Speed figs: HRN’s top 10 daily winners and fastest maidens
Special Wan led all performers Saturday with a 134 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Kentucky Downs in the 11th race. The 5-year-old mare by Belardo won the Grade 3 Ladies Turf Stakes at 2-1 odds, capturing her fourth career victory in her 10th start.
Formidable Man earned a 132 at Del Mar in the fifth race. The 4-year-old colt by City of Light captured the Del Mar Mile at 7-5 odds, recording his eighth career win from 15 starts.
He’s in Charge completed the top three with a 127 HRN figure at Delaware Park in the first race. The 7-year-old gelding by Candy Ride won a six-furlong optional claimer at 1-10 odds, securing his 15th career victory from 49 starts.
Saturday’s top 10
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | Special Wan | Belardo | 5 m | KD 11 | 1 mi (t) |
| 132 | Formidable Man | City of Light | 4 c | DMR 5 | 1 mi (t) |
| 127 | He’s in Charge | Candy Ride | 7 g | DEL 1 | 6 f |
| 127 | Bellezza | Siyouni | 4 f | SAR 10 | 1 3/8 (t) |
| 125 | De Angelo | Violence | 4 g | DEL 7 | 5 1/2 f |
| 125 | Vibez | Collected | 4 f | DMR 7 | 1 mi (t) |
| 125 | Fierceness | City of Light | 4 c | DMR 10 | 1 1/4 mi |
| 125 | Acoustic Ave | Maclean’s Music | 5 g | SAR 12 | 6 f |
| 125 | Ag Bullet | Twirling Candy | 5 m | KD 8 | 6 1/2 f (t) |
| 121 | Bear River | Flameaway | 4 g | KD 9 | 6 f turf |
Fastest maiden winners
Talkin posted the day’s highest maiden-winner figure with a 118 at Saratoga. The 2-year-old colt by Good Magic won a seven-furlong maiden race at 9-1 odds in his debut. He is out of Rote, a Tiznow mare, and his top sibling Royal Obsession was Grade 2 placed and earned $141,000.
Tempus Volat impressed with a 116 in the first race at Del Mar. The 3-year-old colt by Not This Time finished a one-mile turf maiden race at 5-2 odds in his fourth career start. His dam Bella Carina by War Front, and his top sibling Delahaye is a Grade 3 winner who has earned $491,000.
In the Stars earned a 115 figure at Kentucky Downs in her sixth career start in a dominant win by seven lengths. The 3-year-old filly by Into Mischief captured a one-mile turf maiden race at 9-5 odds. She is out of Grade 1 winner Stellar Wind, a Curlin mare who earned $2.90 million, and her top sibling Magnify has earned $48,000.
Top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | Talkin | Good Magic | 2 c | SAR 6 | 7f dirt | 1/4 |
| 116 | Tempus Volat | Not This Time | 3 c | DMR 1 | 1 mi (t) | 1 |
| 115 | In the Stars | Into Mischief | 3 f | KD 1 | 1 mi (t) | 7 |
| 112 | Beer Run | City of Light | 5 g | KD 6 | 6 f (t) | 2 1/4 |
| 110 | Blue Suede Hooves | Astern | 2 g | DEL 4 | 1 3/16 (t) | 1/4 |
| 105 | Ground Support | Army Mule | 2 f | KD 2 | 1 mi (t) | 3/4 |
| 105 | Snowyte | Good Magic | 3 f | MTH 6 | 6 f | 5 1/4 |
| 104 | Universe | Global Campaign | 2 c | SAR 8 | 7 f | 4 1/2 |
| 102 | Design | Munnings | 3 f | WO 6 | 1 mi (t) | 3/4 |
| 99 | Cooperation | Showcasing | 2 f | CNL 3 | 1 mi (t) | nose |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN’s proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure 26.2% winners.
Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners.
Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners.
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.