See if you recognize the 10 new names carrying Ky. Derby odds
Without even racing during the holiday weekend, Life Is Good reclaimed his place as the consensus favorite for the Kentucky Derby.
Not only was he the shortest-priced individual horse, at 7-1, in the latest Churchill Downs pari-mutuel pool, his 8-1 best price in Nevada’s fixed-odds futures put him ahead of his Bob Baffert stablemate Concert Tour (10-1) and last year’s juvenile champion Essential Quality (12-1).
Beneath them, William Hill Nevada and Circa Sports continued to remove the lingering choices that no longer look like Derby contenders. William Hill has dropped 46 horses and Circa 19 since last weekend.
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Yet new names continue to be added. If Justify’s Feb. 18 debut in 2018 is the benchmark for how late a Derby contender may make a credible debut, there is not much time left for new horses. Ten showed up in Nevada futures for the first time in the last week.
Rebel’s Romance (85-1 Circa). It is that time of the season when the buzz from the Middle East grows louder. This homebred Godolphin gelding by Dubawi is 3-for-3, all at a mile. He won twice against novice competition last fall on the synthetic track at Kempton, England. Last month he closed from next to last to win by a head in the UAE 2,000 Guineas Trial on the Meydan dirt. He is expected to start Saturday in the $1.5 million Saudi Derby on the Saudi Cup undercard. Trainer Charlie Appleby then could run Rebel’s Romance through next month’s UAE Derby (G2) to try to qualify for Kentucky.
O Besos (100-1 Circa). Sired by 2013 Derby winner Orb, he outpunched his weight finishing fourth as a 21-1 long shot in the Risen Star. Going two turns, though, might have been too much for this Barrett Bernard homebred colt trained by Greg Foley. His first-time rider Marcelino Pedroza took O Besos on a wide trip Saturday and found none of the late kick that Brian Hernandez Jr. got out of him in a pair of sprint victories.
Mouheeb (110-1 Circa). Based at Dubai, this Flatter colt owned by Sheikh Ahmed Al Maktoum made up ground in the stretch to win the Feb. 4 running of the UAE 2,000 Guineas (G3). Trained by Nicholas Bachalard, he got a head in front at the wire and was clocked at a stakes-record 1:36.46 (no run-up) for the Meydan dirt mile. Mouheeb’s only loss in three starts was to Rebel’s Romance in the Guineas Trial. He, too, could be aimed for the UAE Derby.
Defeater (125-1 Circa, 125-1 William Hill). A slow start and a seven-wide trip over the last quarter-mile contributed to his half-length loss Saturday as the 2-1 favorite in a 1 1/16-mile allowance race at the Fair Grounds. The $210,000 Union Rags colt had been cross-entered in the Risen Star, but trainer Tom Amoss decided it was too soon for his maiden-sprint winner to test graded-stakes company.
Democracy (125-1 Circa). Not to be confused with the Baffert-trained gelding Democrat, this Quality Road colt from the Todd Pletcher barn was a first-out winner in the slop at Gulfstream Park. As a 6-1 long shot he overcame being one of the last out of the gate, stalked the pace and won by a nose in a Feb. 6 sprint. WinStar Farm spent $400,000 to buy a controlling share of Tami Bobo’s homebred when he was a yearling.
Promise Keeper (125-1 William Hill). Another Pletcher prospect, he broke his maiden on his second try about 90 minutes after Democracy won on the same sloppy track at Gulfstream. Carrying odds of 6-1, the $160,000 Constitution colt led the whole one-turn mile and finished first by five lengths. It was a marked improvement over his distant fourth-place finish going six furlongs on a fast track last month.
Run Classic (125-1 Circa). As the 8-5 favorite in a 1 1/16-mile maiden race, he took the lead on the far turn and ran off to a 3 1/4-length victory Saturday at the Fair Grounds. It was a cleaner ride for Brian Hernandez Jr. than last month, when the $475,000 Runhappy colt trained by Bret Calhoun got into a bumpy, backstretch duel with the eventual winner of his six-furlong debut.
Carillo (200-1 Circa). Sold for $875,000 last month in the dispersal of the Paul Pompa estate, this Union Rags colt jumped into the Risen Star in his first start for trainer Tom Amoss. At 21-1, he finished 10th in a field of 11. It proved too big a leap from a maiden mile victory for Chad Brown last month at Aqueduct.
