Saturday’s top 10 HRN speed figures & fastest maidens
With her Grade 1 victory in the Alabama on Saturday, 3-year-old Nitrogen had the fourth-best Horse Racing Nation speed figure for the day. The Medaglia d’Oro filly’s first run on fast dirt produced a 132 figure at Saratoga.
It’s Our Time posted the day’s highest figure with a 140 at Saratoga in the seventh race. The 2-year-old colt by Not This Time won a 6 1/2-furlong maiden special weight at 5-1 odds in his debut.
Click here for Saratoga entries and results.
Simcoe earned a 136 figure at Woodbine in the Bold Venture (G3). The 5-year-old gelding by Uncle Mo captured the 6 1/2-furlong synthetic race at 11-2 odds, securing his sixth career win from 18 starts.
Soze completed the top three with a 134 HRN speed figure at Monmouth Park in an allowance optional claiming race. The 4-year-old gelding by Maximus Mischief won the six-furlong dirt contest at 9-2 odds, earning his sixth career victory from 21 starts.
Figures shown are through 6:30 p.m. EDT on Saturday.
Saturday’s top 10 speed figures
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | It’s Our Time | Not This Time | 2 c | SAR 7 | 6 1/2 f dirt |
| 136 | Simcoe | Uncle Mo | 5 g | WO 8 | 6 1/2 f syn |
| 134 | Soze | Maximus Mischief | 4 g | MTH 8 | 6 f dirt |
| 132 | Nitrogen | Medaglia d’Oro | 3 f | SAR 10 | 1 1/4 dirt |
| 131 | Surface to Air | Midshipman | 5 h | MTH 5 | 1 1/16 dirt |
| 128 | Gettinby | Petrov | 3 c | IND 2 | 5 1/2 f dirt |
| 127 | She Feels Pretty | Karakontie | 4 f | WO 7 | 1 1/4 turf |
| 126 | Mission North | Noble Mission | 4 g | CNL 5 | 1 1/16 turf |
| 125 | Indy Magic | Good Magic | 4 g | SAR 1 | 1 mile dirt |
| 124 | Ayra Stark | Cosmic Trigger | 5 m | CNL 8 | 1 3/16 turf |
Fastest maiden winners
It’s Our Time also led all maiden winners with his 140. He is out of Shea D Summer, a Summer Front mare who earned $170,000 during her racing career.
Litmus Test impressed with a 117 HRN figure at Del Mar in his debut. The 2-year-old colt by Nyquist captured a 5 1/2-furlong maiden special weight at 6-5 odds. His dam Study Hard, by Malibu Moon, earned $1,000, and top sibling Home School by Goldencents has earned $165,000.
Tennessee Belle earned a 115 at Saratoga in her second career start. The 2-year-old filly by Yaupon won a six-furlong maiden race at even odds for her first career victory. She is out of Grade 1 winner Belle Gallantey, an After Market mare who earned $1.13 million, and her top sibling Happy Runner, by Runhappy, has earned $205,000.
Saturday’s top maiden winners
| HRN | Horse | Sire | Age | Race | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140 | It’s Our Time | Not This Time | 2 c | SAR 7 | 6 1/2 f dirt |
| 117 | Litmus Test | Nyquist | 2 c | DMR 3 | 5 1/2 f dirt |
| 115 | Tennessee Belle | Yaupon | 2 f | SAR 4 | 6 f dirt |
| 112 | Skynet | Yoshida | 3 r | ELP 1 | 6 f dirt |
| 108 | Untamed Moment | Outwork | 3 f | ELP 2 | 6 f dirt |
| 108 | Migratory | Curlin | 4 c | GP 1 | 6 f dirt |
| 107 | Messi the Great | Take Charge Indy | 3 c | DEL 2 | 5 1/2 f dirt |
| 103 | Road Forever | Bolt d’Oro | 2 c | GP 7 | 5 1/2 f dirt |
| 101 | Joevia’s First | Joevia | 3 c | MTH 9 | 1 1/16 turf |
| 101 | Timeframe | Not This Time | 2 c | WO 1 | 7 f turf |
About HRN speed figures
HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN’s proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continously get better over time.
The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.
Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically.
Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:
Top HRN figure 26.2% winners.
Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners.
Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners.
Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.