Saturday's HRN top 10 speed figures + fastest maidens

Photo: Walter Wlodarczyk / NYRA

Weigh the Risks posted Saturday's highest Horse Racing Nation speed figure with a 139 at Aqueduct in the seventh race. The 4-year-old filly by Mendelssohn captured the Go for Wand Stakes at 3-5 odds in a dominant win by 9 3/4 lengths. This marked her sixth career victory in her 13th start.

Roll On Big Joe earned a 133 HRN speed figure at Oaklawn Park in the Ring The Bell Stakes. The 5-year-old gelding by Prospective won the six-furlong dirt race at 2-1 odds, recording his ninth career win from 22 starts.

Give Me the Boots completed the top three with a 132 HRN speed figure at Woodbine in the 10th race. The 5-year-old horse by Reload scored at 5-1 odds on the six-furlong synthetic surface, securing his 10th career victory from 29 starts.

Saturday's top 10 speed figures

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
139 Weigh the Risks Mendelssohn 4 f AQU 7 1 mile dirt
133 Roll On Big Joe Prospective 5 g OP 8 6f dirt
132 Give Me the Boots Reload 5 m WO 10 6f syn
131 Iron Honor Nyquist 2 c AQU 3 6f dirt
130 Floodlites City of Light 3 g AQU 2 6f dirt
130 Touchuponastar Star Guitar 6 g FG 4 1 1/8 dirt
129 Geaux Sugar Half Ours 5 g FG 10 6f dirt
128 On the Mark Anchor Down 5 g LRL 7 6f dirt
127 Laser Clad Mo Town 3 g FG 7 1 mile turf
127 Ten Cent Town Redesdale 5 g AQU 1 6 1/2f dirt

Fastest maiden winners

Iron Honor posted the day's highest maiden winner figure with a 131 HRN speed figure at Aqueduct. The 2-year-old colt by Nyquist won a six-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 5-1 odds in his debut. He is out of Orencia by Blame, a mare who earned $44,000, and his damsire Blame was a Breeders' Cup Classic winner.

Imperatrice impressed with a 103 HRN speed figure at Gulfstream Park in her second career start. The 2-year-old filly by City of Light finished a one-mile dirt maiden special weight at 9-5 odds. Her dam Dolce Lili by Scat Daddy earned $253,000 during her racing career.

Fifty Four Yarder earned a 102 HRN speed figure at Oaklawn Park in his debut. The 2-year-old colt by Violence won a six-furlong dirt maiden special weight at 15-1 odds. He is out of Reggae Rose by Touch Gold, a mare who earned $142,000, and his top sibling Whatmakessammyrun earned $502,000 and was Grade 2-placed.

Saturday's fastest maiden winners

HRN Horse Sire Age Race Distance
131 Iron Honor Nyquist 2 c AQU 3 6f dirt
109 Strawberry Again Prime Attraction 3 g WO 2 7f syn
103 Imperatrice City of Light 2 f GP 9 1 mile dirt
102 Fifty Four Yarder Violence 2 c OP 9 6f dirt
102 Fortunate Ryder Valiant Minister 3 g TAM 3 1 mile turf
100 Honey's to Blame Blame 2 c OP 5 6f dirt
100 Daou Flameaway 2 f WO 6 6f syn
98 Peripoli Vino Rosso 2 g TAM 1 6 1/2f dirt
98 Irish Fortune Central Banker 2 f AQU 6 6 1/2f dirt
97 Power From Above Higher Power 3 c GP 2 1 1/16f syn

About HRN speed figures

HRN speed figures are AI-generated using HRN's proprietary machine-learning algorithms. Although they involve less human input than other speed figures, we see that as a plus as human adjustments often knock down surprisingly good performances to match expectations. HRN speed figures were launched in December 2024, and our expectation is also that the AI-generated speed figures will continuously get better over time.

The HRN speed figure scale goes from 1 to 160. Part of the reason for this higher scale is this helps us avoid assigning a speed figure of zero. For some products, in weaker races, half the field or more may get a speed figure of zero, which leads to inaccuracy and defeats the purpose of speed figures.

Because the HRN speed figures are based on machine learning, as we improve our models we can compute the numbers historically. 

Using the top last-race speed figure as a benchmark, here are stats from 2021 to 2024 for HRN and other speed-figure providers:

Top HRN figure 26.2% winners

Top Beyer figure 28.1% winners

Top TimeformUS figure 28.4% winners

Although all HRN speed figures are published on individual horse profile pages on a weekly basis, the daily reports are focused on the top and medium-tier tracks, which represent the majority of top speed figures.

Note: For the fastest maiden winners mentioned, all dam and sibling earnings are based on North American starts only.

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