Speed figures: See the day's fastest horses across the country
Cat On Time posted the day's highest Horse Racing Nation speed figure with a 127 at Churchill Downs in a third-level allowance at 6 1/2 furlongs on the dirt. The 5-year-old Not This Time gelding, owned and trained by David Jacobson, rallied from well off the pace and cleared off by 1 1/2 lengths to win at 7-2 odds. It was his second win in a row and his seventh in 19 starts.
Raptor's earned a 125 HRN speed figure at Colonial Downs when winning a one-mile turf allowance optional claimer against top-shelf conditioned company. The 6-year-old gelding by Hat Trick, trained by Mark Casse, tracked the pace and battled stubbornly down the lane to win by a length at 5-1 odds. A Group 1 winner in Brazil, Raptor's won for the second time in three starts, and the sixth in 14 lifetime outings.
Buttah completed the top three with a 121 HRN speed figure at Belmont at Aqueduct in a New York-bred second-level allowance optional claimer going a mile on the dirt. The 3-year-old colt by Leofric was sent off at 2-1 odds. He stalked the pace, cleared midstretch and held on by a length over an older foe. Trained by Gary Sciacca, Buttah won for the third time in 13 starts.
Friday's top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | Cat On Time | Not This Time | 5G | CD 9 | 6 1/2f dirt |
| 125 | Raptor's | Hat Trick | 6G | CNL 7 | 1 mile turf |
| 121 | Buttah | Leofric | 3C | BAQ 7 | 1 mile dirt |
| 121 | Be Thankful | Promises Fulfilled | 3F | GP 7 | 5 1/2f syn |
| 120 | Esroh | Great Notion | 3F | LRL 2 | 6f dirt |
| 120 | Nassau Circle | Flatter | 4G | LRC 1 | 1 mile dirt |
| 119 | On a Proud Note | Cloud Computing | 3F | CNL 2 | 6 1/2f dirt |
| 119 | Commuted | Gun Runner | 4G | BAQ 4 | 1 mile dirt |
| 119 | Arabian Flirt | Midnight Storm | 4C | LRC 2 | 6f dirt |
| 119 | Imperial Gold | D's Wando | 4G | WO 7 | 7f syn |
Fastest maiden winners
Nassau Circle posted the day's highest HRN speed figure by a maiden winner, earning a 120 for his 13-length romp in a waiver maiden claiming dirt mile at Los Alamitos. Sent off the 4-5 favorite, the Gary Mandella trainee tracked the pace before taking complete command in the lane. He was in for the $20,000 tag but was not claimed. Nassau Circle is a 4-year-old gelding by Flatter out of the winning Street Sense mare Fifth and Madison. His one other sibling to start, Eastside Cool, is an eight-time winner who has earned just under $400,000.
Spun D M C impressed with a 113 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs in his debut. The 2-year-old colt, trained by Randy Morse, was sent off at 12-1 odds. He attended the early pace before taking over into the lane and clearing off by 2 1/2 lengths in the six-furlong maiden special weight. Spun D M C is a son of Spun to Run out of the unraced Smart Strike mare Critic's Choice, a daughter of multiple Grade 1-winning millionaire Starrer. Critic's Choice is a half-sister to Star Act, the dam of champion juvenile filly Just F Y I.
Bay of Bengal earned a 112 HRN speed figure in a 1 1/16-mile maiden claimer on the Laurel grass Friday, winning as the 8-5 favorite for trainer Graham Motion. He led at every call, drawing away to win by 7 1/2 lengths. He was not claimed for the $45,000 tag. Bay of Bengal is a 3-year-old gelding by Speightstown out of the winning Pivotal mare Bengala. Bengala is a daughter of Bright Sky, a two-time Group 1 winner in France. Bengala's top-earning offspring so far, the Kitten's Joy mare Bengala Joy, won twice and earned $65,580.
Saturday's top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | Nassau Circle | Flatter | 4G | LRC 1 | 1 mile dirt |
| 113 | Spun D M C | Spun to Run | 2C | CD 5 | 6f dirt |
| 112 | Bay of Bengal | Speightstown | 3G | LRL 7 | 1 1/16 turf |
| 112 | Separator | Charlatan | 2F | LRC 5 | 5 1/2f dirt |
| 111 | Mystical Belle | Basin | 2F | GP 3 | 5f syn |
| 107 | Ya'll Come | Smiling Tiger | 3G | LRC 8 | 6f dirt |
| 106 | Red Miller | Vekoma | 3G | BAQ 2 | 7f dirt |
| 103 | Kool Tap Dancer | Tapiture | 3F | LRC 3 | 6f dirt |
| 101 | Green Light Day | Unified | 2C | CNL 6 | 1 1/16 turf |
| 99 | Cool Andy | Practical Joke | 3G | CD 10 | 1 1/16 dirt |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure 26.2% winners
Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners
Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.