Kentucky Derby & Oaks: 1 spot is left to clinch at Keeneland

Photo: Keeneland

Lexington, Ky.

Failing to mathematically clinch a spot in Kentucky Derby 2023 three weeks before it is run is not exactly doomsday. Not for a race that historically has its share of attrition.

Connections at the top of the waiting list inevitably are rewarded when at least one invitation is turned down and usually more.

A sigh of relief, though, comes with being assured of getting there by the end of the final prep race. That will be Saturday’s running of the Grade 3 Lexington Stakes at Keeneland.

Lexington Stakes odds, post positions and more.

The same goes for the Kentucky Oaks (G1), which has its final prep Sunday with the Beaumont (G2), also at Keeneland.

Between the two races this weekend, only the Derby will be immediately impacted. The Lexington is worth 20-8-6-4-2 qualifying points for up to five horses, but it really comes down to Disarm. If he finishes in the top three, he will bump Jace’s Road off the qualifying bubble and assure himself a place in the May 6 classic.

 Kentucky Derby 2023    
Already clinchedRankPts.**EarningsNext prep
Forte1st190 $2,359,730 
Practical Move2nd160 $822,000 
Angel of Empire3rd154 $1,026,375 
Tapit Trice4th150 $783,500 
Two Phil’s5th123 $643,850 
Lord Miles6th105 $427,100 
Derma Sotogake7th100 $1,112,319 
Kingsbarns8th100 $600,000 
Raise Cain9th64 $232,500 
Rocket Can10th60 $284,025 
Hit Show11th60 $277,500 
Confidence Game12th57 $610,480 
Verifying13th54 $369,750 
Sun Thunder14th54 $181,500 
Wild On Ice15th50 $366,400 
Mage16th50 $205,200 
Blazing Sevens17th46 $507,500 
Reincarnate18th45 $263,250 
Continuar*  $289,954 
On bubble, waiting    
Jace’s Road19th45 $200,350 
Clinch with top 3 Sat.    
Disarm26th40 $200,000Lexington (G3)
Waiting for dropouts    
Skinner21st45 $174,500 
Cyclone Mischief22nd45 $137,525 
Major Dude23rd40 $401,595 
Mandarin Hero24th40 $339,041 
King Russell25th40 $227,500 
Arctic Arrogance27th36 $180,000 
Red Route One28th33 $417,125 
Instant Coffee29th32 $395,065 
Funtastic Again30th30 $150,116 
Dreamlike31st30 $75,000 
Classic Car Wash32nd26 $112,500 
General Banker33rd24 $84,000 
National Treasure34th20 $297,000 
Congruent35th20 $221,985 
Low Expectations36th20 $131,180 
Slip Mahoney37th20 $82,500 
Mr. Ripple38th20 $46,500 
Shopper’s Revenge39th20 $40,000 
One in Vermillion40th15 $178,143 
Victory Formation41st10 $156,750 
Classic Catch42nd10 $30,000 
Prairie Hawk 10 $17,500Lexington (G3)
Denington $43,110Lexington (G3)
Baseline Beater $10,000Lexington (G3)
Transect $1,125Lexington (G3)
Curly Larry and Mo $0Lexington (G3)
Demolition Duke $0Lexington (G3)
Empirestrikesfast $0Lexington (G3)
First Mission $0Lexington (G3)
Reinvest $0Lexington (G3)
  *Accepted Japan invitation.    
**Non-restricted stakes.   

No other Lexington entrant can come out of the race better than 30th in Derby qualifying.

The Beaumont, worth 10-4-3-2-1 toward the Oaks, attracted seven fillies lacking the qualifying points needed to be in the hunt for the May 5 feature at Churchill Downs. That means the top 14 in the current standings have locked in their invitations.

 Kentucky Oaks 2023    
Already clinchedRankPts.**EarningsNext race
Wet Paint1st170 $652,600 
Affirmative Lady2nd110 $212,350 
Defining Purpose3rd107 $488,593 
Pretty Mischievous4th103 $359,350 
Southlawn5th100 $242,464 
Promisher America6th100 $137,500 
Shidabhuti7th80 $140,000 
And Tell Me Nolies8th70 $420,000 
Botanical9th70 $268,560 
Dorth Vader10th70 $214,405 
Gambling Girl11th61 $113,200 
The Alys Look12th54 $151,000 
Flying Connection13th50 $275,900 
Mimi Kakushi14th50 $180,186 
Waiting for dropouts    
Wonder Wheel15th48 $1,508,765 
Taxed16th48 $159,438 
Julia Shining17th46 $206,000 
Hoosier Philly18th45 $409,610 
Punchbowl19th40 $117,000 
Condensation20th40 $100,100 
Guns n' Graces21st40 $68,050 
Sacred Wish* 40 $48,500 
Red Carpet Ready22nd35 $215,870 
Capella23rd35 $39,000 
Olivia Twist24th32 $122,100 
Miracle25th30 $67,275 
Occult26th30 $65,000 
Window Shopping* 30 $48,000 
Flakes* 30 $30,500 
Grand Love27th28 $103,825 
Ami Please* 20 $80,000 
Flashy Gem28th20 $58,000 
Asset Purchase29th20 $40,000 
Clearly Unhinged30th20 $24,000 
Pride of the Nile31st17 $115,500 
Fun and Feisty32nd10 $182,485Beaumont (G2)
Effortlesslyelgant33rd10 $22,050 
Shoplifter* $60,390Beaumont (G2)
Opus Forty Two34th$35,000Beaumont (G2)
Key of Life* $266,900Beaumont (G2)
Interpolate $101,200Beaumont (G2)
She's On the Rocks* $0Beaumont (G2)
Stonewall Star* $0Beaumont (G2)
  *Not nominated for Ky. Oaks.    
**Non-restricted stakes.   

Regardless of Sunday’s outcome, no Beaumont starter will be able to crack the Oaks top 25.

Entries for the Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks will be taken Monday, May 1. Both fields will be drawn at Churchill Downs starting at 2 p.m. EDT.

__________

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