Speed figures: HRN daily top 10 & fastest maiden winners
Elwood Blues led all performers Sunday with a 130 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Santa Anita in the third race. Trained by Mark Glatt, the 5-year-old gelding by Justify captured a six-furlong allowance optional claimer on dirt at 6-1 odds. This marked his fourth career victory in his 13th start.
Soldier N Diplomat earned a 123 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs in a one-mile dirt allowance optional claimer. The 2-year-old colt by Army Mule won at 6-5 odds in a dominant win by nine lengths for his second win in his third career start.
Four O Six Creed completed the top three with a 123 HRN speed figure at Santa Anita in a six-furlong starter optional claimer on dirt. The 5-year-old gelding by Jimmy Creed scored at 9-1 odds by 2 1/4 lengths, recording his fifth career win from 26 starts.
Saturday's top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | Elwood Blues | Justify | 5G | SA 3 | 6f dirt |
| 123 | Soldier N Diplomat | Army Mule | 2C | CD 2 | 1 mile dirt |
| 123 | Four O Six Creed | Jimmy Creed | 5G | SA 9 | 6f dirt |
| 122 | Stradale | Yaupon | 2C | CD 7 | 6f dirt |
| 121 | Gratefully | Laoban | 3F | BAQ 8 | 6f turf |
| 119 | Daufuskie Island | Goldencents | 6G | LRL 2 | 6f dirt |
| 119 | Rapid Test | Souper Speedy | 5G | WO 8 | 7 1/2f turf |
| 118 | Sapphire Girl | Connect | 3F | GP 7 | 1 mile turf |
| 118 | Neshume | Instagrand | 3C | GP 8 | 6 1/2f dirt |
| 117 | Warming | Global Campaign | 3F | SA 8 | 1 mile turf |
Fastest maiden winners
Stradale posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 122 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs. The 2-year-old colt by Yaupon won a six-furlong dirt maiden special weight in a dominant win by 5 1/2 lengths at 9-5 odds in his fourth career start. He is out of Twitterpated, a Stormy Atlantic mare who earned $9,000.
Sapphire Girl impressed with a 118 HRN speed figure at Gulfstream Park in her third career start. The 3-year-old filly by Connect won a one-mile turf maiden special weight at 6-1 odds. She is out of Lady Esme, a Majestic Warrior mare, and her top sibling Lord Miles was Grade 2-placed and earned $588,000.
Epic Summer earned a 117 HRN speed figure at Belmont at Aqueduct in his debut. The 2-year-old gelding by Vekoma won a 6 1/2-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 9-1 odds. His dam Summer Again by Empire Maker earned $115,000, and her top sibling Summer Day earned $167,000.
Saturday's top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance | Winning Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | Stradale | Yaupon | 2C | CD 7 | 6f dirt | 5 1/2 lengths |
| 118 | Sapphire Girl | Connect | 3F | GP 7 | 1 mile turf | 3/4 length |
| 117 | Epic Summer | Vekoma | 2G | BAQ 3 | 6 1/2f dirt | 3 1/4 lengths |
| 115 | Orbit | Medaglia d'Oro | 2G | GP 1 | 7 1/2f turf | 2 1/2 lengths |
| 115 | Rehearsal | Calyx | 4F | SA 1 | 1 1/8 turf | nose |
| 110 | Investment Process | English Channel | 4F | BAQ 5 | 1 3/16 turf | nose |
| 109 | Aethelflaed | Saxon Warrior | 3F | WO 9 | 7f syn | 1 1/2 lengths |
| 107 | Cal's Goal | Cairo Prince | 2G | SA 6 | 6 1/2f turf | 4 lengths |
| 105 | Love You More | Maclean's Music | 3F | LRL 8 | 1 mile dirt | 2 lengths |
| 103 | Wild Like the West | Into Mischief | 2F | SA 4 | 1 mile turf | 1/2 length |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure, 26.2% winners
Top Beyer figure, 28.1% winners
Top TimeformUS figure, 28.4% winners
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.