See the ever-changing odds for 240 Kentucky Derby candidates
Bettors trying to poach long odds on this year’s Kentucky Derby winner would be advised to make their futures plays on horses before they finish first or second in points preps.
There was no better example of that than Saturday, when Greatest Honour and Tarantino went one-two in the Holy Bull Stakes (G3) at Gulfstream Park, and Medina Spirit and Roman Centurian did the same in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3) at Santa Anita.
Greatest Honour not only closed to win in Florida, he shortened from a best price of 60-1 in Las Vegas futures to 16-1, making him a top five choice for May 1 at Churchill Downs. Tarantino (see below) was a surprising arrival on the Derby trail, shortening from 225-1 to a best 125-1.
[RELATED – First Look: Two Derby preps lead 10 top stakes this weekend]
Players could have gotten Medina Spirit at 60-1 before his thrilling win in California for six-time Derby-winning trainer Bob Baffert moved him to 22-1. Roman Centurian’s narrow loss shortened him from 100-1 to 55-1.
While three of those names were already among the betting choices, Tarantino was one of the five horses that opened last week in the Derby futures at Circa Sports and at William Hill Nevada.
Crowded Trade (55-1 Circa). This deep closer by More Than Ready was an even-money winner at six furlongs in his debut Thursday at Aqueduct. He was a weanling when owner Seth Klarman bought him for $185,000. Three red flags on him are that his racing style does not translate well to recent Derby history, the New York winter is not exactly a proving ground for the classics, and trainer Chad Brown seldom gets horses to the gate at Churchill Downs let alone win the roses.
Tarantino (85-1 Circa, 125-1 William Hill). Anyone who got him at his opening Derby odds of 225-1 was buoyed by his switch from turf to dirt, which resulted in a second-place finish Saturday as a 26-1 long shot in the Holy Bull (G3). This Pioneerof the Nile colt has taken a less than a straight path onto the Triple Crown trail. He started in the barn of Bob Baffert, earning a win and a second in two races on the California grass. Then his high-profile owners led by SF Racing tried to sell him last fall. When his $240,000 reserve was not attained, he was shipped east to trainer Rodolphe Brisset. That led to a winning turf start in December at Gulfstream Park before Saturday’s encouraging move to the dirt.
Outasite (150-1 Circa, 150-1 William Hill). How deep can Brad Cox’s bench get? Add this pacesetting Outwork
colt that broke his maiden Jan. 23 on his third try, earning a Beyer Speed
Figure of 84. He did it at odds-on going six furlongs at Oaklawn Park after two
failures at Churchill Downs, once as a favorite. Outasite has as much of a
history in the sales ring as he does on the track. With a winning $380,000 bid
last March, Jim Rupp became his fourth owner.
Slumber Party (200-1 Circa). It is a simple question. Will Gary and Mary West run their homebred filly by Malibu Moon against the boys? Slumber Party got her career started at Gulfstream Park with a geared-down 7 1/2-length sprint victory the day after the Pegasus. Will an 88 Beyer tempt trainer Kelly Breen to look beyond the Kentucky Oaks? That might not be such a simple question.
Jirafales (350-1 Circa). He finished a distant fifth Saturday as the longest shot on the board for the Holy Bull, so his Derby futures price held firm. Trained by Gustavo Delgado, the Social Inclusion colt’s only other race was a convincing win last fall against Florida-breds at Gulfstream Park West. Oh, Jirafales? That is Spanish for giraffes. It was also the name of a character in the 1970s Mexican television comedy “El Chavo.”
