Kentucky Derby odds: Maiden winner makes big futures splash

Photo: Jason Moran / Eclipse Sportswire

Conquest Warrior, the seven-figure baby who broke his maiden Saturday at Gulfstream Park, made the biggest leap this week into the Las Vegas futures for Kentucky Derby 2024.

Bought as a yearling for $1 million by Donald Adam’s Courtlandt Farms, the City of Light colt trained by Shug McGaughey opened at Caesars Sportsbook at 35-1, the ninth-shortest odds in the Nevada market.

Zipse: Is Conquest Warrior worthy of Derby hype?

Ridden by José Ortiz, Conquest Warrior closed from a troubled last to win by a half-length in a one-turn mile for maidens racing for $89,000. He earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 84, according to Daily Racing Form. It was the 3-year-old’s second race. His first in the Aqueduct mud last month resulted in a distant third-place finish.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile victor Fierceness and Grade 2 winner Dornoch are still the consensus favorites in Nevada with best prices of 15-1. Dornoch is shorter-priced at Circa Sportsbook, where he is the 12-1 favorite.

Muth, who won this month’s San Vicente (G2), is the 12-1 favorite at Caesars. Because he is trained by Bob Baffert, he and his contending stablemates must be transferred to another barn by Jan. 29 or else they will be ineligible to qualify for the Derby. Baffert remains under an indefinite suspension from Churchill Downs Inc. over Medina Spirit’s disputed drug test in 2021.

The Nevada market will share the stage this week with pool 3 of the pari-mutuel Kentucky Derby Future Wager, which Churchill Downs will open nationwide from Friday at noon to Sunday at 6 p.m. EST.

Conquest Warrior was one of the five names added to the Las Vegas futures. Four were dropped. These are the 245 betting choices and their odds Monday at Caesars Sportsbook and Circa Sports, available only in Nevada.

