Speed figures: See Saturday's most impressive winners

Photo: Daniel Rankin / Special to HRN

Obliteration posted the day's highest Horse Racing Nation speed figure with a 137 at Laurel Park in the Chick Lang Stakes. The 3-year-old colt by Violence captured the six-furlong stakes race at 3-5 odds for his fourth career victory in nine starts.

Hymn earned a 131 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs in a seven-furlong allowance optional claimer. The 4-year-old gelding by McKinzie won at 2-1 odds, recording his third career win from 12 starts.

Liberte de Bayeux completed the top three with a 128 HRN speed figure at Delaware Park in a six-furlong claiming race. The 5-year-old gelding by Omaha Beach scored at 1-5 odds in a dominant win by four and one-quarter lengths for his fourth career victory from 17 starts.

Saturday's top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
137 Obliteration Violence 3C LRL 7 6f dirt
131 Hymn McKinzie 4G CD 9 7f dirt
128 Liberte de Bayeux Omaha Beach 5G DEL 6 6f dirt
128 Movie Night Speightstown 3F CD 2 6f dirt
127 Striker Has Dial Dialed In 5M LRL 4 6f dirt
127 City Exile Cityscape 6G SA 7 1 mile turf
126 Clouseau Distorted Humor 6G SA 2 1 mile dirt
123 Bring the Smoke Preservationist 4G LRL 8 6f dirt
122 Wickeddivine Divining Rod 4G LRL 2 6f dirt
122 Dixie Law Tiz the Law 3F WO 8 7f synthetic

Fastest maiden winners

Movie Night posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 128 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs. The 3-year-old filly by Speightstown won a six-furlong maiden special weight at 3-5 odds in a dominant win by eight lengths in her second career start. She is out of Savvy Star by Medaglia d'Oro, and her top sibling Stellify by Justify was Grade 3 placed and earned $1.46 million.

Grant the Great impressed with a 121 HRN speed figure at Laurel Park in a six-furlong maiden special weight. The 3-year-old colt by Munnings won at 3-5 odds in his second career start. His dam Minewander by Mineshaft was Grade 3 placed and earned $225,000, and his top sibling Landeskog by Munnings was Grade 2 placed and earned $216,000.

Tiz All That earned a 115 HRN speed figure at Santa Anita in a 6 1/2-furlong maiden special weight. The 3-year-old colt by Midnight Lute won at 7-1 odds in his second career start. He is out of Tiz Felicity by Scat Daddy, and his top sibling Miss Artois by Mucho Macho Man was Grade 3 placed and earned $139,000.

Saturday's top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
128 Movie Night Speightstown 3F CD 2 6f dirt
121 Grant the Great Munnings 3C LRL 14 6f dirt
115 Tiz All That Midnight Lute 3C SA 1 6 1/2f turf
106 Project Pat Girvin 3C GP 8 7f dirt
105 Good Willie Hard Spun 3C DEL 2 5 1/2f dirt
102 Swiss Army Knife Practical Joke 3G BAQ 5 1 mile dirt
98 Paul's Recovery Independence Hall 3C CD 7 1 1/16 dirt
97 Limo Uncle Mo 4G LRL 3 1 mile turf
94 Peyton Honest Mischief 4G BAQ 7 6f turf
92 Tis Sunrise English Channel 4F SA 10 1 mile turf

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

Note: For the fastest maiden winners mentioned, all dam and sibling earnings are based on North American starts only.

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