Here are the 240 horses listed at Circa Sports and William Hill Nevada with their Kentucky Derby odds:
Circa WH
450-1 400-1 Advance Cash
150-1 Affable
100-1 Alain Barows
400-1 150-1 Al Heybay
200-1 Alexander Valley
400-1 175-1 All Mo
300-1 150-1 Ambivalent
200-1 American Admiral
75-1 50-1 Amount
400-1 200-1 Ampersand
300-1 150-1 Angkor
90-1 Arabian Prince
200-1 250-1 Ascot Storm
400-1 250-1 Awesome Gerry
300-1 Baafeed
110-1 Barraza
400-1 250-1 Basso
450-1 Beatbox
200-1 150-1 Beep Beep
350-1 150-1 Belafonte
11-1 15-1 Bezos
200-1 175-1 Big Daddy Dave
350-1 200-1 Big Flame
200-1 Big Thorn
350-1 200-1 Blue Gator
300-1 200-1 Bob’s Edge
350-1 120-1 Boca Boy
250-1 125-1 Bolden
450-1 140-1 Bold Minister
350-1 200-1 Boomer
175-1 Bracken
300-1 150-1 Breeze On By
150-1 Broadway
150-1 65-1 Brooklyn Strong
175-1 By George
18-1 15-1 Caddo River
250-1 150-1 Cajun Commander
300-1 100-1 Calibrate
350-1 175-1 Camp Hope
100-1 75-1 Candy Man Rocket
55-1 60-1 Capo Kane
200-1 125-1 Cazadero
400-1 125-1 Chicks For Free
600-1 Civil War
65-1 25-1 Classier
11-1 10-1 Concert Tour
300-1 225-1 Cousin Larry
175-1 Cowan
600-1 Crazy Shot
55-1 Crowded Trade
500-1 Dalton
600-1 Dayoutoftheoffice
150-1 Defeater
300-1 Democrat
225-1 100-1 Donegal Bay
125-1 100-1 Drain the Clock
200-1 50-1 Dr. Schivel
250-1 Dreamer’s Disease
150-1 Dream Shake
400-1 Drop Anchor
115-1 Du Jour
70-1 Dynamic One
300-1 Dyn O Mite
300-1 120-1 Eagle Orb
225-1 75-1 Editor in Chief
600-1 100-1 Effinity
400-1 Engrave
750-1 500-1 Erawan
12-1 7-1 Essential Quality
250-1 125-1 Ethical Judgement
250-1 125-1 Eucharist
200-1 Excellent Timing
450-1 400-1 Famous Gent
300-1 150-1 Fauci
175-1 85-1 Fenway
175-1 Find New Roads
60-1 Fire At Will
250-1 100-1 Founder
65-1 Found My Ball
250-1 120-1 Freedom Fighter
250-1 150-1 Fury Kap
250-1 150-1 Gagetown
300-1 Game Day Play
250-1 175-1 Garoppolo
250-1 125-1 Get Her Number
65-1 Ghazaaly
600-1 Girl Daddy
200-1 125-1 Girther
175-1 Golden Pal
15-1 16-1 Greatest Honour
400-1 Hardly Swayed
400-1 150-1 Hendavid
600-1 Hendrick
500-1 250-1 Hercules
300-1 140-1 Herd Immunity
150-1 100-1 Hidden Stash
75-1 30-1 Highly Motivated
600-1 200-1 Highway Bound
300-1 150-1 Hold the Salsa
300-1 Hopkins
300-1 200-1 Horn Of Plenty
75-1 40-1 Hot Rod Charlie
85-1 50-1 Hozier
300-1 75-1 Huntsinger
300-1 100-1 Hyperfocus
300-1 175-1 Inspector Frost
350-1 160-1 Isolate
350-1 250-1 It Can Be Done
70-1 40-1 Jackie’s Warrior
150-1 Jaxon Traveler
350-1 Jirafales
350-1 Joe Frazier
300-1 125-1 Judge N Jury
250-1 Kahuna Magic
35-1 40-1 Keepmeinmind
250-1 150-1 Kenny Had a Notion
300-1 125-1 King Fury
300-1 125-1 Known Agenda
300-1 150-1 Kwist
200-1 65-1 Lamutanaatty
500-1 Lawlessness
