Oaklawn Handicap guide: Odds, analysis, PPs for Saturday race

Photo: Justin Manning / Eclipse Sportswire

There are only two more Saturdays until Kentucky Derby 2024, and the action isn't slowing down in Arkansas, which plays host to the Grade 2, $1.25 million Oaklawn Handicap.

A field of 11 was signed on for this lucrative 1 1/8-mile event with Razorback Handicap (G3) winner Octane encountering some familiar faces in the older-male division in Red Route One, Reincarnate and race favorite Skippylongstocking.

The Oaklawn Handicap is the 11th of a scheduled 12 races at the Hot Springs track on Saturday with a scheduled post time of 6:52 p.m. EDT. The race may be seen live on FS2 and FanDuel TV.

Check out Horse Racing Nation’s free past performances page for downloadable PPs for the Oaklawn Handicap and more courtesy of our partners at Brisnet.

We also have Super Screener picks and analysis for the Oaklawn Handicap as well as recent top speed figures for each contender.

Oaklawn Handicap best speed figures

PostHorseMLBeyer TimeformUSHRN
1Highland Falls  9-2  96119102
2Double Crown30-1  94119106
3Magic Tap10-1  96119102
4Octane  5-1  98122111
5Red Route One  7-2101122102
6Reincarnate  4-1  96120100
7Guntown20-1  92113104
8Last Samurai20-1105125107
9County Final15-1101124113
10Skippylongstocking  3-1102122109
11Instant Coffee15-1  92113  98

Looking at the pace

Octane is expected to have company up front in the form of morning-line favorite Skippylongstocking, with County Final close behind that pair. However, the pace isn't anticipated to be all that fast.

Pace projector appears courtesy of TimeformUS.

HRN picks for the Oaklawn Handicap

This week's Super Screener covers all stakes races taking place at Oaklawn this Saturday, including the Valley of the Vapors. The race has "high-payoff potential" thanks to 10-1 shot Under the Palms.

"What has been most impressive about this filly is how she had moved forward in each start since her debut," Super Screener creator Mike Shutty said. "Form-cycle analysis is revealing yet another move forward here with a prediction of a Brisnet Speed Rating in the low 90s, which would easily give her victory. Adding confidence is this filly's penultimate work, which was razor sharp."

Get the early edition of the Kentucky Derby Super Screener now for just $57.

Oaklawn Handicap contender Highland Falls is one of J. Keeler Johnson's Horses to Watch, and he explains why this Brad Cox trainee could be sitting on a big race on Saturday.

Ed DeRosa took a crack at the other major handicap race taking place at Keeneland on Saturday with his Ben Ali fair odds. He sees Kingsbarns as a potential underlay, and War Campaign as an appealing price play.

National Horseplayers Championship winner Mike Gillum joined the Ron Flatter Racing Pod to discuss his top five Kentucky Derby contenders.

Get FREE Stable Alerts for Fierceness!

Here's the field for the Oaklawn Handicap:

2024 Oaklawn Handicap G2

Post Silks Horse / Sire Rating Trainer / Jockey Last Start / Next Start HRN
1 Highland Falls
Curlin
5.07 Brad H. Cox
Florent Geroux
4th, 2024 Santa Anita Handicap G1 Entered
Last Race 4th, 2024 Santa Anita Handicap G1
2 Double Crown
Bourbon Courage
5.34 Raymond Ginter Jr.
Colby J. Hernandez
4th, Evangeline Mile S. Entered
Last Race 4th, Evangeline Mile S.
3 Magic Tap
Tapit
5.27 Steven M. Asmussen
Keith Asmussen
4th, 2024 Essex Handicap G3 Entered
Last Race 4th, 2024 Essex Handicap G3
4 Octane
Brethren
6.61 Juan Alvarado
Julien R. Leparoux
1st, 2024 Razorback Handicap G3 Entered
Last Race 1st, 2024 Razorback Handicap G3
5 Red Route One
Gun Runner
6.93 Steven M. Asmussen
Joel Rosario
1st, 2024 New Orleans Classic G2 Entered
Last Race 1st, 2024 New Orleans Classic G2
6 Reincarnate
Good Magic
7.05 Bob Baffert
Juan J. Hernandez
3rd, 2024 Santa Anita Handicap G1 Entered
Last Race 3rd, 2024 Santa Anita Handicap G1
7 Guntown
Gun Runner
3.89 Michael J. Maker
Ramon A. Vazquez
3rd, Aqu AlwOC (3/21/24-R7) Entered
Last Race 3rd, Aqu AlwOC (3/21/24-R7)
8 Last Samurai
Malibu Moon
6.11 Eddie Milligan Jr.
Richard E. Eramia
6th, 2024 Oaklawn Mile G3 Entered
Last Race 6th, 2024 Oaklawn Mile G3
9 County Final
Oxbow
5.62 Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.
Edwin Gonzalez
10th, 2024 Appleton LS Entered
Last Race 10th, 2024 Appleton LS
10 Skippylongstocking
Exaggerator
6.49 Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.
Jose L. Ortiz
1st, 2024 Challenger Stakes G3 Entered
Last Race 1st, 2024 Challenger Stakes G3
11 Instant Coffee
Bolt d'Oro
6.35 Jose Francisco D'Angelo
Cristian A. Torres
3rd, GP AOC (02/17/2024-R10) Entered
Last Race 3rd, GP AOC (02/17/2024-R10)

Read More

This is the 17th and final installment of a weekly feature exclusive to Horse Racing Nation tracking the...
Forever Young earned a sparkling 140 Horse Racing Nation speed figure for his victory in Saturday's Breeders' Cup...
The Fasig-Tipton November Sale, held Monday at the Newtown Paddocks in Lexington, Ky., posted sales of more than...
Owen Almighty , the Grade 3 Tampa Bay Derby winner who most recently placed third in the Perryville...
A decade after Michelle Payne became the first woman win Australia's most famous race, Jamie Melham has etched herself...