Rightandjust (350-1 Circa). He set the pace early in the Risen Star only to fade away in the stretch and finish sixth. Claimed in December for $50,000, it was a cold dose of reality for the Awesome Again colt that had won two route races in a row by a combined 8 1/2 lengths before he found himself outclassed Saturday.
Sermononthemount (400-1 Circa). The two-time sprint winner was trying stakes company for the second time Saturday in the Risen Star. His non-competitive eighth-place finish showed bettors they had it right when they made him a 196-1 long shot. The Tale of Ekati colt has lost his two stakes starts by a combined 29 1/2 lengths. Consider this: If Sermononthemount somehow were to win the Derby, a bettor putting $10 on him at 400-1 would pocket more than the colt’s auction price last year of just $3,500.
Here are the 244 horses listed at Circa Sports and William Hill Nevada with their Kentucky Derby odds:
Circa WH
500-1 Advance Cash
200-1 Affable
110-1 Alain Barows
500-1 200-1 Al Heybay
250-1 Alexander Valley
250-1 All Mo
350-1 150-1 Ambivalent
200-1 American Admiral
80-1 50-1 Amount
400-1 300-1 Ampersand
350-1 225-1 Angkor
150-1 Arabian Prince
200-1 Ascot Storm
400-1 350-1 Awesome Gerry
125-1 Barraza
400-1 Basso
500-1 Beatbox
250-1 Beep Beep
250-1 Belafonte
45-1 20-1 Bezos
250-1 Big Daddy Dave
500-1 Big Flame
250-1 Big Thorn
400-1 Blue Gator
300-1 200-1 Bob’s Edge
400-1 175-1 Boca Boy
500-1 200-1 Bold Minister
400-1 Boomer
200-1 Bracken
300-1 175-1 Breeze On By
150-1 Broadway
200-1 45-1 Brooklyn Strong
175-1 By George
15-1 15-1 Caddo River
300-1 Cajun Commander
300-1 Calibrate
400-1 250-1 Camp Hope
70-1 30-1 Candy Man Rocket
80-1 65-1 Capo Kane
200-1 Carillo
250-1 175-1 Cazadero
500-1 Chicks For Free
70-1 25-1 Classier
65-1 Collaborate
10-1 10-1 Concert Tour
300-1 250-1 Cousin Larry
150-1 Cowan
65-1 Crowded Trade
500-1 Dalton
125-1 125-1 Defeater
125-1 Democracy
300-1 Democrat
250-1 150-1 Donegal Bay
125-1 100-1 Drain the Clock
200-1 50-1 Dr. Schivel
300-1 Dreamer’s Disease
25-1 22-1 Dream Shake
400-1 Drop Anchor
150-1 Du Jour
70-1 Dynamic One
300-1 Dyn O Mite
400-1 120-1 Eagle Orb
300-1 150-1 Editor in Chief
12-1 7-1 Essential Quality
350-1 150-1 Ethical Judgement
250-1 Excellent Timing
500-1 Famous Gent
300-1 Fauci
200-1 125-1 Fenway
300-1 Find New Roads
45-1 60-1 Fire At Will
400-1 Foreman
300-1 200-1 Founder
175-1 Found My Ball
65-1 65-1 Freedom Fighter
300-1 Fury Kap
300-1 250-1 Gagetown
175-1 Game Day Play
300-1 Garoppolo
300-1 175-1 Get Her Number
65-1 Ghazaaly
750-1 Girl Daddy
400-1 Girther
300-1 Golden Pal
17-1 12-1 Greatest Honour
500-1 Hardly Swayed
400-1 Hendavid
500-1 Hercules
300-1 Herd Immunity
150-1 100-1 Hidden Stash
40-1 30-1 Highly Motivated
300-1 150-1 Hold the Salsa
300-1 Horn Of Plenty
27-1 35-1 Hot Rod Charlie
100-1 100-1 Hozier
300-1 Huntsinger
300-1 175-1 Hyperfocus
500-1 Inspector Frost
400-1 Isolate
400-1 300-1 It Can Be Done
50-1 40-1 Jackie’s Warrior
175-1 Jaxon Traveler
