Kentucky Derby odds: Current Nevada futures are in final hours
Fierceness firmed as the favorite, and Sierra Leone was a short-priced second choice in the final hours before the pre-draw futures market closes in Nevada on Kentucky Derby 2024.
Coming off his 13 1/2-length win in the Grade 1 Florida Derby, Eclipse Award winner Fierceness was best-priced Saturday morning at no better than plus 275 at Caesars Sportsbook and its William Hill Nevada properties. He shortened to plus 225 at Circa Sports and 2-1 at the Westgate Superbook.
Sierra Leone actually drifted slightly at Circa, where he went from plus 370 to plus 375, meaning a $100 bet would return a profit of $375. The Blue Grass (G1) victor was cut at Caesars to 3-1, matching the price he maintained at the Westgate.
Bettors appeared to be bearish on Forever Young, the Japan-based winner of the UAE Derby (G2). His odds lengthened to 12-1 at the Westgate and 10-1 at Circa while holding firm at 11-1 at Caesars.
Catching Freedom, who finished first in the Louisiana Derby (G2) for trainer Brad Cox, also drifted at two shops. He went to 12-1 at the Westgate and plus 1125 at Circa while holding his ground at 12-1 at Caesars.
Cox’s two other Derby possibilities attracted some betting steam this week. Even though Blue Grass runner-up Just a Touch stayed at 20-1 at Caesars, he was shortened to 16-1 at the Westgate and 15-1 at Circa. Lexington (G3) winner Encino, whom Cox has not yet confirmed for the Derby, was lowered to 50-1 at Caesars and 25-1 at the Westgate, although he was raised to 27-1 at Circa.
All these pools, in which a bet itself is action regardless of whether a given horse starts, will close shortly before Saturday night’s draw. New fixed-odds win pools, in which the race itself is action, will be opened in Nevada once the post positions and also-eligibles are established.
These were the odds Saturday morning, listed in order of best prices shown in bold:
| Kentucky Derby 2024 | Caesars | Circa | Westgate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fierceness | +275 | +225 | 2-1 |
| Sierra Leone | 3-1 | +375 | 3-1 |
| Forever Young | 11-1 | 10-1 | 12-1 |
| Catching Freedom | 12-1 | +1125 | 12-1 |
| Dornoch | 10-1 | 15-1 | 16-1 |
| Just a Touch | 20-1 | 15-1 | 16-1 |
| Honor Marie | 10-1 | 23-1 | 25-1 |
| Mystik Dan | 16-1 | 20-1 | 25-1 |
| Track Phantom | 20-1 | 24-1 | 30-1 |
| Resilience | 20-1 | 25-1 | 30-1 |
| Domestic Product | 26-1 | 24-1 | 30-1 |
| Stronghold | 25-1 | 30-1 | 30-1 |
| Just Steel | 30-1 | 32-1 | 30-1 |
| Encino | 50-1 | 27-1 | 25-1 |
| Endlessly | 50-1 | 25-1 | 40-1 |
| Common Defense | 65-1 | ||
| West Saratoga | 40-1 | 110-1 | 100-1 |
| Catalytic | 45-1 | 80-1 | 80-1 |
| Grand Mo the First | 100-1 | 90-1 | 80-1 |
| Le Dom Bro | 100-1 | ||
| Seize the Grey | 100-1 | ||
| Tuscan Gold | 100-1 | ||
| Uncle Heavy | 100-1 | ||
| Epic Ride | 125-1 | 100-1 | 100-1 |
| Society Man (g) | 100-1 | 210-1 | 100-1 |
| T O Password | 125-1 | 210-1 | 100-1 |
| g - gelding |
These were the Circa prop bets available for the Kentucky Derby on Saturday morning:
| Circa Sports props | ||
|---|---|---|
| To win Kentucky Derby 2024 | Yes | No |
| Fierceness | 225 | –280 |
| Sierra Leone | 375 | –485 |
| Fierceness or Sierra Leone | +100 | –130 |
| Head-to-head matchups | ||
| Fierceness | –130 | |
| Sierra Leone | +100 | |
| Fierceness | –280 | |
| Forever Young | +225 | |
| Catching Freedom | +230 | |
| Fierceness | –290 | |
| Forever Young | +165 | |
| Sierra Leone | -200 | |
| Catching Freedom | +175 | |
| Sierra Leone | –215 | |
| Catching Freedom | +115 | |
| Forever Young | –145 | |
| Just a Touch | –115 | |
| Resilience | –115 | |
| Society Man | –115 | |
| T O Password | –115 | |
| Domestic Product | +120 | |
| Honor Marie | –150 | |
| Just Steel | +110 | |
| Stronghold | –140 | |
| Triple Crown | Yes | No |
| Will same horse win all 3 races? | +800 | –1240 |