See the ever-changing odds for 240 Kentucky Derby candidates

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Bettors trying to poach long odds on this year’s Kentucky Derby winner would be advised to make their futures plays on horses before they finish first or second in points preps.

There was no better example of that than Saturday, when Greatest Honour and Tarantino went one-two in the Holy Bull Stakes (G3) at Gulfstream Park, and Medina Spirit and Roman Centurian did the same in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3) at Santa Anita.

Greatest Honour not only closed to win in Florida, he shortened from a best price of 60-1 in Las Vegas futures to 16-1, making him a top five choice for May 1 at Churchill Downs. Tarantino (see below) was a surprising arrival on the Derby trail, shortening from 225-1 to a best 125-1.

[RELATED – First Look: Two Derby preps lead 10 top stakes this weekend]

Players could have gotten Medina Spirit at 60-1 before his thrilling win in California for six-time Derby-winning trainer Bob Baffert moved him to 22-1. Roman Centurian’s narrow loss shortened him from 100-1 to 55-1.

While three of those names were already among the betting choices, Tarantino was one of the five horses that opened last week in the Derby futures at Circa Sports and at William Hill Nevada.

Crowded Trade (55-1 Circa). This deep closer by More Than Ready was an even-money winner at six furlongs in his debut Thursday at Aqueduct. He was a weanling when owner Seth Klarman bought him for $185,000. Three red flags on him are that his racing style does not translate well to recent Derby history, the New York winter is not exactly a proving ground for the classics, and trainer Chad Brown seldom gets horses to the gate at Churchill Downs let alone win the roses.

Tarantino (85-1 Circa, 125-1 William Hill). Anyone who got him at his opening Derby odds of 225-1 was buoyed by his switch from turf to dirt, which resulted in a second-place finish Saturday as a 26-1 long shot in the Holy Bull (G3). This Pioneerof the Nile colt has taken a less than a straight path onto the Triple Crown trail. He started in the barn of Bob Baffert, earning a win and a second in two races on the California grass. Then his high-profile owners led by SF Racing tried to sell him last fall. When his $240,000 reserve was not attained, he was shipped east to trainer Rodolphe Brisset. That led to a winning turf start in December at Gulfstream Park before Saturday’s encouraging move to the dirt.


Outasite (150-1 Circa, 150-1 William Hill).
How deep can Brad Cox’s bench get? Add this pacesetting Outwork colt that broke his maiden Jan. 23 on his third try, earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 84. He did it at odds-on going six furlongs at Oaklawn Park after two failures at Churchill Downs, once as a favorite. Outasite has as much of a history in the sales ring as he does on the track. With a winning $380,000 bid last March, Jim Rupp became his fourth owner.

Slumber Party (200-1 Circa). It is a simple question. Will Gary and Mary West run their homebred filly by Malibu Moon against the boys? Slumber Party got her career started at Gulfstream Park with a geared-down 7 1/2-length sprint victory the day after the Pegasus. Will an 88 Beyer tempt trainer Kelly Breen to look beyond the Kentucky Oaks? That might not be such a simple question.

Jirafales (350-1 Circa). He finished a distant fifth Saturday as the longest shot on the board for the Holy Bull, so his Derby futures price held firm. Trained by Gustavo Delgado, the Social Inclusion colt’s only other race was a convincing win last fall against Florida-breds at Gulfstream Park West. Oh, Jirafales? That is Spanish for giraffes. It was also the name of a character in the 1970s Mexican television comedy “El Chavo.”

