Speed figures: Tapit colt leads Sunday's maiden winnners

Photo: NYRA

Lou the Body delivered Sunday's top performance with an impressive 134 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Gulfstream Park. The 4-year-old gelding by Violence scored at 1-2 odds in a seven-furlong dirt claiming race. This marked his fourth career victory in his 13th lifetime start.

La Mehana earned a 130 HRN speed figure at Saratoga in the Glens Falls Stakes, a 1 1/2-mile turf contest. The 6-year-old mare by Al Wukair went off at 5-2 odds, securing her ninth career win from 24 lifetime starts.

Capital Idea rounded out the top three with a 129 HRN speed figure at Saratoga. The 4-year-old gelding by Classic Empire prevailed at 8-1 odds in a one-mile optional-claiming allowance on dirt. This was his second career win from seven lifetime starts.

Sunday's top 10 daily speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
134 Lou the Body Violence 4G GP 3 7f dirt
130 La Mehana Al Wukair 6M SAR 7 1 1/2 miles turf
129 Capital Idea Classic Empire 4G SAR 9 1 mile dirt
126 Usha Tiz the Law 3F DMR 8 6 1/2f dirt
125 Ultimate Gamble Medaglia d'Oro 5H DMR 2 1 mile dirt
124 Summer Commander Silent Name 4G WO 7 6 1/2f synth
122 Tabloid Material Souper Speedy 4F WO 3 6 1/2f synth
121 Tapit's Legacy Tapit 2C SAR 3 7f dirt
120 Mason's Gamble Gamble's Exchange 7H WO 6 6 1/2f turf
119 Ennis Town Echo Town 3G SAR 10 1 mile dirt

Maiden winners showcase potential

Tapit's Legacy produced the top maiden performance with a 121 HRN speed figure at Saratoga. The 2-year-old colt by Tapit won at 3-5 odds in a seven-furlong dirt maiden special weight in his career debut. He is out of Peace Corps, a daughter of Violence, whose notable offspring include Growth Rate, an earner of $25,000.

Crescendo's Rein delivered a 112 HRN speed figure at Saratoga in a seven-furlong dirt maiden special weight. The 4-year-old gelding by Not This Time prevailed at 9-1 odds in his career debut. He is out of Vibrato, a daughter of Unbridled's Song, whose top offspring include Sacrosanct, an earner of $506,000.

Pipers Reign earned a 106 HRN speed figure at Woodbine in a 6 1/2-furlong turf maiden optional claiming race. The 3-year-old gelding by Yorkton won at 34-1 odds in his career debut. He is out of Piper's Legacy, a daughter of Silent Name, whose progeny include Piper's Gift, an earner of $13,000.

Top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
121 Tapit's Legacy Tapit 2C SAR 3 7f dirt
112 Crescendo's Rein Not This Time 4G SAR 6 7f dirt
106 Pipers Reign Yorkton 3G WO 10 6 1/2f turf
106 Red Roadster Lord Nelson 4G GP 6 1 1/16 miles synth
90 Rileytole Mitole 2F GP 4 5 1/2f dirt
83 Navy Chief Wootton Bassett 3G MTH 1 5 1/2f turf

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

• Top HRN figure 26.2% winners

• Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners

• Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

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