 Kentucky Derby 2024 Caesars Circa Last race, track
Dornoch  15-1  12-11st Remsen (G2), AQU
Fierceness  15-1  13-11st BC Juvenile, SA
Nash  18-1  16-13rd Gun Runner, FG
Nysos  18-1  17-11st Bob Hope (G3), DMR
Sierra Leone  18-1  20-12nd Remsen (G2), AQU
Muth  12-1  27-11st San Vicente (G2), SA
El Capi  30-1  30-11st MSW, AQU
Locked  30-1  20-13rd BC Juvenile, SA
Conquest Warrior  35-1 1st MSW, GP
Knightsbridge  35-1  25-11st MSW, CD
Forever Young   40-11st Nisai Yushun, KAW
Pilot Commander  35-1  40-12nd San Vicente (G2), SA
Timberlake  35-1  40-14th BC Juvenile, SA
Track Phantom  50-1  40-11st Gun Runner, FG
Coach Prime  60-1  65-13rd Los Al Futurity (G2), LRC
Carbone  50-1  70-11st alw OC, OP
Air of Defiance  75-1 1st MSW, KEE
Born Noble  75-1  50-11st MSW, GP
Catching Freedom  75-1  55-11st Smarty Jones, OP
Change of Command  75-1  75-11st alw OC, GP
Honor Marie  75-1  50-11st Ky. Jockey Club (G2), CD
Snead  75-1  25-12nd Gun Runner, FG
Next Level   80-17th Gun Runner, FG
The Wine Steward  40-1  80-12nd Breeders’ Fut. (G1), KEE
Parchment Party  85-1  80-11st alw OC, CD
Crimson Light   90-11st MSW, AQU
Prince of Monaco  75-1  90-15th BC Juvenile, SA
Amante Bianco 100-11st Cattleya, TOK
Can Group 100-14th BC Juvenile Turf, SA (t)
Crushed It100-1  75-12nd MSW, OP
Dancing Groom100-1 6th Ky. Jockey Club (G2), CD
Drum Roll Please  90-1100-11st Jerome, AQU
Ethan Energy100-1  90-11st MSW, FG
Generous Tipper 100-13rd Breeders’ Fut. (G1), KEE
Imperial Gun100-1100-11st MSW, OP
Informed Patriot100-1100-13rd Smarty Jones, OP
Liberal Arts100-1  65-11st Street Sense (G3), CD
Moonlight100-1100-14th Remsen (G2), AQU
Risk It100-1  65-15th Gun Runner, FG
Seize the Grey100-1100-13rd alw OC, KEE
Stretch Ride  85-1100-13rd Ky. Jockey Club (G2), CD
Rhyme Schemes  85-1110-11st Sar. Special (G2), SAR
Real Men Violin100-1115-12nd Ky. Jockey Club (G2), CD
Common Defense125-1 1st MSW, OP
Domestic Product125-1100-17th Remsen (G2), AQU
General Partner125-1100-16th BC Juvenile, SA
Goldbrick125-1125-11st MSW, OP
Heartland125-1100-11st MSW, DMR
Maycocks Bay 125-11st alw OC, FG
Molly’s Town (g)125-1 5th Advent, OP
Nutella Fella125-1100-11st Hopeful (G1), SAR
Otello125-1  75-11st Mucho Macho Man, GP
Otto the Conqueror125-1100-11st Springboard Mile, RP
Pass the Hat125-1 1st MSW, ELP
Rocketeer125-1  85-11st MSW, KEE
Stronghold  90-1125-12nd Los Al Futurity (G2), LRC
Tuscan Sky125-1 1st MSW, AQU
Wine Me Up125-1100-14th Los Al Futurity (G2), LRC
Be You125-1135-15th MSW, GP
Book’em Danno (g)  85-1140-11st Pasco, TAM
Awesome Road150-1125-15th Ky. Jockey Club (G2), CD
Bentornato125-1150-13rd FTBOA In Reality, GP
Bergen150-1125-12nd alw OC, CD
Better Than Gold150-1125-11st MSW, DMR
Booth150-1140-15th Ed Brown, CD
Coulditbemajic150-1 5th alw OC, CD
Deterministic150-1 1st MSW, SAR
Doncho (g)125-1150-11st MSW, FG
Fifth Avenue150-1 1st MSW, ELP
Glengarry150-1150-12nd Springboard Mile, RP
Hawks Creek 150-13rd alw OC, FG
Hop Sing 150-12nd MSW, AQU
Imagination125-1150-11st MSW, SA
Just Steel100-1150-12nd Smarty Jones, OP
Legalize110-1150-11st Sugar Bowl, FG
Lightline  65-1150-12nd alw OC, OP
My Boy Prince 150-13rd BC Juvenile Turf, SA (t)
