Speed figures: 4-year-old Del Mar winner leads top 10

Photo: Del Mar TV

Roselee May led all performers with a 138 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Del Mar in the seventh race. The 4-year-old filly by Blame captured a 1 3/8-mile turf allowance optional claimer at 7-1 odds. This marked her fourth career victory in her 15th start.

Be Together earned a 116 HRN speed figure at Colonial Downs in a 1 3/16-mile turf maiden special weight. The 3-year-old filly by Uncle Mo won at 9-5 odds in her fourth career start. Her top sibling Smart Uncle has earned $100,000 by the same sire.

Makes Sense completed the top three with a 114 HRN speed figure at Saratoga in a seven-furlong dirt stakes/optional claimer. The 3-year-old colt by Street Sense scored at 6-1 odds, recording his second career win from six starts.

Thursday’s top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
138 Roselee May Blame 4F DMR 7 1 3/8 turf
116 Be Together Uncle Mo 3F CNL 6 1 3/16 turf
114 Makes Sense Street Sense 3C SAR 4 7f dirt
114 Belgian Beau Liam 2C SAR 6 5 1/2f dirt
112 Auratium Funtastic 4F DMR 2 1 mile dirt
112 Tiz Eddie Sahara Sky 4G IND 4 6f dirt
110 Lovely Grey Vekoma 2F CNL 3 1 1/16 turf
110 Taillights Alternation 5G IND 1 6f dirt
110 Levitating Authentic 3G SAR 8 7f dirt
109 Bag's Gold Vronsky 6G DMR 6 6f dirt

Fastest maiden winners

Be Together posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 116 HRN speed figure at Colonial Downs. The 3-year-old filly by Uncle Mo dominated a 1 3/16-mile turf maiden special weight at 9-5 odds in her fourth career start. She is out of Smart Together by Smart Strike, whose top offspring Smart Uncle earned $100,000 by the same sire Uncle Mo.

Belgian impressed with a 114 HRN speed figure in a 5 1/2-furlong dirt maiden special weight at Saratoga. The 2-year-old colt by Beau Liam won at 5-2 odds in his second career start. His dam Watch Smartly by Smart Strike produced Grade 1-placed sibling Frost Wise, who earned $267,000.

Lovely Grey earned a 110 HRN speed figure at Colonial Downs in her third career start. The 2-year-old filly by Vekoma finished a 1 1/16-mile turf maiden special weight at 4-1 odds. Her dam Knightwithputnam by Unbridled's Song also produced Spanish Doubloon, who earned $104,000.

Thursday’s top maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
116 Be Together Uncle Mo 3F CNL 6 1 3/16 turf
114 Belgian Beau Liam 2C SAR 6 5 1/2f dirt
110 Lovely Grey Vekoma 2F CNL 3 1 1/16 turf
110 Levitating Authentic 3G SAR 8 7f dirt
108 Deterrent Midshipman 3G CNL 2 1 mile dirt
105 Tapit Dynasty Constitution 3G DMR 8 1 1/16 dirt
99 Ryan's Wish Mshawish 3G IND 2 6f dirt
95 Septembersixtyfour Omaha Beach 3G DMR 1 5f turf
94 Vulcan's Boots Flameaway 2C CNL 5 1 mile turf
89 Confront Constitution 3C IND 3 5f dirt

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

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