Speed figures: See Saturday's most impressive winners

Photo: Katie Vordenberg / Eclipse Sportswire

Celtic Contender posted the highest Horse Racing Nation speed figure of Saturday with a 151 at Laurel Park in the seventh race. The 5-year-old horse by Irish War Cry captured a six-furlong dirt allowance race at 2-1 odds. This marked his sixth career victory in his 18th start.

Crushed It earned a 134 HRN speed figure at Aqueduct in a one-mile dirt claiming race. The 5-year-old gelding by Dialed In dominated at 7-5 odds in a commanding win by six lengths for his fourth career victory from 18 starts.

Pentathlon completed the top three with a 130 HRN speed figure at Gulfstream Park in the Army Mule Stakes. The 5-year-old horse by Speightstown won the seven-furlong dirt stakes race at 4-1 odds, securing his fifth career win from 17 starts.

Saturday's top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
151 Celtic Contender Irish War Cry 5H LRL 7 6f dirt
134 Crushed It Dialed In 5G AQU 2 1 mile dirt
130 Pentathlon Speightstown 5H GP 11 7f dirt
129 Far Bridge English Channel 6H GP 13 1 1/2 turf
127 Commandment Into Mischief 3C GP 14 1 1/8 dirt
124 Dancin for Gold Goldencents 4G OP 8 6f dirt
124 Renegade Into Mischief 3C OP 13 1 1/8 dirt
123 Hola Joey Adios Charlie 4G OP 7 6f dirt
123 Two Seven O Dialed In 3G OP 5 6f dirt
123 Sultana Always Dreaming 5M GP 8 1 1/2 turf

Fastest maiden winners

Dawn At Normandy posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 119 HRN speed figure at Oaklawn Park. The 5-year-old gelding by Omaha Beach captured a six-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 1-1 odds in his fifth career start. He is out of Flying Spur, a Giant's Causeway mare who was Grade 1 placed and earned $199,000, and her top sibling The Prince's Spur has earned $260,000.

Sovereign Law impressed with a 110 HRN speed figure in a one-mile dirt maiden special weight at Gulfstream Park. The 3-year-old colt by Into Mischief won at 3-1 odds in his second career start. His dam Sun Path by Munnings was Grade 3 placed and earned $149,000.

Seventies Music earned a 109 HRN speed figure at Oaklawn Park in his third career start in a dominant win by five lengths. The 3-year-old gelding by Street Strategy finished a six-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 5-1 odds. His dam Happy Anniversary by Midnight Lute earned $6,000, and her top sibling One Way Or Another has earned $429,000.

Saturday's top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
119 Dawn At Normandy Omaha Beach 5G OP 6 6f dirt
110 Sovereign Law Into Mischief 3C GP 2 1 mile dirt
109 Seventies Music Street Strategy 3G OP 14 6f dirt
108 Point of Reference Upstart 3F AQU 1 1 mile dirt
106 Fleek Flat Out 3C OP 12 1 1/8 dirt
99 Nuck Chorris Uncle Chuck 3G TP 2 6f synthetic
99 Vekoma's Diva Vekoma 3F OP 3 6f dirt
98 Rapoport Constitution 5G TP 9 1 1/2 synthetic
95 Channel Place Liam's Map 3F SA 5 1 1/8 turf
95 Curlin Command Curlin to Mischief 4G SA 9 6 1/2f turf

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

Note: For the fastest maiden winners mentioned, all dam and sibling earnings are based on North American starts only.

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