Speed figures: HRN daily top 10 + fastest maiden winners
Barnes earned his first victory since January when he delivered Saturday in the Grade 3 Perryville Stakes at Keeneland. The effort was rewarded with a top-three Horse Racing Nation speed figure.
The 3-year-old colt by Into Mischief earned a 132 figure by winning the seven-furlong dirt stakes by 8 1/4 lengths at 8-5 odds. With José Ortiz riding, this was third career victory from seven starts for Barnes, who is owned by Amr Zedan and trained by Bob Baffert.
Click here for Keeneland entries and results.
Theismann led all performers Saturday with a 138 HRN speed figure at Keeneland in the eighth race. The 5-year-old gelding by Quality Road captured a 1 1/16-mile turf allowance at 5-2 odds. This marked his fourth career victory in his ninth start.
Kerness K earned a 137 at Laurel Park in a six-furlong dirt allowance race. The 3-year-old gelding by Great Notion won at 7-2 odds, recording his third career win from seven starts.
Saturday’s top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 | Theismann | Quality Road | 5 g | KEE 8 | 1 1/16 turf |
| 137 | Kerness K | Great Notion | 3 g | LRL 9 | 6 f dirt |
| 132 | Barnes | Into Mischief | 3 c | KEE 6 | 7 f dirt |
| 128 | Lucky Score | Lookin At Lucky | 7 g | WO 10 | 6 1/2 f syn |
| 128 | Sumter | War Front | 6 g | SA 9 | 1 mile turf |
| 126 | Kappa Kappa | Omaha Beach | 3 f | KEE 9 | 7 f dirt |
| 125 | Philip Banks | Silent Name | 3 g | WO 3 | 6 f syn |
| 124 | Light the Way | Justify | 5 g | BAQ 9 | 1 mile dirt |
| 122 | Eunomia | Tiz the Law | 3 f | KEE 4 | 1 1/16 dirt |
| 121 | Risk Manager | Lookin At Lucky | 7 h | BAQ 10 | 1 1/16 turf |
Fastest maiden winners
Spring Decision posted the day’s highest maiden winner figure with a 118 HRN speed figure at Laurel Park. The 3-year-old gelding by Tiz the Law won a six-furlong dirt race at even odds in his second career start. He is out of Promise of Spring, a Grade 3-placed Drosselmeyer mare who earned $226,000, and his top sibling Boys of Summer by Mendelssohn has earned $53,000.
Skellig Michael impressed with a 115 in a seven-furlong dirt race at Gulfstream Park. The 3-year-old gelding by Battalion Runner won at 4-5 odds in a dominant win by five lengths in his fourth career start. His dam Miss Monk by Blame earned $40,000, and his top sibling Kate the Smate by Battalion Runner has earned $3,000.
Timekeeper’s Charm earned a 110 at Santa Anita in her seventh career start. The 3-year-old filly by Not This Time won a six-furlong dirt race at even odds in a dominant win by 5 1/2 lengths. Her dam Ching Shih by Street Sense earned no money, and her top sibling Chase N Ryan by Stay Thirsty has earned $6,000.
Friday’s top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | Spring Decision | Tiz the Law | 3 g | LRL 4 | 6 f dirt |
| 115 | Skellig Michael | Battalion Runner | 3 g | GP 5 | 7 f dirt |
| 110 | Timekeeper’s Charm | Not This Time | 3 f | SA 2 | 6 f dirt |
| 110 | Tiger Fire | Smiling Tiger | 3 f | SA 8 | 6 f dirt |
| 110 | Solemn Vow | Constitution | 2 f | KEE 7 | 6 f dirt |
| 113 | Juris Doctor | Constitution | 3 c | LRL 6 | 1 1/8 turf |
| 107 | Dazzling Cruiser | Catalina Cruiser | 4 f | WO 2 | 1 1/16 turf |
| 104 | Rudiobus | Practical Joke | 2 c | DEL 5 | 6f dirt |
| 102 | Runadhara | Gun Runner | 2 f | KEE 3 | 6 f dirt |
| 99 | Backgammon | Maximum Security | 2 f | KEE 10 | 1 mile turf |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN’s proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure 26.2% winners.
Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners.
Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners.
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.