Super Screener: Long-shot key of the weekend is in Spinaway
The Spinaway Stakes is the first Grade 1 race for 2-year-old fillies, and several future stars based on earlier maiden and stakes runs will try to make their mark in this seven-furlong race on Saturday at Saratoga.
But it is an outsider who caught Mike Shutty's eye for writing up in this week's Super Screener, as no. 3 Rileytole is a 30-1 outsider on the morning line but capable of being a part of some of the payouts here.
"As the distances get longer in stakes races for 2-year-olds, speed remains important, but a balanced energy-distribution profile takes on great performance," Shutty wrote. "Rileytole debuted at Gulfstream Park, winning going 5 1/2 furlongs and showing the necessary balance that it will take to repeat here going seven furlongs. She projects to be well reserved off the pace, but she'll begin to pick them up as she heads into the final turn, and form-cycle analysis projects a very strong finish to get on the board at a very big price."
From a win perspective, the Spinaway pits flash debut winner Tommy Jo against undefeated multiple stakes winner Mythical. Tommy Jo was so impressive in her maiden win that she is the 2-1 morning-line favorite here despite Mythical having won all three of her starts by a combined 15 1/4 lengths. Those include a 3 1/2-length romp against males in the Tremont over next-out stakes winner and subsequent $1.7 million private purchase Romeo.
"No other filly in this field exudes the kind of balance that Tommy Jo demonstrated in her excellent debut victory," Shutty wrote. "It was dominant, and the second-place finisher in that race came back to win with an impressive speed rating."
Each race in Super Screener includes picks, analysis and wagering strategy. This week's edition also includes a special guide to the all-stakes Pick 3 on Saturday at Del Mar, which includes the Pacific Classic (G1).
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