Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup guide: Odds, analysis and PPs

Photo: Godolphin

Today's lone top-level stakes race is the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup at Keeneland. Horse Racing Nation has you covered with Super Screener picksEd DeRosa's fair odds plays and a head to head analysis of the race.

If that isn't enough, Ron Flatter spoke to jockey Oisín Murphy, who is flying in from Europe to ride 2-1 morning-line favorite Mawj. You can catch the Oisín Murphy interview here, or the full interview on the Ron Flatter Racing Pod.

But before we get into the picks, let's take a look at the best speed figures of 2023 for this group. If you want to check out HRN's free past performances page, you can download free PPs courtesy of our partners at Brisnet.

Queen Elizabeth II handicapping

With five fillies originating from Europe in this race, the race has a feel of the Euros versus the Americans. The Super Screener isolates Sounds of Heaven (no. 7, 8-1) and Mawj (no. 4, 2-1) as two of the strongest contenders, noting you'll get a much better price on Sounds of Heaven. In addition, Super Screener author Mike Shutty notes that Prerequisite (no. 11, 20-1) is a long shot worth considering. There's also a great super Screener deal where you can get all of the Breeders' Cup preps starting today through the Breeders' Cup for one low price.

Reinier Macatangay makes the case for Lindy (no. 6, 8-1) in his Saturday plays, while in their Queen Elizabeth II head to head analysis, Laurie Ross and Ashley Tamulonis take you through the entire field. 

In his Queen Elizabeth II fair odds analysis, Ed DeRosa is focusing on the morning-line favorite Mawj and analyzing what is the right price. Here are his complete fair odds below: 

Looking at pedigrees 

Looking at the Queen Elizabeth II pedigrees, these are all proven turf runners, but since we're not familiar with some of these European sires it's worth a look to see their stats for North American races. 

Finally, here is the full field for the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup with links to the page for each horse in the field:

2023 QE II Challenge Cup G1

Post Silks Horse / Sire Rating Trainer / Jockey Last Start / Next Start HRN
1 Mission Of Joy
Kitten's Joy
0.00 H. Graham Motion
John R. Velazquez
4th, 2023 Virginia Oaks LS Entered
Last Race 4th, 2023 Virginia Oaks LS
2 Elusive Princess
Martinborough
4.79 Arnaud Delacour
Flavien Prat
1st, 2023 Saratoga Oaks G3 Entered
Last Race 1st, 2023 Saratoga Oaks G3
3 Safeen
War Front
4.12 Eddie Kenneally
Christian Torres
8th, 2023 Dueling Grounds Oaks LS Entered
Last Race 8th, 2023 Dueling Grounds Oaks LS
4 Mawj
Exceed And Excel
5.12 Saeed bin Suroor
Oisin Murphy
1st, 2023 English 1000 Guineas G1 Entered
Last Race 1st, 2023 English 1000 Guineas G1
5 Be Your Best
Muhaarar
4.79 Horacio DePaz
Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2nd, 2023 Del Mar Oaks G1 Entered
Last Race 2nd, 2023 Del Mar Oaks G1
6 Lindy
Le Havre
6.09 Christophe Ferland
Tyler Gaffalione
8th, 2023 Prix De Diane G1 Entered
Last Race 8th, 2023 Prix De Diane G1
7 Sounds Of Heaven
Kingman
0.00 Mrs. John 'Jessica' Harrington
Shane Foley
6th, 2023 Prix Rothschild G1 Entered
Last Race 6th, 2023 Prix Rothschild G1
8 Elounda Queen
Australia
4.79 Jean-Claude Rouget
Luis Saez
1st, 2023 Prix de Lieurey G3 Entered
Last Race 1st, 2023 Prix de Lieurey G3
9 Heavenly Sunday
Candy Ride
0.00 Brad H. Cox
Florent Geroux
7th, 2023 Lake Placid G2 Entered
Last Race 7th, 2023 Lake Placid G2
10 Liguria
War Front
4.45 Chad C. Brown
Joel Rosario
4th, 2023 Winter Memories LS Entered
Last Race 4th, 2023 Winter Memories LS
11 Prerequisite
Upstart
0.00 Chad C. Brown
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
5th, 2023 Lake Placid G2 Entered
Last Race 5th, 2023 Lake Placid G2
12 Papilio
Starspangledbanner
0.00 Mark E. Casse
Javier J. Castellano
3rd, 2023 Saratoga Oaks G3 Entered
Last Race 3rd, 2023 Saratoga Oaks G3
13 Freydis the Red
Saxon Warrior
4.09 Kenneth G. McPeek
Brian J. Hernandez, Jr.
1st, 2023 Dueling Grounds Oaks LS Entered
Last Race 1st, 2023 Dueling Grounds Oaks LS

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