Speed figures: Keeneland winner Chatter leads Friday

Photo: Candice Chavez / Eclipse Sportswire

Chatter led all performers with a 130 Horse Racing Nation speed figure in a first-level allowance sprint going six furlongs on the dirt at Keeneland. The 4-year-old Vekoma filly, the 5-1 second choice of seven, is trained by Saffie Joseph, Jr. She jumped to the lead and never relented, rolling clear to win by 6 3/4 lengths. It was Chatter's first win in five starts this year and her second in 12 starts.

Cant Stop Munnings earned a 129 HRN speed figure at Remington Park in a claiming race at six furlongs on the dirt. The 4-year-old Munnings gelding was the 6-5 second choice of five. He battled gamely up front and turned back odds-on favorite Dutch Mills to win by three quarters of a length. It was Cant Stop Munnings's fifth win in 15 career starts and he was one of five winners Friday night at Remington for both trainer Steve Asmussen and jockey Erik Asmussen.

Swaging completed the top three with a 120 HRN speed figure in a six-furlong allowance dirt sprint at Delaware Park for horses who had never won two races. The 5-year-old City of Light gelding, trained by Wayne Potts, was the narrow 5-2 favorite of seven. He chased midpack early, gradually gained through the turn, and wrested command in the lane to win by a length, winning for the second time in his 12-start career.

Friday's top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age/
Sex
Race Distance
130 Chatter Vekoma 4F KEE 8 6f dirt
129 Cant Stop Munnings Munnings 4G RP 6 6f dirt
120 Swaging City of Light 5G DEL 6 6f dirt
119 Oban Constitution 3G RP 5 6 1/2f dirt
116 Love Yourself Blofeld 3G LRL 9 7f dirt
116 Springer Complexity 4G WO 3 6 1/2f synthetic
116 Lambeth Arrogate 5H KEE 9 1 1/2 mi turf
116 Neon Nights Take Charge Indy 5G KEE 6 1 1/16 mi dirt
113 Ambition Street Sense 5H BEL 5 1 1/16 mi dirt
113 Clubhouse Cutie Clubhouse Ride 4F SA 4 6 1/2f dirt

Fastest maiden winners

Aruba Ariba posted the day's highest figure among maiden winners with a 111 HRN speed figure in a maiden claiming dirt sprint going 5 1/2 furlongs at Laurel Park. The juvenile Holy Boss gelding, trained by John Robb, was the 9-10 favorite in the eight-horse field. He ran to the money, stalking the pace and driving clear in the lane to win by 9 3/4 lengths to win in his second career start. He is the second winner from as many starters out of Pick Your Pleasure, a winning Lemon Drop Kid mare. Her other winner, the Holy Boss gelding Al Loves Josie, won 11 times, placed three times at the stakes level and earned $422,515.

Inhonorofsonny earned a 104 HRN speed figure for his win Friday in a five-furlong maiden-claiming sprint over the Tapeta at Gulfstream Park. Trained by Henry Collazo, the 3-year-old Bucchero gelding was the 7-5 favorite of five. Last early after being bumped at the break, he rallied to win by 2 1/4 lengths. He is the ninth winner from 10 starters out of his dam, the Lost Soldier mare Wholelotasoldier. Her top earner to date is the Bucchero mare Clay Soldier, who has won six times and earned $226,677 so far.

Eclipseness earned a 102 HRN speed figure, the joint third-highest for a Friday maiden winner, for his victory in a six-furlong maiden-claiming dirt sprint at Delaware Park. Sent away the 7-5 favorite in the field of nine for trainer Jamie Ness, Eclipseness set a pressured pace early before drawing away to win by six lengths. Eclipseness is the first starter out of the Jump Start mare Dilly Dilly Philly, a 15-time winner who earned $457,790. 

Steele Town also earned a 102 HRN speed figure for his win Friday in a maiden-optional claiming turf mile Friday at Woodbine. A 10-1 shot in the field of 10 for trainer Allen Desruisseaux, Steele Town is a 3-year-old gelding by Mo Town. He settled well off the pace, made a big bid around the far turn and battled on down the lane to win by half a length in his second career start. He is the first winner from three starters out of the winning Awesome Again mare My Lady Anna.

Friday's top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age/
Sex
Race Distance Winning
Margin
111 Aruba Ariba Holy Boss 2G LRL 7 5 1/2f dirt 9 3/4 lengths
104 Inhonorofsonny Bucchero 3G GP 6 5f synthetic 2 1/4 lengths
102 Eclipseness Blofeld 2G DEL 4 6f dirt 6 lengths
102 Steele Town Mo Town 3G WO 6 1 mi turf 1/2 length
101 Watershed Moment Omaha Beach 4F KEE 4 1 1/16 mi dirt 9 1/4 lengths
98 Fractious Volatile 2C SA 8 6 1/2f dirt 3 1/4 lengths
96 Oscar Cheer Oscar Performance 2C KEE 5 1 mi turf 2 1/4 lengths
95 Keep Vekoma 2F KEE 10 6f dirt 1 length
94 Mischievous Jo Honest Mischief 3F BEL 3 7f dirt 1 1/2 lengths
91 Serrania Hard Spun 3F GP 9 1 mi turf 4 3/4 lengths

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

Note: For the fastest maiden winners mentioned, all dam and sibling earnings are based on North American starts only.

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