Speed figures: Sunday's HRN top 10 + fastest maiden winners
Rampagius led all performers Sunday with a 145 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Laurel Park in the first race. The 4-year-old gelding by City of Light captured a six-furlong claiming race in a dominant win by 9 1/4 lengths at 9-2 odds. This marked his third career victory in his 10th start.
Goal Oriented earned a 140 HRN speed figure at Santa Anita in the Grade 1 Malibu Stakes. The 3-year-old colt by Not This Time won the seven-furlong dirt stakes at even-money odds, recording his third career win from seven starts.
Raise Cain completed the top three with a 139 HRN speed figure at Laurel Park in an allowance optional claimer. The 5-year-old horse by Violence scored at 6-5 odds in the one-mile dirt race, recording his fourth career win from 24 starts.
Saturday's top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | Rampagius | City of Light | 4G | LRL 1 | 6f dirt |
| 140 | Goal Oriented | Not This Time | 3C | SA 10 | 7f dirt |
| 139 | Raise Cain | Violence | 5H | LRL 7 | 1 mile dirt |
| 135 | Our Day Will Come | St Patrick's Day | 2C | LRL 5 | 6f dirt |
| 132 | Usha | Tiz the Law | 3F | SA 8 | 7f dirt |
| 129 | Navajo Warrior | Candy Ride | 4G | OP 3 | 1 1/16 dirt |
| 128 | Beyond Belief | Goldencents | 3F | GP 9 | 7f dirt |
| 127 | Next Level | Vino Rosso | 4G | FG 6 | 1 3/16 dirt |
| 126 | Excellorator | Orb | 7G | AQU 6 | 1 mile dirt |
| 126 | W W Scout's Honor | Ghaaleb | 7G | OP 2 | 6f dirt |
Fastest maiden winners
Secured Freedom posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 123 HRN speed figure at Santa Anita. The 2-year-old colt by Practical Joke captured a 6 1/2-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 8-1 odds in his second career start. He is out of Securely by Uncle Mo, whose top sibling Hold Tight by Candy Ride has earned $192,000.
Bold Strength impressed with a 123 HRN speed figure at Aqueduct in a one-mile maiden special weight. The 3-year-old colt by Constitution won at 4-5 odds as the favorite in his second career start. His dam Vaunting by Exchange Rate earned $29,000, and her top sibling Prate by Into Mischief earned $30,000.
Waymark earned a 117 HRN speed figure at Gulfstream Park in his debut. The 2-year-old colt by Liam's Map won a six-furlong maiden special weight at 3-2 odds. He is out of Grade 2-placed Pangburn by Congrats, who earned $338,000, and his top sibling Caddo River by Hard Spun earned $838,000 and finished Grade 1-placed.
Saturday's fastest maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | Secured Freedom | Practical Joke | 2C | SA 2 | 6 1/2f dirt | 4 1/2 |
| 123 | Bold Strength | Constitution | 3C | AQU 5 | 1 mile dirt | 1 1/2 |
| 117 | Waymark | Liam's Map | 2C | GP 7 | 6f dirt | 1 1/2 |
| 110 | Skyler | Cross Traffic | 5G | OP 1 | 6f dirt | 3/4 |
| 108 | Omaha Bay | Omaha Beach | 2F | GP 3 | 6f dirt | 3/4 |
| 107 | Tiz Mary's Comet | Good Samaritan | 2G | FG 1 | 6f dirt | 2 |
| 105 | Ramayana | Uncle Mo | 2F | SA 1 | 1 mile turf | 1 1/2 |
| 101 | Mister Monoclonal | Bernardini | 3G | GP 10 | 1 1/16 turf | 1/2 |
| 99 | Churning Berni | Bernardini | 4F | LRL 2 | 1 1/16 dirt | 10 |
| 84 | Bodegas | Omaha Beach | 3F | AQU 1 | 1 mile dirt | 8 1/2 |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure, 26.2% winners
Top Beyer figure, 28.1% winners
Top TimeformUS figure, 28.4% winners
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.
Note: For the fastest maiden winners mentioned, all dam and sibling earnings are based on North American starts only.