Speed figures: Daily HRN top 10 plus fastest maidens
Miguel Clément has won three graded turf stakes during the current Belmont at Aqueduct meet. Love Cervère’s joined that list Saturday with her victory in the Glen Cove (G3). That effort tied her for the second-best of the daily Horse Racing Nation speed figures.
The 127 she earned for the 3-year-old filly by Into Mischief came at 2-1 odds in the six-furlong race, securing Love Cervère her fourth win from eight starts.
Souper Tuscan led Saturday’s performers with a 131 HRN figure at Delaware Park in the eighth race. The 3-year-old colt by Vino Rosso captured a 5 1/2-furlong dirt allowance at 3-5 odds, recording his third career victory in his sixth start.
Four runners shared the second-highest figure with 127 HRN scores across multiple tracks. One Magic Philly earned her 127 at Keeneland in a 6 1/2-furlong dirt allowance, winning at 6-5 odds for her fourth career victory from 10 starts.
Saturday’s top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | Souper Tuscan | Vino Rosso | 3 c | DEL 8 | 5 1/2 f dirt |
| 127 | One Magic Philly | Good Magic | 4 f | KEE 6 | 6 1/2 f dirt |
| 127 | Love Cervère | Into Mischief | 3 f | BAQ 10 | 6f turf |
| 127 | Slam Notion | Great Notion | 3 g | LRL 12 | 6 f dirt |
| 124 | Maximum Fifty | Souper Speedy | 4 f | WO 11 | 6 f syn |
| 122 | Stilettos | Upstart | 3 f | KEE 8 | 6f dirt |
| 117 | Land d’Oro | Medaglia d’Oro | 4 g | BAQ 6 | 1 mile dirt |
| 116 | Rezasrolex | Bucchero | 4 g | GP 6 | 5 1/2 f syn |
| 116 | Coringa | Practical Joke | 4 g | LRL 4 | 1 1/8 turf |
| 116 | Onyx Ten | Street Magician | 3 f | LRL 7 | 7 f dirt |
Fastest maiden winners
Tequilasoupernova posted the day’s highest maiden winner figure with a 113 at Woodbine. The 3-year-old filly by Souper Speedy captured a six-furlong synthetic maiden race at even money in her sixth career start in a dominant win by 4 1/4 lengths. She is out of Tequilamockingbird, a Bold Executive mare who earned $119,000, and her top sibling Genius of Love by Reload has earned $232,000.
Sleepingonfreedom earned a 107 at Keeneland in a 6 1/2-furlong maiden race. The 2-year-old colt by Independence Hall won at 4-5 odds in his second career start. His dam Siesta by Tiznow and top sibling Nimmo by Yoshida has earned $66,000.
No Bees impressed with a 107 at Keeneland in his debut. The 2-year-old colt by Bee Jersey captured a 6 1/2-furlong dirt maiden race at 9-1 odds. His dam No Extensions by Not Bourbon earned $35,000.
Saturday’s top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | Tequilasoupernova | Souper Speedy | 3 f | WO 7 | 6 f syn |
| 107 | Sleepingonfreedom | Independence Hall | 2 c | KEE 4 | 6 1/2 f dirt |
| 107 | No Bees | Bee Jersey | 2 c | KEE 1 | 6 1/2 f dirt |
| 106 | Starvin | Vino Rosso | 3 c | WO 4 | 1 mile turf |
| 105 | Bronze Bullet | Leinster | 2 c | GP 5 | 5 f syn |
| 105 | Super Corredora | Gun Runner | 2 f | SA 6 | 1 mile dirt |
| 104 | Shadow Surge | Speightstown | 4 g | BAQ 5 | 6 f dirt |
| 103 | Chummers | Combatant | 2 c | BAQ 3 | 6 f turf |
| 100 | Prost | Khozan | 2 c | GP 2 | 7 f dirt |
| 100 | Burning Rubber | Flameaway | 3 c | SA 5 | 6 f turf |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN’s proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure 26.2% winners.
Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners.
Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners.
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.