Wednesday's HRN top 10 speed figures + fastest maiden winners

Photo: Gonzalo Anteliz Jr. / Eclipse Sportswire

Poiema posted Wednesday's highest Horse Racing Nation speed figure with a 130 at Tampa Bay Downs. The 6-year-old horse by Neolithic captured a seven-furlong allowance optional claimer at 9-5 odds in a dominant win by 6 1/2 lengths. This marked his seventh career victory in his 34th start.

Portfolio Duration earned a 122 HRN speed figure at Tampa Bay Downs in a 1 1/16-mile turf maiden special weight. The 3-year-old filly by Night of Thunder won at 1-5 odds in a dominant win by 5 3/4 lengths in her second career start.

Dundie completed the top three with a 121 HRN speed figure at Tampa Bay Downs in a six-furlong claiming race. The 5-year-old gelding by Speightstown scored at 3-5 odds, recording his seventh career win from 16 starts.

Tuesday's top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
130 Poiema Neolithic 6M TAM 6 7f dirt
122 Portfolio Duration Night of Thunder 3F TAM 7 1 1/16 turf
121 Dundie Speightstown 5G TAM 4 6f dirt
121 Bundchen Gun Runner 4F TP 8 6 1/2f syn
116 Dawn Dragon Curlin 3C TP 5 1 1/4 syn
113 Air Invasion Air Force Blue 4C TAM 8 1 1/8 dirt
112 Reteko Outwork 3G TAM 5 1 1/16 turf
108 Crickenberger Tapiture 5M TP 6 6 1/2f syn
104 Galantini Bernardini 3G TP 1 6 1/2f syn
104 Shankar Khozan 5G TP 4 1 1/16 syn

Fastest maiden winners

Portfolio Duration posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 122 HRN speed figure at Tampa Bay Downs. The 3-year-old filly by Night of Thunder dominated a 1 1/16-mile turf maiden special weight at 1-5 odds, winning by 5 3/4 lengths in her second career start. She is out of Shemya, a Dansili mare who earned $15,000, and her top sibling Cormorant is Grade 3-placed and has earned $97,000.

Dawn Dragon impressed with a 116 HRN speed figure in a 1 1/4-mile synthetic maiden special weight at Turfway Park. The 3-year-old colt by Curlin won at 3-1 odds in his fifth career start. His dam Simply Sunny by Unbridled's Song has no recorded earnings, but his top sibling Fore Left is Grade 3-placed and has earned $507,000.

Reteko earned a 112 HRN speed figure at Tampa Bay Downs in his 14th career start in winning by 8 1/4 lengths. The 3-year-old gelding by Outwork finished a 1 1/16-mile turf maiden claimer at 2-1 odds. His dam What's Bruin by Curlin earned $15,000, and her top sibling Starship Mocha has earned $72,000.

Tuesday's top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
122 Portfolio Duration Night of Thunder 3F TAM 7 1 1/16 turf
116 Dawn Dragon Curlin 3C TP 5 1 1/4 syn
112 Reteko Outwork 3G TAM 5 1 1/16 turf
104 Galantini Bernardini 3G TP 1 6 1/2f syn
104 Super Tiz Tiz the Law 3R TAM 1 7f dirt
101 Queenstown Street Sense 2F TP 7 1 mile syn
  80 Better Have Cash Anchor Down 3F TAM 2 6f dirt

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure, 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure, 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure, 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

Note: For the fastest maiden winners mentioned, all dam and sibling earnings are based on North American starts only.

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