Speed figures: Saratoga stakes winner tops Wednesday rankings
My Mane Squeeze produced Wednesday's highest speed figure with a remarkable 136 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Saratoga. The 4-year-old filly by Audible captured the Johnstone Stakes at 6-5 odds going seven furlongs on dirt. This marked her seventh career victory in her 17th lifetime start.
Haileysfirstnotion and Corruption tied for the second-highest figures of the day, each posting 119 HRN speed figures in their respective races. Haileysfirstnotion, a 4-year-old gelding by Great Notion, won a six-furlong allowance optional claiming race at Delaware Park as the 3-5 favorite, securing his fifth career win from nine starts.
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Corruption, a 4-year-old gelding by Medaglia d'Oro, prevailed at 3-5 odds in an 1 3/8-mile allowance optional claimer on turf at Saratoga. The victory was his fifth career win from nine lifetime starts.
Top 10 Wednesday figures
HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
136 | My Mane Squeeze | Audible | 4F | SAR 8 | 7f dirt |
119 | Haileysfirstnotion | Great Notion | 4G | DEL 8 | 6f dirt |
119 | Corruption | Medaglia d'Oro | 4G | SAR 4 | 1 3/8 turf |
118 | Blue Kingdom | First Mondays | 4G | CNL 4 | 7f dirt |
114 | Soze | Maximus Mischief | 4G | DEL 6 | 5 1/2f dirt |
108 | Compass Fire | Midshipman | 5M | DEL 2 | 6f dirt |
107 | Chicory Blaze | Alternation | 3C | IND 8 | 1 1/16 dirt |
107 | Racing Colors | Race Day | 6M | SAR 2 | 7f dirt |
105 | Mitch | Mitole | 3G | IND 4 | 1 mile dirt |
103 | Daddy Yankee | American Freedom | 3G | CNL 2 | 6f dirt |
Maiden winners showcase potential
V Cruizer delivered Wednesday's top maiden performance with a 99 HRN speed figure at Saratoga. The 3-year-old colt by Violence won a six-furlong dirt maiden claiming race at 8-1 odds in his career debut. He is out of Street Cruizer, a daughter of Quality Road, whose notable offspring include Hurts So Bad, an earner of $111,000.
White Blue secured a 95 HRN speed figure at Colonial Downs in a 1 1/16-mile turf maiden claiming race. The 3-year-old gelding by Catholic Boy prevailed at 5-2 odds in his ninth career start. His dam Vexed is a Grade 2 winner with earnings of $144,000, who has also produced Debate, an earner of $197,000.
Royal Suite earned a 94 HRN speed figure at Colonial Downs in a 1 1/16-mile turf maiden special weight. The 3-year-old filly by Tiz the Law won at 5-2 odds in her fifth career start. Her dam Princess Mariah produced Lovely Princess, a Grade 3-placed runner with earnings of $418,000.
Top maiden winners
HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
99 | V Cruizer | Violence | 3C | SAR 5 | 6f dirt |
95 | White Blue | Catholic Boy | 3G | CNL 1 | 1 1/16 turf |
94 | Royal Suite | Tiz the Law | 3F | CNL 6 | 1 1/16 turf |
90 | Sunset Sizzle | McKinzie | 3F | SAR 3 | 6f dirt |
87 | Starry Night | Justify | 3F | CNL 5 | 1 1/8 turf |
85 | Dirty Gold | Flameaway | 4F | DEL 3 | 1 1/16 turf |
81 | Snow Face Princess | Midshipman | 2F | SAR 6 | 5 1/2f turf |
80 | McLaughlin | Uncle Mo | 3F | IND 5 | 1 mile turf |
77 | Doubting Thomas | Caravaggio | 2C | CNL 3 | 5 1/2f turf |
71 | Young Angus | The Player | 2G | IND 1 | 5f dirt |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
• Top HRN figure 26.2% winners
• Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners
• Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.