Sunday's HRN top 10 speed figures + fastest maiden winners
Goodbye Note posted the day's highest Horse Racing Nation speed figure with a 136 at Laurel Park. The 4-year-old gelding by Blofeld won a six-furlong starter optional claimer at 18-1 odds, leading at every call to win by 2 1/2 lengths. This marked his fifth career victory in his 31st start.
Dwelling Legacy earned a 134 HRN speed figure at Laurel Park in the sixth race. The 4-year-old filly by Blofeld captured a 5 1/2-furlong dirt allowance optional claimer at 5-2 odds by three lengths. This was her fifth career win from 16 starts.
Decapo completed the top three with a 126 HRN speed figure at Los Alamitos. The 3-year-old colt by Mendelssohn dominated a 6 1/2-furlong maiden special weight at 2-1 odds, winning by seven lengths in his third career start for his maiden victory.
Saturday's top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | Goodbye Note | Blofeld | 4G | LRL 4 | 6f dirt |
| 134 | Dwelling Legacy | Blofeld | 4F | LRL 6 | 5 1/2f dirt |
| 126 | Decapo | Mendelssohn | 3C | LRC 7 | 6 1/2f dirt |
| 124 | Hold Your Breath | McKinzie | 3F | AQU 6 | 6f dirt |
| 123 | Curahee | War of Will | 3G | FG 3 | 1 1-16 dirt |
| 120 | Eye Dee Kay | Overanalyze | 6G | FG 6 | 1 1-16 dirt |
| 118 | Raging Waters | Ministers Wild Cat | 7G | LRC 3 | 5 1/2f dirt |
| 116 | Fully Subscribed | Tiz the Law | 3F | AQU 7 | 1 1-8 dirt |
| 116 | Ask in My Name | Jess's Dream | 5G | WO 6 | 7f syn |
| 114 | Tough Love Torres | Kantharos | 4F | FG 4 | 6f dirt |
Fastest maiden winners
Decapo posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 126 HRN speed figure at Los Alamitos. The 3-year-old colt by Mendelssohn dominated a 6 1/2-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 2-1 odds, winning by seven lengths in his third career start. He is out of Bet to Win, a Pulpit mare who was Grade 3-placed and earned $65,000, and his top sibling Justa Lady was Grade 3-placed and earned $354,000.
Betty's Dance impressed with a 113 HRN figure at Fair Grounds in a 5 1/2-furlong dirt maiden special weight. The 3-year-old filly by Brody's Cause won at 6-5 odds by three lengths in her fifth career start for her maiden victory. She is out of Langers by Indian Charlie, and her top sibling Pioneer Parade earned $144,000.
Maddie's Garden earned a 110 HRN figure at Fair Grounds in her debut. The 2-year-old filly by Knicks Go won a six-furlong dirt maiden optional claimer at 2-1 odds by a nose in a close finish. Her dam Campy Cash earned $96,000 during her racing career.
Saturday's top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance | Winning Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | Decapo | Mendelssohn | 3C | LRC 7 | 6 1/2f dirt | 7 lengths |
| 113 | Betty's Dance | Brody's Cause | 3F | FG 5 | 5 1/2f dirt | 3 lengths |
| 110 | Maddie's Garden | Knicks Go | 2F | FG 8 | 6f dirt | Nose |
| 109 | Twentytwo Soles | Upstart | 2C | WO 3 | 7f syn | 9 lengths |
| 109 | Noble J | Noble Bird | 3G | GP 6 | 6f dirt | 3 1/2 lengths |
| 108 | Smallchangegeep | Cairo Prince | 3G | AQU 5 | 1 mile dirt | 4 lengths |
| 98 | Uncle Evco | Smiling Tiger | 3G | LRC 1 | 1 mile dirt | 2 1/2 lengths |
| 93 | Admiral Sol | Solomini | 2F | AQU 4 | 6f dirt | 6 1/4 lengths |
| 90 | Decadent Danish | Danish Dynaformer | 2G | WO 4 | 1 1-16 syn | 2 lengths |
| 90 | Gracies Gem | Stay Thirsty | 2F | LRC 5 | 5 1/2f dirt | 5 lengths |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure, 26.2% winners
Top Beyer figure, 28.1% winners
Top TimeformUS figure, 28.4% winners
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.
Note: For the fastest maiden winners mentioned, all dam and sibling earnings are based on North American starts only.