Sire stats: Not This Time's sons are leading the way
With the big debut win by It's Our Time and the Keeneland September yearling sale coming up, we wanted to take a look at his sire Not This Time and reviewing his success as a sire. His runners are competitive across the board, but he's had the most success with his sons and more often routing than sprinting.
A son of Giant's Causeway, Not This Time ran four times only at 2, demonstrating speed and talent and completing his career with a runner-up finish in the 2016 Breeders' Cup Juvenile. At stud, he has established himself as one of the premier stallions in North America. He is standing at Taylor Made Stallions in Kentucky and commanded a stud fee of $175,000 for the 2025 breeding season.
Not This Time has proven himself as an exceptional sire with six Grade 1 winners and 25 total graded-stakes winners from his offspring. His Grade 1 winners include Epicenter, winner of the Travers Stakes; Cogburn, Jaipur Stakes; Just One Time, Madison Stakes; Princess Noor, Del Mar Debutante; Sacred Wish, Matriarch Stakes; and Up to the Mark, Coolmore Turf Mile.
| Grade | Wins | Winners |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 - Cogburn, Epicenter, Just One Time, Princess Noor, Sacred Wish, Up to the Mark |
| 2 | 16 | 10 - Arzak, Cogburn, Epicenter, Gigante, Giocoso, Just One Time, Magnitude, Next, Princess Noor, Simplification |
| 3 | 18 | 16 - Abientot, Arzak, Clock Tower, Cogburn, Dazzling Move, Disco Time, Dream On, Easy Time, Final Gambit, Midnight Stroll, Next, No More Time, Sibelius, Swift Delivery, Time to Dazzle, Yes This Time |
Surface analysis: Dirt dominance with turf success
Not This Time's offspring have demonstrated versatility across surfaces, with their strongest performance coming on dirt while maintaining solid turf form. From 4,572 total starts, his progeny have earned over $53 million with an 18.1% overall win rate.
| Surface | Starts | W | W% | Avg HRN | $/start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt | 3,020 | 578 | 19.1% | 87 | $10,440 |
| Turf | 1,048 | 169 | 16.1% | 90 | $16,962 |
| Synthetic | 504 | 81 | 16.1% | 86 | $8,231 |
| Overall | 4,572 | 828 | 18.1% | 88 | $11,692 |
Although dirt provides the highest win percentage at 19.1%, turf runners earn significantly more per start at $16,962 compared to $10,440 on dirt. Turf runners also produce the highest average Horse Racing Nation speed figures at 90.
Distance analysis: Balanced performance across distances
Not This Time's progeny show effectiveness at both sprint and route distances with remarkably similar win rates. Their route performance generates substantially higher earnings per start despite nearly identical win percentages.
| Distance | Starts | W | W% | Avg HRN | $/start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sprint | 2,336 | 421 | 18.0% | 85 | $9,073 |
| Route | 2,236 | 407 | 18.2% | 90 | $14,427 |
Route runners average five points higher on HRN speed figures (90 vs. 85) and earn nearly $5,400 more per start, indicating their ability to compete effectively in higher-quality distance events.
Surface and distance combinations: identifying strengths
Breaking down performance by both surface and distance reveals specific patterns of where Not This Time's offspring excel most.
| Surface/ Distance |
Starts | W | W% | Avg HRN | $/start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt Sprint | 1,821 | 341 | 18.7% | 86 | $7,735 |
| Dirt Route | 1,199 | 237 | 19.8% | 89 | $14,549 |
| Turf Sprint | 289 | 49 | 17.0% | 82 | $20,183 |
| Turf Route | 759 | 120 | 15.8% | 93 | $15,735 |
| Synth Sprint | 226 | 31 | 13.7% | 84 | $5,649 |
| Synth Route | 278 | 50 | 18.0% | 88 | $10,330 |
Dirt routes produce the highest win percentage at 19.8% while turf sprints generate the most earnings per start at $20,183. Turf routes achieve the highest average speed figures at 93, indicating strong performance quality in distance turf events.
