DeRosa: How to bet $189,000 Pick 5 carryover at Aqueduct

A combination of no one picking five winners Sunday and a pair of races in which no horse seemingly wants to win could help produce a lucrative payout in the late Pick 5 on Thursday at Aqueduct.

A total of $189,194.89 awaits bettors from Sunday's lack of winners, and the total pool should reach at least $1 million with new money subject to just a 15 percent takeout. The sequence is races 4-8 on the eight-race card with a post time of 2:16 p.m. EST for the first leg.

Horse Racing Nation has many resources to handicap the sequence, including full-card selections with analysis and wagering strategy from the Paddock Prince David Levitch, who also stopped by HRN HQ on Wednesday to discuss the sequence with particular attention on races 4 and 7, or legs 1 and 4.

Levitch and I both are keen to defeat the morning-line favorite in that opening leg with my two strongest leans coming via the First-Timer Power Rating Report, which in 2022 sported a flat-bet profit on four-star horses debuting at Aqueduct. I also really like No. 7 Excalibrate at a 12-1 morning line considering he is the only horse in the race who has ever been on the lead at any point in any race among the 0-for-22 group.