Here are the 240 horses listed at Circa Sports and William Hill Nevada with their Kentucky Derby odds:

Circa   WH

450-1 400-1 Advance Cash

150-1          Affable

100-1          Alain Barows

400-1 150-1 Al Heybay

200-1          Alexander Valley

400-1 175-1 All Mo

300-1 150-1 Ambivalent

200-1          American Admiral

  75-1  50-1 Amount

400-1 200-1 Ampersand

300-1 150-1 Angkor

  90-1          Arabian Prince

200-1 250-1 Ascot Storm

400-1 250-1 Awesome Gerry

300-1          Baafeed

110-1          Barraza

400-1 250-1 Basso

450-1          Beatbox

200-1 150-1 Beep Beep

350-1 150-1 Belafonte

  11-1  15-1 Bezos

200-1 175-1 Big Daddy Dave

350-1 200-1 Big Flame

200-1          Big Thorn

350-1 200-1 Blue Gator

300-1 200-1 Bob’s Edge

350-1 120-1 Boca Boy

250-1 125-1 Bolden

450-1 140-1 Bold Minister

350-1 200-1 Boomer

175-1          Bracken

300-1 150-1 Breeze On By

150-1          Broadway

150-1  65-1 Brooklyn Strong

         175-1 By George

  18-1  15-1 Caddo River

250-1 150-1 Cajun Commander

300-1 100-1 Calibrate

350-1 175-1 Camp Hope

100-1  75-1 Candy Man Rocket

  55-1  60-1 Capo Kane

200-1 125-1 Cazadero

400-1 125-1 Chicks For Free

600-1          Civil War

  65-1  25-1 Classier

  11-1  10-1 Concert Tour                                                                                                   

300-1 225-1 Cousin Larry

175-1          Cowan

600-1          Crazy Shot

  55-1          Crowded Trade

500-1          Dalton

600-1          Dayoutoftheoffice

150-1          Defeater

300-1          Democrat

225-1 100-1 Donegal Bay

125-1 100-1 Drain the Clock

200-1  50-1 Dr. Schivel

250-1          Dreamer’s Disease

150-1          Dream Shake

400-1          Drop Anchor

115-1          Du Jour

  70-1          Dynamic One

300-1          Dyn O Mite

300-1 120-1 Eagle Orb

225-1   75-1 Editor in Chief

600-1 100-1 Effinity

400-1          Engrave

750-1 500-1 Erawan

  12-1    7-1 Essential Quality

250-1 125-1 Ethical Judgement

250-1 125-1 Eucharist

         200-1 Excellent Timing

450-1 400-1 Famous Gent

300-1 150-1 Fauci

175-1  85-1 Fenway

175-1          Find New Roads

  60-1          Fire At Will

250-1 100-1 Founder

  65-1          Found My Ball

250-1 120-1 Freedom Fighter

250-1 150-1 Fury Kap

250-1 150-1 Gagetown

300-1          Game Day Play

250-1 175-1 Garoppolo

250-1 125-1 Get Her Number

  65-1          Ghazaaly

600-1          Girl Daddy

200-1 125-1 Girther

175-1          Golden Pal

  15-1  16-1 Greatest Honour

400-1          Hardly Swayed

400-1 150-1 Hendavid

600-1          Hendrick

500-1 250-1 Hercules

300-1 140-1 Herd Immunity

150-1 100-1 Hidden Stash

  75-1  30-1 Highly Motivated

600-1 200-1 Highway Bound

300-1 150-1 Hold the Salsa

300-1          Hopkins

300-1 200-1 Horn Of Plenty

  75-1  40-1 Hot Rod Charlie

  85-1  50-1 Hozier

300-1  75-1 Huntsinger

300-1 100-1 Hyperfocus

300-1 175-1 Inspector Frost

350-1 160-1 Isolate    

350-1 250-1 It Can Be Done

  70-1  40-1 Jackie’s Warrior

150-1          Jaxon Traveler

350-1          Jirafales

350-1          Joe Frazier

300-1 125-1 Judge N Jury

250-1          Kahuna Magic

  35-1  40-1 Keepmeinmind

250-1 150-1 Kenny Had a Notion

300-1 125-1 King Fury

300-1 125-1 Known Agenda

300-1 150-1 Kwist

200-1  65-1 Lamutanaatty

