Speed figures: Del Mar runners take top 2 spots
Geometry delivered Sunday's top performance with an exceptional 149 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Del Mar. The 3-year-old gelding by Twirling Candy prevailed at 3-1 odds in an eight-furlong, optional-laiming allowance on dirt. This marked his second career victory in his third career start.
Delightful Laura earned a 136 HRN speed figure at Del Mar, securing victory at 9-1 odds in an eight-furlong maiden claiming race on turf. The 3-year-old filly by Uncle Mo recorded her first career win from fourth lifetime starts. She showed remarkable improvement in this breakthrough performance.
First Look:
No Bien Ni Mal completed the top three performers with a 135 HRN speed figure at Saratoga in a nine-furlong dirt allowance, his first U.S. race. The 4-year-old by Hofburg went off at 8-1 odds and prevailed by a narrow margin. This represented his fifth career win from 11 career starts.
Top 10 Sunday figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | Geometry | Twirling Candy | 3G | DMR 2 | 1 mile turf |
| 136 | Delightful Laura | Uncle Mo | 3F | DMR 9 | 1 mile turf |
| 135 | No Bien Ni Mal | Hofburg | 4R | SAR 10 | 1 1/8 miles dirt |
| 129 | Conman | Constitution | 5G | SAR 8 | 1 1/8 miles turf |
| 127 | Big Truzz | Justify | 3C | ELP 8 | 1 mile dirt |
| 125 | Le Gris | City of Light | 4G | SAR 2 | 1 1/8 miles dirt |
| 125 | Carmel Coast | Omaha Beach | 2F | SAR 5 | 6 1/2f dirt |
| 121 | Tumbarumba | Oscar Performance | 5G | ELP 7 | 1 mile dirt |
| 120 | Worthy Charge | Liam's Map | 3C | SAR 1 | 1 mile dirt |
| 117 | Poseidon Steel | Frac Daddy | 6H | WO 9 | 6f synthetic |
Maiden winners showcase potential
Worthy Charge posted the day's highest figure among maiden winners with a 120 HRN speed figure at Saratoga. The 3-year-old colt by Liam's Map dominated a one-mile maiden special weight on dirt as the 3-5 favorite in his second career start. He is out of Queen Bee to You, a Grade 3 winner who earned $659,000, and his half-sister Princess Madison is a Grade 2-placed performer with earnings of $243,000.
Balboa impressed with a 115 HRN speed figure in a 6 1/2-furlong maiden special weight at Del Mar. The 2-year-old colt by Not This Time won at 1-2 odds in his second career start. He is out of Tap of War, a daughter of War Front, showing a pedigree focused on speed and class.
Philip Banks earned a 115 HRN speed figure at Woodbine in his second career start. The 3-year-old gelding by Silent Name finished a six-furlong turf, maiden special weight at 3-1 odds. He is out of Fresh Princess by Giant Gizmo, who earned $145,000 during her racing career.
Top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | Worthy Charge | Liam's Map | 3C | SAR 1 | 1 mile dirt |
| 115 | Balboa | Not This Time | 2C | DMR 1 | 6 1/2f dirt |
| 115 | Philip Banks | Silent Name | 3G | WO 5 | 6f turf |
| 111 | Secret Revenge | Nyquist | 4F | GP 1 | 6 1/2f dirt |
| 106 | Good Game | Game Winner | 3F | ELP 5 | 1 1/16 miles turf |
| 106 | Laird of Magnolia | Tonalist | 3G | MTH 1 | 1 1/16 miles turf |
| 94 | Livaliscious | West Coast | 3G | MTH 4 | 1 mile dirt |
| 88 | Camp Evans | Street Sense | 3C | GP 7 | 7f dirt |
| 79 | Miah Said | Mr Speaker | 5G | WO 1 | 6f synthetic |
| 75 | Final Score | Not This Time | 2C | SAR 4 | 1 1/16 miles turf |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
• Top HRN figure 26.2% winners
• Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners
• Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.