70-1 Lemon Pop
150-1 Lidstrom
8-1 8-1 Life Is Good
400-1 150-1 Likeable
350-1 250-1 Lookin For Trouble
150-1 Lord Of War
350-1 150-1 Lugamo
35-1 35-1 Mandaloun
200-1 Manor House
250-1 Martini Blu
22-1 20-1 Medina Spirit
70-1 45-1 Midnight Bourbon
400-1 250-1 Momos
350-1 Moonlite Strike
200-1 My Man Bags
150-1 Never Surprised
200-1 125-1 Next
200-1 No Cents
400-1 North Pole
600-1 Notable Exception
600-1 Notary
200-1 125-1 Nova Rags
300-1 Number One Dude
60-1 50-1 Olympiad
400-1 Oncoming Train
350-1 Original
250-1 Outadore
150-1 100-1 Outasite
150-1 Overtook
200-1 Papetu
350-1 150-1 Parnelli
300-1 Petruchio
300-1 175-1 Pickin’ Time
300-1 Pico d’Oro
400-1 250-1 Poppy’s Pride
350-1 250-1 Positivity
50-1 35-1 Prate
300-1 Pregame
20-1 16-1 Prevalence
35-1 25-1 Prime Factor
250-1 125-1 Prisoner
250-1 Proud Contender
85-1 Proxy
275-1 125-1 Quick Tempo
400-1 250-1 Raison d’Air
350-1 250-1 Real Talk
150-1 32-1 Red Flag
400-1 Red N Wild
400-1 Regular Guy
90-1 100-1 Reinvestment Risk
175-1 150-1 Restored Order
175-1 125-1 Return the Ring
125-1 Ricochet
200-1 120-1 Risk Taking
225-1 Rock Sugar
40-1 Rock Your World
300-1 125-1 Roderick
55-1 40-1 Roman Centurian
125-1 90-1 Rombauer
400-1 Rosenquist
300-1 150-1 Run Snappy
200-1 Runway Magic
350-1 200-1 Saffa’s Day
150-1 125-1 Santa Cruiser
120-1 50-1 Savile Row
250-1 Scarlet Fusion
250-1 125-1 Scarred
750-1 300-1 Schnell
350-1 225-1 Seazan
450-1 200-1 Seminole Beach
40-1 40-1 Señor Buscador
140-1 Shackqueenking
250-1 Shaftesbury
250-1 Simovitch
150-1 100-1 Sittin On Go
500-1 125-1 Slashing
200-1 Slumber Party
200-1 75-1 Smiley Sobotka
250-1 140-1 Sonic Brees
500-1 175-1 Son Of A Beast
350-1 225-1 Sound The Charge
150-1 65-1 Speaker’s Corner
200-1 65-1 Spielberg
110-1 85-1 Stage Raider
115-1 125-1 Starrininmydreams
275-1 125-1 Stayin’ Out Late
500-1 250-1 Superman Shaq
150-1 100-1 Super Stock
150-1 100-1 Swiftsure
200-1 130-1 Swill
300-1 175-1 Swot Analysis
350-1 250-1 Tacoflavoredkisses
85-1 125-1 Tarantino
125-1 90-1 Team Merchants
125-1 75-1 Ten For Ten
300-1 Tenor
125-1 The Chosen Vron
35-1 45-1 The Great One
175-1 100-1 Therideofalifetime
250-1 150-1 Thranduil
500-1 200-1 Tiz Handsome
500-1 300-1 Tiz Mandate
400-1 Touchdown Brown
300-1 175-1 Twilight Blue
300-1 250-1 Ultimate Badger
200-1 200-1 Uno
300-1 175-1 Upstriker
600-1 500-1 Valiant Thor
250-1 150-1 Va Va Vegas
500-1 Vequist
135-1 50-1 Vittorio
300-1 200-1 Waist Deep
200-1 Warrior’s Pride
500-1 250-1 Waspirant
400-1 200-1 Weston
175-1 Weyburn
250-1 200-1 What’s Up Surfer
150-1 125-1 Whiskey Double
300-1 350-1 Willy Boi
250-1 150-1 Wipe the Slate
100-1 Witsel
250-1 150-1 Work Out
300-1 200-1 Wyfire
300-1 175-1 Xtreme Mayhem