Derby Future Wager: ‘All others,’ Smile Happy are top 2 choices

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With the Kentucky Derby 12 weeks away, the pari-mutuel field of “all other 3-year-olds” closed as the 2-1 favorite, and Smile Happy was the 8-1 second betting choice in Pool 3 of the pari-mutuel Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

Smile Happy, the 3 1/4-length winner of the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs in November, also closed as the 8-1 individual favorite in pools 1 and 2 of the KDFW in November and January.

Other horses that garnered attention from bettors include Saturday’s Sam F. Davis (G3) winner Classic Causeway (13-1), Remsen (G2) winner and Holy Bull (G3) third-place finisher Mo Donegal (14-1), unbeaten first-level allowance winner Emmanuel (15-1), Holy Bull (G3) winner White Abarrio (18-1), San Vicente (G2) winner Forbidden Kingdom (18-1), Withers (G3) winner Early Voting (19-1) and Breeders’ Futurity (G1) winner Rattle N Roll.

Horses in order of the public’s betting choice with trainer, Pool 3 odds, $2 win will-pays and the money wagered to win:

KDFW Pool 3TrainerOdds$2 will payWagers
24. All other 3-year-olds   2-1    $6.00$63,425
21. Smile HappyKenny McPeek  8-1  $19.80$19,507
  4. Classic CausewayBrian Lynch13-1  $28.20$13,749
16. Mo DonegalTodd Pletcher14-1  $31.80$12,129
  7. EmmanuelTodd Pletcher15-1  $32.60$11,842
22. White AbarrioSaffie Joseph Jr.18-1  $39.60  $9,749
  9. Forbidden KingdomRichard Mandella18-1  $39.80  $9,730
  6. Early VotingChad Brown19-1  $40.00  $9,648
18. Rattle N RollKenny McPeek19-1  $41.40  $9,333
23. ZandonChad Brown21-1  $44.40  $8,728
20. Slow Down AndyDoug O'Neill23-1  $48.40  $8,002
  8. EpicenterSteve Asmussen24-1  $51.20  $7,562
  3. Chasing TimeSteve Asmussen25-1  $52.80  $7,317
17. PappacapMark Casse31-1  $64.00  $6,046
14. Major GeneralTodd Pletcher32-1  $66.00  $5,858
  5. CommandperformanceTodd Pletcher33-1  $69.80  $5,541
13. In Due TimeKelly Breen37-1  $76.80  $5,045
19. SimplificationAntonio Sano43-1  $88.20  $4,391
  2. Call Me MidnightKeith Desormeaux56-1$115.20  $3,365
11. Happy Boy RocketBill Mott61-1$124.60  $3,110
10. God of LoveMark Casse61-1$124.60  $3,107
  1. Barber RoadJohn Ortiz63-1$129.10  $3,004
12. Howling TimeDale Romans72-1$146.80  $2,639
15. Make It BigSaffie Joseph Jr.88-1$178.20  $2,174

The individual choices did not include horses trained by Bob Baffert, who is under a two-year Churchill Downs suspension after 2020 Kentucky Oaks finisher Gamine and 2021 winner Medina Spirit failed post-race drug tests. Horses who could be moved from Baffert to other trainers are covered among the “all other 3-year-olds” mutuel field.

The total handle Friday-Sunday was $328,461 ($235,012 in the win pool and $93,448 in the exacta). This was the third of five scheduled wagering pools in advance of the 148th running of the $3 million Kentucky Derby on Saturday, May 7. 

Dates for the remaining 2022 Kentucky Derby future pools are March 11-13 (Pool 4) and March 31-April 2 (Pool 5). The last pool will run Thursday through Saturday.

The lone Kentucky Oaks Future Wager will be March 11-13 and will coincide with Pool 4 of the KDFW.

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