500-1          Lawlessness

           70-1 Lemon Pop

150-1          Lidstrom

    8-1    8-1 Life Is Good

400-1 150-1 Likeable

350-1 250-1 Lookin For Trouble

150-1          Lord Of War

350-1 150-1 Lugamo

  35-1  35-1 Mandaloun

200-1          Manor House

250-1          Martini Blu

  22-1  20-1 Medina Spirit

  70-1  45-1 Midnight Bourbon

400-1 250-1 Momos

350-1          Moonlite Strike

         200-1 My Man Bags

150-1          Never Surprised

200-1 125-1 Next

200-1          No Cents

400-1          North Pole

600-1          Notable Exception

600-1          Notary

200-1 125-1 Nova Rags

300-1          Number One Dude

  60-1  50-1 Olympiad

400-1          Oncoming Train

350-1          Original

250-1          Outadore

150-1 100-1 Outasite

         150-1 Overtook

200-1          Papetu

350-1 150-1 Parnelli

300-1          Petruchio

300-1 175-1 Pickin’ Time

300-1           Pico d’Oro

400-1 250-1 Poppy’s Pride

350-1 250-1 Positivity

  50-1  35-1 Prate

300-1          Pregame

  20-1  16-1 Prevalence

  35-1  25-1 Prime Factor

250-1 125-1 Prisoner

         250-1 Proud Contender

  85-1          Proxy

275-1 125-1 Quick Tempo

400-1 250-1 Raison d’Air

350-1 250-1 Real Talk

150-1   32-1 Red Flag

400-1          Red N Wild

400-1          Regular Guy

  90-1 100-1 Reinvestment Risk

175-1 150-1 Restored Order

175-1 125-1 Return the Ring

         125-1 Ricochet

200-1 120-1 Risk Taking

225-1          Rock Sugar

  40-1          Rock Your World

300-1 125-1 Roderick

  55-1  40-1 Roman Centurian

125-1  90-1 Rombauer

400-1          Rosenquist

300-1 150-1 Run Snappy

         200-1 Runway Magic

350-1 200-1 Saffa’s Day

150-1 125-1 Santa Cruiser

120-1  50-1 Savile Row

250-1          Scarlet Fusion

250-1 125-1 Scarred

750-1 300-1 Schnell

350-1 225-1 Seazan

450-1 200-1 Seminole Beach

  40-1  40-1 Señor Buscador

140-1          Shackqueenking

250-1          Shaftesbury

250-1          Simovitch

150-1 100-1 Sittin On Go

500-1 125-1 Slashing

200-1          Slumber Party

200-1  75-1 Smiley Sobotka

250-1 140-1 Sonic Brees

500-1 175-1 Son Of A Beast

350-1 225-1 Sound The Charge

150-1  65-1 Speaker’s Corner

200-1  65-1 Spielberg

110-1  85-1 Stage Raider

115-1 125-1 Starrininmydreams

275-1 125-1 Stayin’ Out Late

500-1 250-1 Superman Shaq

150-1 100-1 Super Stock

150-1 100-1 Swiftsure

200-1 130-1 Swill

300-1 175-1 Swot Analysis

350-1 250-1 Tacoflavoredkisses

  85-1 125-1 Tarantino

125-1  90-1 Team Merchants

125-1  75-1 Ten For Ten

300-1          Tenor

         125-1 The Chosen Vron

  35-1  45-1 The Great One

175-1 100-1 Therideofalifetime

250-1 150-1 Thranduil

500-1 200-1 Tiz Handsome

500-1 300-1 Tiz Mandate

400-1          Touchdown Brown

300-1 175-1 Twilight Blue

300-1 250-1 Ultimate Badger

200-1 200-1 Uno

300-1 175-1 Upstriker

600-1 500-1 Valiant Thor

250-1 150-1 Va Va Vegas

500-1          Vequist

135-1  50-1 Vittorio

300-1 200-1 Waist Deep

         200-1 Warrior’s Pride

500-1 250-1 Waspirant

400-1 200-1 Weston

         175-1 Weyburn

250-1 200-1 What’s Up Surfer

150-1 125-1 Whiskey Double

300-1 350-1 Willy Boi

250-1 150-1 Wipe the Slate

         100-1 Witsel

250-1 150-1 Work Out

300-1 200-1 Wyfire

300-1 175-1 Xtreme Mayhem

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