Speed figs: HRN's top 10 daily winners and fastest maidens
Rigel led all performers Thursday with a 126 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Colonial Downs in the fourth race. The 5-year-old gelding by Carpe Diem captured a 1 3/16-mile starter optional claimer on turf at 8-5 odds. This marked his seventh career victory in his 21st start.
Militia earned a 126 HRN speed figure at Delaware Park in a 5 1/2-furlong dirt starter allowance. The 3-year-old filly by Army Mule won at 3-1 odds in a dominant win by 4 3/4 lengths. This was her second career victory in her sixth start.
The Heights completed the top three with a 120 HRN speed figure at Delaware Park in a six-furlong claiming race on dirt. The 5-year-old gelding by Nyquist scored at 6-1 odds, recording his fifth career win from 29 starts. He is out of Pangburn, a Grade 2-placed mare who earned $338,000, and his top sibling Caddo River by Hard Spun was Grade 1-placed and earned $838,000.
Thursday's top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | Rigel | Carpe Diem | 5G | CNL 4 | 1 3/16 turf |
| 126 | Militia | Army Mule | 3F | DEL 2 | 5 1/2f dirt |
| 120 | The Heights | Nyquist | 5G | DEL 4 | 6f dirt |
| 120 | Kirin | Lord Nelson | 3G | CNL 2 | 6f dirt |
| 118 | Cairo Street | Cairo Prince | 4F | CNL 8 | 1 mile turf |
| 118 | Script | Algorithms | 6G | KD 8 | 6 1/2f turf |
| 117 | Ice Express | Keen Ice | 4G | IND 5 | 6f dirt |
| 114 | Sardis | Into Mischief | 4G | KD 3 | 1 mile turf |
| 113 | Two Beers by Ten | Omaha Beach | 4C | IND 8 | 1 3/16 turf |
| 112 | Mambo Queen | Mendelssohn | 3F | CNL 5 | 1 mile turf |
Fastest maiden winners
Mambo Queen posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 112 HRN speed figure at Colonial Downs. The 3-year-old filly by Mendelssohn won a one-mile maiden claimer on turf at 6-5 odds in her fifth career start. She is out of Painter's Muse, a Smart Strike mare, and her top sibling James Jones by More Than Ready has earned $141,000.
Musical impressed with a 111 HRN speed figure in a six-furlong dirt maiden claimer at Delaware Park. The 3-year-old colt by Candy Ride won at 2-5 odds in his second career start. He is out of Melody by Street Sense, and his top sibling Maestro by Candy Ride has earned $3,000.
Honey Dutch earned a 101 HRN speed figure at Kentucky Downs in his third career start in a dominant win by 6 3/4 lengths. The 2-year-old colt by Knicks Go finished a one-mile maiden special weight on turf at 10-1 odds. He is out of Ms V Time by Tiznow who earned $33,000.
Thursday's top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 | Mambo Queen | Mendelssohn | 3F | CNL 5 | 1 mile turf |
| 111 | Musical | Candy Ride | 3C | DEL 8 | 6f dirt |
| 101 | Going Lucky | Lookin At Lucky | 3F | WO 6 | 6 1/2f syn |
| 101 | Honey Dutch | Knicks Go | 2C | KD 11 | 1 mile turf |
| 99 | Repentless | Violence | 2C | KD 1 | 7f turf |
| 98 | Imaginationthelady | Not This Time | 2F | KD 5 | 1 mile turf |
| 97 | Vrana | Lope de Vega | 4F | WO 7 | 7f syn |
| 93 | Unmerited Favor | Summer Front | 3F | KD 2 | 1 5/16 turf |
| 83 | Big Earn | Warrior's Reward | 4F | CNL 1 | 5 1/2f turf |
| 79 | Daddys Dreamin | Maximus Mischief | 3F | IND 7 | 5 1/2f dirt |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure, 26.2% winners
Top Beyer figure, 28.1% winners
Top TimeformUS figure, 28.4% winners
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.