily gain on those leaders in the latter part of the turn. Coming off a pace top will sharpen her late kick to ensure plenty of stamina to the wire."

Of the Casse runners, Shutty favors Essex Serpent, thinking he suits this 1 1/4-mile trip better, especially against favored stablemate My Boy Prince, who also has a forward style.

The wagering strategy for this race leans toward a heavy use of Caitlinhergrtness in all wagers, including a straight win bet at her morning-line price.