Noted150-1150-11st Pulpit, GP (t)
Rathmore150-1 3rd Pasco, TAM
Stolen Magic150-1125-11st MSW, AQU
The Big Torpedo150-1 1st MSW, AQU
The Process150-1 6th alw OC, GP (t)
Time for Truth150-1125-11st MSW, OP
Union Roll150-1 7th Iroquois (G3), CD
Wilson Q150-1 2nd Bashford Manor, ELP
Wind Rider 150-11st MSW, CD
Kitty Hawk (g) 160-11st MSW, CD
Alder (g)175-1 4th alw OC, TP (aw)
Billal175-1125-18th Remsen (G2), AQU
Catire Vizcaya175-1 10th Rocky Run, DEL
Edified175-1 5th alw OC, KEE
Frankie’s Empire175-1 1st, alw OC, PRX
Mystik Dan125-1175-15th Smarty Jones, OP
Wynstock  85-1175-11st Los Al Futurity (G2), LRC
Cardinale 200-12nd alw OC, GP
Commissioner Dan200-1 1st MSW, KEE
Divieto200-1 8th Ed Brown, CD
El Magnifico (r) 200-14th MSW, OP
First World War125-1200-12nd Mucho Macho Man, GP
Joe’s Candy 200-11st MSW, DMR
Mary’s Boy Bolt200-1 5th Del Mar Fut. (G1), DMR
Mirahmadi100-1200-12nd Del Mar Fut. (G1), DMR
Mission Beach150-1200-11st alw OC, LRL
Moonlit Sonata200-1200-15th San Vicente (G2), SA
Mosaico Man 200-11st MSW, FG
Raging Torrent200-1200-16th Springboard Mile, RP
Scatify125-1200-11st MSW, LRC
Searcy (g) 200-11st MSW, OP
Self Sufficient150-1200-13rd Aventura, GP
Seminole Chief 200-11st FTBOA In Reality, GP
Squints 200-11st Juvenile Sprint, GP
Stay Hot (r) 200-11st C.B. DeMille (G3), DMR (t)
Valentine Candy100-1200-11st Renaissance, OP
West Saratoga100-1200-12nd Pasco, TAM
Whatchatalkinabout (g) 200-11st N.Y. Breeders’ Fut., FL
Slider 225-13rd San Vicente (G2), SA
Tireless 225-11st MSW, TAM
Bonne Chance (g)250-1 7th Notebook, AQU
Bonus Move 250-13rd MSW, GP
Call Me Andy250-1 4th Md. Juvenile, LRL
Catalytic150-1250-11st MSW, GP
Crafted150-1250-11st MSW, FG
Django 250-16th MSW, CD
El Grande O125-1250-12nd Jerome, AQU
Give Me a Reason 250-15th MSW, OP
Gold Sweep150-1250-14th Champagne (G1), BAQ
Hunt Ball 250-15th MSW, AQU
Ignite the Light 250-14th MSW, AQU
Inveigled150-1250-14th Mucho Macho Man, GP
Iridescent200-1250-11st opt clmg, AQU
Irish Gent 250-12nd Atlantic Beach, AQU (t)
J Bird Time 250-11st MSW, TP (aw)
Lat Long 250-11st MSW, OP
Le Dom Bro250-1 9th Remsen (G2)
Merit150-1250-11st MSW, GP
Refocus 250-14th Graduation, DMR
Resilience100-1250-11st MSW, GP
Sound of the Beast 250-16th Inaugural, TAM
Speed Runner 250-11st MSW, AQU
Tapalo 250-11st maiden OC, SA
Trust Fund 250-12nd N.Y. Breeders’ Fut., FL
Urban Legend 250-12nd MSW, SA
Works for Me 250-11st Notebook, AQU
Mikealicious 275-15th alw OC, OP
All That Glory 300-12nd MSW, DMR
American Rascal200-1300-12nd Sugar Bowl, FG
Autie 300-11st MSW, FG
Bartholdy 300-13rd MSW, DMR
Beneficial (g) 300-14th MSW, LRC
Billy the Greek (g) 300-112th Ky. Downs Juv. Mile, KD
Blown Cover 300-12nd alw OC, FG
Bolt of Aurum 300-13rd James F. Lewis III, LRL
Boltage 300-14th San Vicente (G2), SA
Boy Magic 300-11st alw OC, PIM
Carson’s Run 300-19th BC Juvenile Turf, SA (t)
Crazy Mason150-1300-11st alw OC, TAM
Dickens 300-12nd FTBOA Dr. Fager, GP
Dive Bomber 300-12nd MSW, SAR
Elysian Meadows 300-11st alw OC, AQU
Endlessly 300-18th BC Juvenile Turf, SA (t)
Footprint 300-14th Gun Runner, FG
General Ledger200-1300-11st alw, GP (aw)
Gettysburg Address 300-14th Smarty Jones, OP
