Super Screener: Closers often hit Kentucky Derby superfecta

Photo:

With a fast pace expected in the Kentucky Derby, even following the scratch of Rodríguez, that is good news for closers, if not for the win position, then certainly in multiple spots of the superfecta.

An interesting thing about front-runners in races with spirited paces: they can win, but they rarely stay on to complete the underneath positions. In the last nine Derbys, no "pace" horse was second, third or fourth, though there were six of nine winners.

This is invaluable information when structuring superfecta tickets because the all-or-nothing approach can save a lot of combos at the one-dollar minimum. This particularly applies this year to horses such as No. 1 Citizen Bull, No. 5 American Promise and No. 12 East Avenue.

"This year the pace projects to be quite hot and pressured," Super Screener author Michael Shutty says. "The Super Screener estimates very fast fractions and an advantageous situation for horses coming from off the pace."

The Kentucky Derby Super Screener is now available and includes analysis of each horse as well as groupings of rankings ranging from contenders to top longshots to tosses. There is also a full page of wagering strategy that builds tickets using each of Shutty's key opinions.

Read More

In next Saturday's Preakness , fair odds on a coupled entry of Kentucky Derby runner-up Journalism and Wood...
Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert notified Pimlico Race Course officials Thursday of his intention to enter undefeated...
Kentucky Derby-winner Sovereignty arrived early Thursday morning at Saratoga Race Course to begin his preparations for the Grade...
The Grade 3, $200,000 Peter Pan will be run on Saturday as part of the Belmont at the...
This week on HorseCenter , Brian Zipse and Matt Shifman set their sights on Pimlico and the second...