350-1 Jirafales
350-1 Joe Frazier
500-1 Joe Man Joe
300-1 Judge N Jury
350-1 Kahuna Magic
30-1 32-1 Keepmeinmind
300-1 250-1 Kenny Had a Notion
350-1 200-1 King Fury
150-1 40-1 Known Agenda
200-1 Kwist
200-1 65-1 Lamutanaatty
500-1 Lawlessness
70-1 Lemon Pop
250-1 Lidstrom
7-1 8-1 Life Is Good
400-1 250-1 Likeable
400-1 Lookin For Trouble
350-1 Lord Of War
150-1 Lucky Law
500-1 Lugamo
27-1 22-1 Mandaloun
200-1 Manor House
300-1 Martini Blu
40-1 18-1 Medina Spirit
60-1 50-1 Midnight Bourbon
350-1 Millean
400-1 Momos
350-1 Moonlite Strike
110-1 Mouheeb
150-1 Mr. Impossible
250-1 My Man Bags
150-1 Never Surprised
200-1 225-1 Next
200-1 No Cents
400-1 North Pole
600-1 Notary
150-1 100-1 Nova Rags
300-1 Number One Dude
100-1 O Besos
90-1 50-1 Olympiad
500-1 Oncoming Train
350-1 Original
300-1 Outadore
175-1 125-1 Outasite
175-1 75-1 Overtook
200-1 Papetu
400-1 150-1 Parnelli
300-1 Petruchio
300-1 250-1 Pickin’ Time
300-1 Pico d’Oro
400-1 250-1 Poppy’s Pride
400-1 Positivity
80-1 50-1 Prate
300-1 Pregame
20-1 15-1 Prevalence
55-1 25-1 Prime Factor
350-1 175-1 Prisoner
125-1 Promise Keeper
55-1 50-1 Proxy
350-1 225-1 Quick Tempo
500-1 Raison d’Air
250-1 200-1 Real Talk
85-1 Rebel’s Romance
200-1 32-1 Red Flag
400-1 Red N Wild
400-1 Regular Guy
100-1 75-1 Reinvestment Risk
200-1 Restored Order
200-1 200-1 Return the Ring
400-1 200-1 Ricochet
350-1 Rightandjust
50-1 25-1 Risk Taking
250-1 Rock Sugar
45-1 Rock Your World
350-1 200-1 Roderick
45-1 30-1 Roman Centurian
100-1 75-1 Rombauer
400-1 Rosenquist
300-1 Royal Number
125-1 Run Classic
300-1 250-1 Run Snappy
250-1 250-1 Runway Magic
400-1 250-1 Saffa’s Day
250-1 200-1 Santa Cruiser
175-1 50-1 Savile Row
250-1 Scarlet Fusion
250-1 200-1 Scarred
400-1 225-1 Seazan
500-1 300-1 Seminole Beach
55-1 55-1 Señor Buscador
400-1 Sermononthemount
200-1 Shackqueenking
250-1 Shaftesbury
300-1 Simovitch
200-1 100-1 Sittin On Go
500-1 175-1 Slashing
250-1 Slumber Party
200-1 125-1 Smiley Sobotka
300-1 200-1 Sonic Brees
500-1 Son Of A Beast
350-1 250-1 Sound The Charge
150-1 65-1 Speaker’s Corner
200-1 65-1 Spielberg
150-1 125-1 Stage Raider
150-1 250-1 Starrininmydreams
300-1 175-1 Stayin’ Out Late
500-1 Superman Shaq
200-1 125-1 Super Stock
100-1 100-1 Swiftsure
225-1 200-1 Swill
300-1 225-1 Swot Analysis
350-1 250-1 Tacoflavoredkisses
100-1 125-1 Tarantino
150-1 90-1 Team Merchants
200-1 75-1 Ten For Ten
300-1 Tenor
125-1 175-1 The Chosen Vron
27-1 25-1 The Great One
200-1 150-1 Therideofalifetime
250-1 Thranduil
500-1 350-1 Tiz Mandate
400-1 Touchdown Brown
175-1 150-1 Twilight Blue
300-1 250-1 Ultimate Badger
250-1 200-1 Uno
300-1 200-1 Upstriker
250-1 150-1 Va Va Vegas
325-1 Vequist
175-1 50-1 Vittorio
300-1 250-1 Waist Deep
200-1 Warrior’s Pride
500-1 Waspirant
400-1 Weston
200-1 Weyburn
250-1 200-1 What’s Up Surfer
225-1 200-1 Whiskey Double
300-1 350-1 Willy Boi
250-1 150-1 Wipe the Slate
150-1 Witsel
250-1 200-1 Work Out
350-1 Wyfire
350-1 250-1 Xtreme Mayhem