Googol Joke 300-13rd Renaissance, OP
Hades (g) 300-11st alw, GP
Haul 300-11st alw OC, GP (aw)
Honky Tonk Highway 300-11st MSW, FG
Joe Shiesty (g) 300-13rd Turfway Prevue, TP (aw)
Justifreak 300-14th MSW, FG
Katheeb 300-19th alw OC, GP (t)
Khanate 300-13rd Jerome, AQU
Khoolzan 300-12nd MSW, GP
Lagynos 300-16th Smarty Jones, OP
Linebacker 300-12nd MSW, OP
Lucky Jeremy200-1300-11st MSW, CD
Magic Spoon 300-11st Golden St. Juvenile, SA
Mattingly 300-14th FTBOA In Reality, GP
Mici’s Express 300-11st Cal Cup Derby, SA
Mischief Joke 300-12nd alw OC, AQU
Move to Gold 300-11st Awad, BAQ (t)
No Nay Mets 300-14th BC Juv. Turf Sprint, SA (t)
Normandy Hero150-1300-16th Renaissance, OP
Northern Flame125-1300-14th alw OC, OP
Orange Diablo150-1300-12nd MSW, OP
Pandagate (r)150-1300-13rd alw OC, LRL
Pirate100-1300-13rd Hopeful (G1), SAR
Raging Fury 300-15th alw OC, GP (aw)
Raguel 300-13rd alw OC, GP
Rapoport 300-12nd MSW, CD
Ridgewood Runner 300-13rd MSW, AQU
Roar Ready150-1300-11st MSW, GP
Rothschild 300-12nd C.B. DeMille (G3), DMR
Run Jalen Run 300-14th MSW, OP
Saint No More 300-15th alw OC, GP
Sand Bagger 300-13rd MSW, DMR
Sea Streak (g) 300-13rd Mucho Macho Man, GP
Secret Chat150-1300-12nd Aventura, GP
Secret Lover 300-13rd alw OC, TAM
Shady Appeal 300-16th Golden St. Juvenile, SA
Ship to Shore (g) 300-11st Limestone, GP
Slammin Gold 300-15th alw OC, AQU
Stay on the Fence 300-13rd alw OC, SA
Tall Paul 300-14th N.Y. Breeders’ Fut., FL
Tejon Pass150-1300-12nd Renaissance, OP
Texas Town 300-11st MSW, OP
Top Gun Rocket 300-18th MSW, CD
Tuscan Ruler 300-14th alw OC, TAM
Ultra Power125-1300-16th Golden Mile, SA (t)
Utopian 300-13rd MSW, DMR
Wecallemfuncoupons (g) 300-12nd opt clmg, AQU
Who Dey125-1300-11st alw OC, CD
Abrumar 350-11st alw OC, GP (t)
Agate Road 350-12nd Dania Beach, GP (t)
Aggelos the Great 350-16th alw OC, AQU
Agoo250-1350-13rd Sugar Bowl, FG
Always a Warrior 350-13rd alw OC, AQU
Antonio of Venice 350-11st NYSS Gr. Wh. Way, AQU
Assurbanipal 350-11st newcomer, TOK
B D Saints 350-12nd Sleepy Hollow, BAQ
Balta175-1350-11st alw OC, CD
Beaudacious Colton 350-15th alw OC, TP (aw)
Big Prankster 350-11st MSW, AQU
Carpis (g) 350-12nd La. Futurity, FG
Committee of One 350-17th BC Juv. Turf Sprint, SA (t)
Dr. No No 350-13rd Golden St. Juvenile, SA
Dragoon Guard 350-12nd MSW, CD
El Dinero (g) 350-12nd La. Champ. Juv., FG
Eliminate 350-14th MSW, AQU
Eusebius 350-14th MSW, TP (aw)
Go Otto Go150-1350-16th alw OC, HOU
Holiday Pay 350-13rd alw, GP
Hurricane Nelson 350-13rd FTBOA Affirmed, GP
Jive 350-15th Aventura, GP
Last Call London (g) 350-13rd Cal Cup Derby, SA
No More Time150-1350-15th Mucho Macho Man, GP
Nyquist Frequency 350-14th MSW, CD
Patriot Spirit150-1350-11st Inaugural, TAM
Perliano 350-17th alw OC, AQU
Private Desire200-1350-110th Remsen (G2), AQU
Regalo200-1350-14th Jerome, AQU
Detective Tom 400-14th alw OC, AQU
Going Mobile200-1400-15th Golden St. Juvenile, SA
Heart Headed 400-11st MSW, CD
Mischiefs Causeway 400-14th alw OC, SA
Popweiser 400-16th MSW, FG
Yo Yo Candy 400-15th Nashua, AQU
g - gelding   
r - ridgling   
aw - all-weather   
t - turf  

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