Kentucky Downs: Which riders offer the best value?
With the first week of Kentucky Downs turf racing in the books and three days of statistics available, bettors should get acquainted with the jockey colony's top performers heading into this week's races.
Frankie Dettori leads the rider standings with six wins from 19 starts and a 31.6% win rate, which outpaces all jockeys with substantial activity. His 121.5% Horse Racing Nation impact score demonstrates he has significantly outperformed market odds on the Kentucky Downs turf course.
Jose Ortiz holds second with five wins from 29 starts, posting a solid 17.2% win rate despite a -7.9% HRN impact, which suggests a slight underperformance relative to projections.
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Luan Machado has delivered strong value with three wins for a 23.1% win rate. His 185.2% HRN impact percentage is among the highest at the meet, indicating consistent outperformance of betting lines. Tyler Gaffalione shares third place with three wins and a 9.7% strike rate, though his HRN impact falls 34.3% below expectations.
Several jockeys with limited opportunities have posted strong results, including Thore Hammer Hansen who won his only mount and has a 269.0% HRN impact. Adam Beschizza has delivered two wins from 10 starts with a 249.1% HRN impact score. The complete rankings appear below.
| Jockey | Starts | Wins | Win % | HRN Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 121.5% |
| Jose Ortiz | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | -7.9% |
| Tyler Gaffalione | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | -34.3% |
| Luan Machado | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 185.2% |
| Ben Curtis | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 35.6% |
| Adam Beschizza | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 249.1% |
| Joel Rosario | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | -32.2% |
| Florent Geroux | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 21.0% |
| Irad Ortiz Jr. | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | -56.5% |
| Brian Hernandez Jr. | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | -32.1% |
| Jaime Torres | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Luis Saez | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | -35.9% |
| Thore Hammer Hansen | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 269.0% |
| Sophie Doyle | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 878.4% |
| Forest Boyce | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 138.6% |
| James Graham | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 387.2% |
| Julien Leparoux | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 36.2% |
| Manuel Franco | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| Edgar Morales | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| Axel Concepcion | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |