Kentucky Oaks 2024 guide: Odds, analysis and PPs

Photo: Churchill Downs Inc.

Friday marks the eve of Kentucky Derby 2024, but there's no calm before the storm at Churchill Downs as an overflow field has assembled for the Grade 1, $1.5 million Kentucky Oaks.

Sixteen of the best three-year-old fillies in the country passed the Kentucky Oaks (G1) entry box, but only 14 will run. Tapit Jenallie will not be one of them, as she was announced as an early scratch.

Going as race no. 11 on a 13-race program under the twin spires, post time for the Oaks is 5:51 p.m. EDT. The race can be seen live on USA and Peacock.

Check out Horse Racing Nation’s free past performances page today for downloadable PPs for the Kentucky Oaks and more courtesy of our partners at Brisnet.

We also have Super Screener picks and analysis for the Kentucky Oaks as well as recent top speed figures for each contender.

Kentucky Oaks best speed figures

PostHorseMLBeyer TimeformUSHRN
1Tapit Jenallie30-181105  97
2Gin Gin30-176102  87
3Where's My Ring15-190111  99
4Regulatory Risk20-184108  94
5Thorpedo Anna  5-191111  97
6Lemon Muffin30-184  99  89
7Fiona's Magic30-180104  90
8Tarifa  7-295109101
9Everland30-177  93  95
10Into Champagne30-181107  90
11Ways and Means  5-190112  93
12Power Squeeze12-192111  93
13Just F Y I  9-289112  91
14Leslie's Rose  4-195116  96
15Our Pretty Woman15-193109  94
16Candied20-186108  94

Looking at the pace

A three-pronged battle for the lead is expected in the Oaks, with Into Champagne tussling with Fiona's Magic and Where's My Ring through fast fractions. 

Pace projector appears courtesy of TimeformUS.

HRN picks for the Kentucky Oaks

The Kentucky Derby Super Screener is available now. Get the insight you need to crush both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby and so much more this weekend.

Ed DeRosa's Kentucky Oaks fair odds believe Ways and Means ran a winning race in the Gulfstream Park Oaks when last seen and can atone on the big stage. Where's My Ring appears to be a live long shot as well.

DeRosa also took a close look at how the Oaks might shape up if the track comes up wet.

Brian Zipse's Kentucky Oaks contenders are led by Thorpedo Anna. Check out what Zipse and Matt Shifman had to say in their final picks for the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby.

Shifman has more to offer in his Kentucky Oaks odds and analysis, while Padraic Manocchio sized up the field from top to bottom in his Kentucky Oaks order of finish predictions. Manocchio also provides his top three value plays for Oaks Day at Churchill Downs.

Laurie Ross and Ashley Tamulonis went head-to-head handicapping the Kentucky Oaks, and both of them think juvenile fillies champion Just F Y I merits respect in her second start off the bench.

Here's the field for the Kentucky Oaks (G1):

2024 Kentucky Oaks G1

Post Silks Horse / Sire Rating Trainer / Jockey Last Start / Next Start HRN
2 Gin Gin
Hightail
6.19 Brad H. Cox
Florent Geroux
3rd, 2024 Gazelle G3 30-1
Last Race 3rd, 2024 Gazelle G3
3 Where's My Ring
Twirling Candy
6.62 Val Brinkerhoff
Jose Lezcano
1st, 2024 Gazelle G3 15-1
Last Race 1st, 2024 Gazelle G3
4 Regulatory Risk
Omaha Beach
6.87 Chad C. Brown
Jose L. Ortiz
2nd, 2024 Gazelle G3 20-1
Last Race 2nd, 2024 Gazelle G3
5 Thorpedo Anna
Fast Anna
7.04 Kenneth G. McPeek
Brian J. Hernandez, Jr.
1st, 2024 Fantasy G3 5-1
Last Race 1st, 2024 Fantasy G3
6 Lemon Muffin
Collected
6.15 D. Wayne Lukas
Keith Asmussen
7th, 2024 Fantasy G3 30-1
Last Race 7th, 2024 Fantasy G3
7 Fiona's Magic
St. Patrick's Day
6.27 Michael Yates
Luis Saez
8th, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2 30-1
Last Race 8th, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2
8 Tarifa
Bernardini
7.28 Brad H. Cox
Flavien Prat
1st, 2024 Fair Grounds Oaks G2 7-2
Last Race 1st, 2024 Fair Grounds Oaks G2
9 Everland
Arrogate
6.47 Eric N. Foster
Abel Cedillo
1st, 2024 Bourbonette Oaks LS 30-1
Last Race 1st, 2024 Bourbonette Oaks LS
10 Into Champagne
Into Mischief
6.19 Ian R. Wilkes
Julien R. Leparoux
3rd, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2 30-1
Last Race 3rd, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2
11 Ways and Means
Practical Joke
6.87 Chad C. Brown
Tyler Gaffalione
2nd, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2 5-1
Last Race 2nd, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2
12 Power Squeeze
Union Rags
7.07 Jorge Delgado
Daniel E. Centeno
1st, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2 12-1
Last Race 1st, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2
13 Just F Y I
Justify
7.46 William I. Mott
Junior Alvarado
2nd, 2024 Ashland G1 9-2
Last Race 2nd, 2024 Ashland G1
14 Leslie's Rose
Into Mischief
7.26 Todd A. Pletcher
Irad Ortiz, Jr.
1st, 2024 Ashland G1 4-1
Last Race 1st, 2024 Ashland G1
15 Our Pretty Woman
Medaglia d'Oro
6.62 Steven M. Asmussen
Joel Rosario
2nd, 2024 Fair Grounds Oaks G2 15-1
Last Race 2nd, 2024 Fair Grounds Oaks G2
16 Candied
Candy Ride
6.58 Todd A. Pletcher
Luis Saez
4th, 2024 Ashland G1 20-1
Last Race 4th, 2024 Ashland G1

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