Speed figures: Million winner Fort Washington makes top 10
Fort Washington’s rally from last to first to win the Grade 1 Arlington Million earned him one of the top Horse Racing Nation speed figures Saturday.
The 6-year-old horse owned by Joseph Allen and White Birch Farm, trained by Shug McGaughey and ridden by Júnior Alvarado got a 130 figure for his 1 1/4-mile turf victory at Colonial Downs.
Fort Washington goes from worst to 1st in Arlington Million.
Final Boss delivered Saturday’s top performance with a 132 HRN speed figure at Del Mar. The 4-year-old colt by American Pharoah prevailed at 3-1 odds in a one-mile turf allowance. This marked his fifth career victory in his 13th career start.
Nothing Personal and Privman tied for the second-highest figures of the day, each earning 131 HRN speed figures. Nothing Personal, a 2-year-old colt by Violence, dominated a seven-furlong maiden race at Colonial Downs at 4-1 odds in just his second career start. Privman, a 3-year-old colt by Justify, secured victory at even money in a one-mile allowance at Del Mar, marking his second career win from six starts.
Here Mi Song registered a 130 HRN speed figure. A 7-year-old gelding by Cross Traffic, he won as the 3-5 favorite in a six-furlong dirt allowance at Ellis Park for his eighth career victory.
Top 10 Saturday figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | Final Boss | American Pharoah | 4 c | DMR 7 | 1 mi turf |
| 131 | Nothing Personal | Violence | 2 c | CNL 2 | 7 f dirt |
| 131 | Privman | Justify | 3 c | DMR 6 | 1 mi dirt |
| 130 | Fort Washington | War Front | 6 h | CNL 11 | 1 1/4 turf |
| 130 | Here Mi Song | Cross Traffic | 7 g | ELP 6 | 6 f dirt |
| 129 | Public Defender | Constitution | 4 f | CNL 3 | 1 1/16 turf |
| 129 | El Cordobes | Frankel | 4 g | SAR 10 | 1 1/2 turf |
| 125 | Little Ni | Mohaymen | 4 g | SAR 8 | 6 f dirt |
| 124 | Rolando | Vekoma | 3 c | CNL 5 | 1 mi dirt |
| 124 | Charlene’s Dream | Qurbaan | 4 f | CNL 10 | 1 3/16 turf |
Nothing Personal tops maiden list
Nothing Personal topped the maiden winners with his 131 HRN speed figure at Colonial Downs. The 2-year-old colt by Violence dominated a seven-furlong maiden race at 4-1 odds in his second career start. He is out of Will She, a daughter of Wando who earned $178,000 during her racing career.
Christel Clean impressed with a 116 HRN speed figure in a six-furlong maiden race at Del Mar. The 3-year-old filly by Violence won at 3-1 odds in just her second career start. She is out of Tryst by Candy Ride, whose top offspring include Assignation, an earner of $110,000.
Bottle of Rouge earned a 123 HRN speed figure in a 6 1/2-furlong maiden test at Del Mar. The 2-year-old filly by Vino Rosso prevailed at even money odds in her third career start. Her dam Blues Corner, by Bluegrass Cat, has also produced Golden Line, who has earned $28,000 in her racing career.
Top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | Nothing Personal | Violence | 2 c | CNL 2 | 7 f dirt |
| 123 | Bottle of Rouge | Vino Rosso | 2 f | DMR 2 | 6 1/2 f dirt |
| 116 | Christel Clean | Violence | 3 f | DMR 10 | 6 f dirt |
| 115 | Golden Tornado | McKinzie | 2 c | SAR 6 | 6 f dirt |
| 114 | Rarified | Caravaggio | 3 f | WO 10 | 6 f syn |
| 113 | Risuko | American Pharoah | 3 f | MTH 2 | 6 f dirt |
| 106 | Rammaas | Speightstown | 2 c | GP 4 | 7 f dirt |
| 106 | Faith | Daredevil | 3 f | WO 5 | 6 f turf |
| 101 | Operation Sunrise | War Front | 3 c | ELP 7 | 5 1/2 f turf |
| 72 | Trading Trouble | Honest Mischief | 2 f | SAR 3 | 5 1/2 f turf |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN’s proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure 26.2% winners.
Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners.
Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners.
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.