Detailed distance analysis: Excellence at longer distances
Examining specific distance ranges reveals where Not This Time's offspring perform most effectively across the racing spectrum.
| Distance Range | Starts | W | W% | Avg HRN | $/start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 6F | 695 | 135 | 19.4% | 77 | $8,950 |
| 6F to 6.5F | 1,300 | 224 | 17.2% | 89 | $8,793 |
| 6.51F to 8F | 1,393 | 243 | 17.4% | 88 | $10,139 |
| 8.01F to 9F | 1,105 | 209 | 18.9% | 92 | $14,364 |
| Greater than 9F | 79 | 17 | 21.5% | 107 | $73,510 |
Not This Time's offspring show remarkable improvement at longer distances, culminating in exceptional performance beyond nine furlongs. At distances greater than nine furlongs, they win at 21.5% with outstanding 107 average speed figures and earnings of $73,510 per start, though this reflects a smaller sample size of 79 starts.
Gender differences: Males show superior results
Not This Time demonstrates clear differences in how his talent transfers to male versus female offspring.
| Gender | Sts | W | W% | Avg HRN | $/start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male | 2,606 | 513 | 19.7% | 93 | $13,501 |
| Female | 1,966 | 315 | 16.0% | 81 | $9,293 |
Male progeny significantly outperform females across all metrics, with a higher win rate, 19.7% vs. 16.0%, substantially better speed figures, 93 vs. 81), and earnings that exceed females by over $4,200 per start.
Where this also comes to light is looking at graded-stakes results by sex.
| Gender | Gradeds-takes wins | Grade-stakes winners | Graded-stakes placers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Male | 33 | 18 | 21 |
| Female | 9 | 7 | 16 |
Here we can see that males have won more than three times the graded stakes that their female counterparts have.
Wet track performance: Maintaining effectiveness
Not This Time's offspring adapt well to varying track conditions, showing strong performance on wet surfaces across different categories.
| Surface/ Condition |
Sts | W | W% | Avg HRN | $/start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirt sprint wet | 310 | 62 | 20.0% | 86 | $8,360 |
| Dirt route wet | 257 | 52 | 20.2% | 87 | $11,986 |
| Turf sprint wet | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 82 | $32,939 |
| Turf route set | 108 | 17 | 15.7% | 94 | $14,874 |
Wet-track performance remains strong, particularly on turf sprints where they achieve an exceptional 31.7% win rate. Both dirt categories maintain win rates above 20%.
Development pattern: Steady improvement with experience
Not This Time's offspring show typical progression patterns as they gain racing experience, with notable improvement by their third start.
| Experience | Sts | W | W% | Avg HRN | $/start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First start | 389 | 73 | 18.8% | 73 | $9,143 |
| Second start | 341 | 64 | 18.8% | 79 | $11,186 |
| Third start | 304 | 63 | 20.7% | 83 | $12,041 |
Although win percentages remain consistent through the first two starts, there's clear improvement in speed figures and earnings. By the third start, win percentage increases to 20.7% with continued gains in average speed figures.
Age comparison: Peak performance at 4
Not This Time's progeny show consistent development across age groups. But they hit the track ready to run, scoring at 21.2% as 2-year-olds.
| Age | Sts | W | W% | Avg HRN | $/start |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2YO | 698 | 148 | 21.2% | 75 | $13,003 |
| 3YO | 1,871 | 327 | 17.5% | 84 | $13,823 |
| 4YO | 1,453 | 287 | 19.8% | 90 | $11,345 |
| 5YO+ | 1,321 | 203 | 15.4% | 94 | $8,738 |
Future outlook: Established elite sire
This is not news, but Not This Time has firmly established himself among North America's leading stallions with six Grade 1 winners and 42 total graded-stakes wins across multiple surfaces and distances. His offspring demonstrate particular strength in dirt routes and exceptional ability at longer distances, while males consistently outperform females across all metrics.