Speed figs: 10 fastest horses of the day + top maiden winners
By winning the Grade 3, $2.5 million Mint Millions Invitational Stakes at Kentucky Downs, 14-1 long shot Epic Ride led all performers with a 132 Horse Racing Nation speed figure Saturday.
The 4-year-old gelding by Blame became a five-time winner with the victory in his 16th start.
Click here for Kentucky Downs entries and results.
Safe Trip Home earned a 131 HRN figure at Colonial Downs in the Colonial Cup. The 5-year-old gelding by More Than Ready won the 1 1/2-mile turf contest at 7-2 odds in his 10th career start. His dam Dido is Grade 3-placed and earned $166,000.
Alani completed the top three with a 131 at Laurel Park in a 5 1/2-furlong dirt allowance. The 4-year-old filly by Competitive Edge scored at 4-5 odds, recording her sixth career win from 16 starts. Her top sibling The Gomper is Grade 3-placed and earned $158,000.
Friday’s top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | Epic Ride | Blame | 4 g | KD 7 | 1 mi (t) |
| 131 | Safe Trip Home | More Than Ready | 5 g | CNL 6 | 1 1/2 (t) |
| 131 | Alani | Competitive Edge | 4 f | LRL 4 | 5 1/2 f |
| 128 | Ole Crazy Bone | Ghostzapper | 5 g | KD 11 | 1 1/2 (t) |
| 127 | Boardwalk Jack | Sea Wizard | 3 g | MTH 6 | 6 f |
| 127 | Uphill Dance | Tonalist | 4 f | WO 9 | 6 1/2 f (s) |
| 125 | Runaway Jack | Not This Time | 6 g | DEL 2 | 6 f |
| 120 | Saturday Flirt | Mendelssohn | 3 f | KD 4 | 6 1/2 f (t) |
| 120 | Plensa | Caravaggio | 3 c | KD 8 | 1 mi (t) |
| 120 | Estocada | American Freedom | 3 f | LRL 2 | 1 1/16 |
Fastest maiden winners
Decorum posted the day’s highest maiden winner figure with a 113 HRN speed figure at Laurel Park. The 3-year-old colt by Declan’s Warrior dominated a six-furlong maiden race at 3-1 odds in a dominant win by 11 1/4 lengths. He is out of Ready It by More Than Ready, and his top sibling Iminchargenow has earned $31,000.
Orion Beach earned a 112 at Woodbine in a six-furlong, synthetic, maiden race. The 3-year-old filly by Omaha Beach won at 5-1 odds in her fifth career start. Her dam Alnilah is Grade 3-placed and earned $246,000.
Vita Mia impressed with a 105 at Gulfstream Park in her third career start. The 2-year-old filly by Engage captured a one-mile maiden race at 6-5 odds. Her top sibling Dr Bayter has earned $131,000 by Girvin.
Friday’s top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | Decorum | Declan’s Warrior | 3 c | LRL 7 | 6 f |
| 112 | Orion Beach | Omaha Beach | 3 f | WO 8 | 6 f (s) |
| 105 | Vita Mia | Engage | 2 f | GP 5 | 1 mi |
| 103 | Aleramo | Arizona | 3 f | DMR 5 | 1 mi (t) |
| 103 | Exonerate | Justify | 2 c | KD 12 | 1 mi (t) |
| 102 | S S Quality | Essential Quality | 2 c | CNL 3 | 7 f |
| 101 | Agia Marina | Quality Road | 3 f | KD 5 | 1 mi (t) |
| 100 | To the Eastside | Enticed | 4 g | GP 3 | 6 f |
| 100 | Stark Contrast | Caravaggio | 2 c | DMR 3 | 1 mi (t) |
| 100 | Mo’s Glitter | Mosler | 2 g | LRL 5 | 5 f |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN’s proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure 26.2% winners.
Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners.
Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners.
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.