Saturday top 10 Speed Figures: Filly by Midshipman leads pack
Synthetic led all performers with a 133 Horse Racing Nation speed figure at Fair Grounds in the fourth race. The 3-year-old filly by Midshipman captured a six-furlong dirt allowance at 2-5 odds, earning her second career victory in her second start. She is out of Always Here Too, a Grade 3-placed mare who earned $127,000.
Freeze the Fire earned a 132 HRN speed figure at Laurel in a six-furlong dirt starter optional claimer. The 5-year-old gelding by Friesan Fire won at 8-5 odds, recording his seventh career win from 30 starts. His dam Scenario Analysis earned $211,000 during her racing career.
Cannoneer completed the top three with a 128 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs in his second career start, in a dominant win by 7 1-4 lengths. The 2-year-old colt by Into Mischief broke his maiden in a seven-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 8-5 odds. He is out of Catch the Moon, a Malibu Moon mare, and his top sibling is Grade 1 winner Girvin who earned $1.62 million by Tale of Ekati.
Saturday's top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | Synthetic | Midshipman | 3 f | FG 4 | 6f dirt |
| 132 | Freeze the Fire | Friesan Fire | 5 g | LRL 9 | 6f dirt |
| 128 | Cannoneer | Into Mischief | 2 c | CD 12 | 7f dirt |
| 125 | Moe Eighty Eight | Solomini | 3 g | AQU 10 | 1 mile dirt |
| 125 | Zero Blitz | Jimmy Creed | 3 g | LRL 8 | 7f dirt |
| 124 | Bermuda Blitz | Vekoma | 3 g | AQU 9 | 1 mile dirt |
| 123 | Boyd | Violence | 2 c | CD 4 | 6 1/2f dirt |
| 123 | Calibrate | Distorted Humor | 7 g | FG 7 | 1 1/16 dirt |
| 123 | Purr Factor | The Factor | 4 f | WO 9 | 7f synthetic |
| 123 | Global Aviator | Global Campaign | 2 c | GP 3 | 6f dirt |
Fastest maiden winners
Cannoneer posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 128 HRN speed figure at Churchill Downs in a dominant win by 7 1-4 lengths. The 2-year-old colt by Into Mischief won a seven-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 8-5 odds in his second career start. He is out of Catch the Moon, a Malibu Moon mare who earned $0, and his top sibling is Grade 1 winner Girvin who earned $1.62 million by Tale of Ekati.
Global Aviator impressed with a 123 HRN speed figure in a six-furlong dirt maiden special weight at Gulfstream Park. The 2-year-old colt by Global Campaign won at 2-1 odds in his debut. He is out of Frisco Girl, a Quality Road mare who earned $30,000, and his top sibling Krickle by Carpe Diem has earned $156,000.
Two Bits earned a 111 HRN speed figure at Aqueduct in her fourth career start. The 2-year-old filly by American Pharoah broke her maiden in a one-mile dirt maiden special weight at 4-1 odds. She is out of Spare Change, a Bernardini mare who earned $50,000, and her top sibling is Grade 3-placed Roman Centurian who earned $249,000 by Empire Maker.
Saturday's top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | Cannoneer | Into Mischief | 2 c | CD 12 | 7f dirt |
| 123 | Global Aviator | Global Campaign | 2 c | GP 3 | 6f dirt |
| 111 | Two Bits | American Pharoah | 2 f | AQU 2 | 1 mile dirt |
| 108 | Bridoza | Khozan | 3 c | TAM 6 | 6f dirt |
| 108 | Epic Lady Luck | Vekoma | 2 f | GP 1 | 5f synthetic |
| 106 | Liberty National | Maxfield | 2 c | CD 7 | 1 1/16 dirt |
| 105 | Gairloch | McKinzie | 2 g | CD 2 | 1 mile turf |
| 103 | Pretty Ribbon | Bated Breath | 2 f | FG 6 | 1 mile turf |
| 102 | For the Ladies | Upstart | 2 f | AQU 1 | 6f dirt |
| 101 | Rock Hard Rose | Kantharos | 3 f | WO 1 | 6 1/2f synthetic |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure 26.2% winners
Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners
Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.
Note: For the fastest maiden winners mentioned, all dam and sibling earnings are based on North American starts only.