Kentucky Derby odds: Vegas win futures + new prop bets
While Fierceness held firm as the narrow favorite, the runner-up from his last race created some weekend steam in Nevada futures betting for Kentucky Derby 2024.
Catalytic, who finished 13 1/2 lengths behind Fierceness last month in the Grade 1 Florida Derby, was cut from 75-1 to 45-1 at Caesars Sportsbook and from 100-1 to 54-1 at Circa Sports. The colt owned by Tami Bobo and trained by Saffie Joseph Jr. held firm at 100-1 at the Westgate Superbook. If Catalytic were to win at Churchill Downs, he would join Mage to make it two consecutive Kentucky Derby victories for second-place finishers from the Florida Derby.
Early full-field analysis of Kentucky Derby 2024.
Circa reopened yes-no options for Fierceness and Sierra Leone. To not win the Derby, Fierceness was minus 300 on Monday morning, and Sierra Leone was minus 475. In a prop that pits Fierceness and Sierra Leone against all others, the two colts were set at plus 105 and the rest of the field at minus 135.
There were 10 one-on-one matchups added at Circa, which also opened a Triple Crown prop. The odds that one horse will sweep the three classics were set at 9-1 with the no price posted as minus 1440.
The three bookmakers are expected to keep their futures markets open until sometime Saturday, closing them before the Derby draw that is scheduled as part of a 7:15-7:45 p.m. EDT live stream from Churchill Downs. After that, new fixed-odds markets will open in Nevada with the start of the race May 4 being action rather than the bet itself.
These were the odds for the 23 horses left in the Nevada futures for Kentucky Derby 2024, according to apps for each bookmaker. They are listed in order of their best prices shown in bold.
| Kentucky Derby 2024 | Caesars | Circa | Westgate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fierceness | 3-1 | +240 | +275 |
| Sierra Leone | 7-2 | +370 | 3-1 |
| Forever Young | 11-1 | +950 | 10-1 |
| Catching Freedom | 12-1 | +950 | 10-1 |
| Dornoch | 10-1 | 15-1 | 10-1 |
| Honor Marie | 10-1 | 20-1 | 18-1 |
| Mystik Dan | 16-1 | 18-1 | 20-1 |
| Track Phantom | 20-1 | 21-1 | 20-1 |
| Just a Touch | 20-1 | 23-1 | 20-1 |
| Resilience | 20-1 | 22-1 | 25-1 |
| Domestic Product | 26-1 | 20-1 | 18-1 |
| Stronghold | 25-1 | 27-1 | 30-1 |
| Just Steel | 30-1 | 28-1 | 25-1 |
| Endlessly | 50-1 | 27-1 | 30-1 |
| Encino | 65-1 | 25-1 | 40-1 |
| West Saratoga | 40-1 | 100-1 | 100-1 |
| Catalytic | 45-1 | 54-1 | 100-1 |
| Grand Mo the First | 100-1 | 125-1 | 100-1 |
| Uncle Heavy | 125-1 | ||
| Society Man (g) | 100-1 | 175-1 | 100-1 |
| T O Password | 125-1 | 175-1 | 100-1 |
| Common Defense | 65-1 | 100-1 | 200-1 |
| Epic Ride | 125-1 | 100-1 | 300-1 |
| g - gelding |
These were the Derby props posted Monday morning on the Circa Sports app:
| Kentucky Derby 2024 | ||
|---|---|---|
| To win the race | Yes | No |
| Fierceness | +240 | –300 |
| Sierra Leone | +370 | –475 |
| Fierceness or Sierra Leone | +105 | –135 |
| Matchups, better result | ||
| Fierceness | –145 | |
| Sierra Leone | +115 | |
| Fierceness | –275 | |
| Forever Young | +220 | |
| Catching Freedom | +220 | |
| Fierceness | –275 | |
| Catching Freedom | –115 | |
| Forever Young | –115 | |
| Just a Touch | –115 | |
| Resilience | –115 | |
| Society Man | –115 | |
| T O Password | –115 | |
| Domestic Product | +120 | |
| Honor Marie | –150 | |
| Just Steel | +110 | |
| Stronghold | –140 | |
| Triple Crown | Yes | No |
| Will same horse win all 3 races? | +900 | –1440 |