Speed figs: Saturday's fastest winners, maiden-breakers

Photo: Dan Birch / Eclipse Sportswire

Splendora led all performers with a 141 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Santa Anita in the sixth race. The 5-year-old horse by Audible captured the D. Wayne Lukas stakes at 2-5 odds, winning by 1 3/4 lengths. This marked his sixth career victory in his 11th start.

Dreaminblue earned a 136 HRN speed figure at Oaklawn Park in a six-furlong allowance optional claimer. The 4-year-old gelding by Street Boss won at 1-1 odds, recording his third career win from 12 starts.

El Potente completed the top three with a 134 HRN speed figure at Santa Anita in the Thunder Road stakes. The 7-year-old horse by Temple City scored at 1-1 odds on the turf, recording his seventh career win from 17 starts.

Saturday's top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
141 Splendora Audible 5 h SA 6 7f dirt
136 Dreaminblue Street Boss  g OP 10 6f dirt
134 El Potente Temple City 7 h SA 5 1 mile turf
132 Nitrogen Medaglia d'Oro 4 f OP 9 1 1/16 dirt
130 C K Wonder Vekoma 4 c GP 11 6f dirt
130 Concrete Glory Bodemeister 7 g TAM 10 6f dirt
129 Laigina Leinster 3 f GP 4 1 mile turf
128 I Lucked Out Lookin At Lucky 6 g TP 4 1 mile syn
127 Emerging Market Candy Ride 3 c TAM 6 1 3/16 dirt
127 San Siro Classic Empire 5 g OP 4 1 1/16 dirt

Fastest maiden winners

Emerging Market posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 127 HRN speed figure at Tampa Bay Downs. The 3-year-old colt by Candy Ride captured a 1 3/16-mile dirt maiden special weight at 3-1 odds in his debut. He is out of Wild Empress by Empire Maker, who earned $5,000 during her racing career.

Renegade impressed with a 126 HRN figure at Tampa Bay Downs in a 1 1/16-mile dirt stakes race. The 3-year-old colt by Into Mischief won at 6-5 odds in his fourth career start. His dam Spice Is Nice was Grade 3-placed and earned $260,000, and his top sibling has not yet emerged as a notable earner.

High Camp earned a 124 HRN speed figure at Gulfstream Park in his second career start. The 3-year-old colt by Instagrand finished a seven-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 6-5 odds. His dam Summer Silk by Uncle Mo earned minimal racing earnings.

Saturday's top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
127 Emerging Market Candy Ride 3 c TAM 6 1 3/16 dirt
126 Renegade Into Mischief 3 c TAM 11 1 1/16 dirt
124 High Camp Instagrand 3 c GP 6 7f dirt
120 R Delray Tiz the Law 4 g TAM 2 6f dirt
113 Easterly Uncle Mo 3 c GP 8 1 1/16 dirt
112 Steel Imperium Essential Quality 3 c TP 5 6f syn
112 Shure Jimmy Creed 4 g TP 1 6 1/2f syn
110 Kokomotion Quality Road 3 f TAM 9 1 1/16 turf
110 Piney Woods Cupid 3 f SA 3 6 1/2f dirt
105 French Moonlight Liam's Map 4 f SA 1 1 mile turf

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

Note: For the fastest maiden winners mentioned, all dam and sibling earnings are based on North American starts only.

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