Kentucky Derby 2026 futures: Paladin surges to 2nd choice

Photo: Sue Kawczynski / Eclipse Sportswire

Paladin's victory in the Grade 2 Remsen Stakes on Saturday at Aqueduct vaulted Chad Brown's charge from 18-1 to 11-1 in Nevada futures for Kentucky Derby 2026. The Gun Runner colt now shares second choice with Further Ado at Caesars Sportsbook.

The connections behind 2024 Kentucky Derby runner-up Sierra Leone campaigned the 2-for-2 Paladin, who defeated Renegade and Balboa in the Remsen (G2) to give Brown his second winner of the race. Paladin earned 10 Kentucky Derby qualifying points to move into a tie for sixth on the leaderboard.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Ted Noffey remained the favorite at 7.5-1 for trainer Todd Pletcher. The Into Mischief colt tops the leaderboard with 40 points and is 4-for-4 with three consecutive Grade 1 scores in the Hopeful, Breeders' Futurity and Breeders' Cup Juvenile.

Further Ado, the Brad Cox-trained Gun Runner colt who romped by 20 lengths in his Keeneland maiden breaker, drifted slightly from 10-1 to 11-1 to tie Paladin. Further Ado earned 10 points for his Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) victory.

Third-place finisher Balboa made the biggest move among Remsen runners, plunging from 50-1 to 28-1. The former Bob Baffert runner transferred to Brittany Russell's barn and won the James F. Lewis Stakes at Laurel before his graded-stakes effort at Aqueduct. Renegade, who finished second for Pletcher, drifted from 35-1 to 40-1.

Boyd, the Violence colt whose two impressive sprint victories had shortened him to 15-1 last week, drifted to 20-1. Baffert has 10 horses in the Caesars futures. In addition to Boyd, Baffert has Brant at 25-1, Plutarch 45-1, Cherokee Nation and Provenance 50-1, Blacksmith and Desert Gate at 55-1, Falcon Jet 60-1, Litmus Test 55-1 and Buetane at 75-1. Brant and Litmus Test each have nine points after their Breeders' Cup Juvenile placings.

Pletcher has seven horses on the board, led by Ted Noffey. Courting is 33-1 after drifting from 18-1, Final Score and Renegade 33-1 and 40-1 respectively, Local Knowledge 40-1, Epic Desire 80-1 and Grittiness 150-1. Cox has eight contenders headed by Further Ado, including newly listed Cannoneer at 30-1, Rebel Instinct 40-1, Commandment 66-1, White Tiger and Rancho Santa Fe 80-1 and My World, Confessional and Exonerate at 90-1 or longer.

Japan's Satono Voyage debuted in the futures at 30-1 for trainer Hiroyasu Tanaka. The Into Mischief colt leads the Japan road to the Kentucky Derby with 10 points from his Cattleya Stakes victory. Igniter, recently added at 55-1 for trainer Richard Dutrow Jr., is another newcomer to watch.

Into Mischief leads the sire standings with 10 horses in the futures, led by favorite Ted Noffey plus Satono Voyage, Cannoneer, Rebel Instinct, Renegade, Plutarch, Provenance, Commandment, Tagermeen and Into The Beast. Gun Runner has six contenders: Further Ado, Paladin, Brant, Leading Change, Mob and Spice Runner. Not This Time has strong representation with Balboa, Blackout Time, Final Score, Cherokee Nation, Time for Music and It's Our Time.

Kenny McPeek has seven horses in the market, Blackout Time (33-1), Universe (40-1), Chambersville (66-1), Very Connected (80-1), Liberty National (65-1), Sleepingonfreedom (85-1) and JJ Grey (300-1). Steve Asmussen is represented by Obliteration, Romeo and Soldier N Diplomat at 50-1 to 55-1, plus Spice Runner at 60-1 and Stradale at 66-1.

Caesars Sportsbook Nevada listed 90 horses Monday morning for Kentucky Derby 2026. The odds are available to bettors in Nevada either in person or on an app. They also may be played legally from out of state using an existing account through a licensed proxy.

Horse Sire Trainer Odds Change
Ted Noffey Into Mischief Todd Pletcher 15-2  
Further Ado Gun Runner Brad Cox 11-1 Drifted
Paladin Gun Runner Chad Brown 11-1 Shortened
Incredibolt Bolt d'Oro Riley Mott 20-1  
Boyd Violence Bob Baffert 20-1 Drifted
Mr. A.P. American Pharoah Vladimir Cerin 25-1 Drifted
Brant Gun Runner Bob Baffert 25-1 Drifted
Napoleon Solo Liam's Map Chad Summers 28-1 Drifted
Balboa Not This Time Brittany Russell 28-1 Shortened
Satono Voyage Into Mischief Hiroyasu Tanaka 30-1 New
Cannoneer Into Mischief Brad Cox 30-1 New
Blackout Time Not This Time Kenny McPeek 33-1 Drifted
Courting Curlin Todd Pletcher 33-1 Drifted
Final Score Not This Time Todd Pletcher 33-1 Drifted
Englishman Maxfield Cherie DeVaux 33-1 Drifted
Leading Change Gun Runner unnamed trainer 35-1  
Universe Global Campaign Kenny McPeek 40-1  
Rebel Instinct Into Mischief Chad Brown 40-1 New
Renegade Into Mischief Todd Pletcher 40-1 Drifted
Provenance Into Mischief Bob Baffert 40-1  
Local Knowledge Yaupon Todd Pletcher 40-1  
Plutarch Into Mischief Bob Baffert 45-1 Shortened
Mob Gun Runner Brian Lynch 45-1 Shortened
Civil Liberty Independence Hall Doug O'Neill 50-1  
Obliteration Violence Steve Asmussen 50-1  
Romeo Honor A. P. Steve Asmussen 50-1  
Cherokee Nation Not This Time Bob Baffert 50-1 Shortened
Comport Collected Eddie Kenneally 50-1  
Curtain Call Tiz the Law Mark Casse 50-1  
Big Dom McKinzie Tom Amoss 55-1  
Igniter Volatile Richard Dutrow, Jr. 55-1 New
Blacksmith Liam's Map Bob Baffert 55-1  
Desert Gate Omaha Beach Bob Baffert 55-1 Drifted
Litmus Test Nyquist Bob Baffert 55-1 Drifted
Soldier N Diplomat Army Mule Steve Asmussen 55-1  
Intrepido Maximus Mischief Jeff Mullins 55-1  
Ewing Knicks Go Mark Casse 60-1  
Spice Runner Gun Runner Steve Asmussen 60-1  
Criteria Yaupon Chad Brown 60-1  
Falcon Jet Justify Bob Baffert 60-1  
Liberty National Maxfield Kenny McPeek 65-1  
Boss Dylan Liam's Map Brendan Walsh 66-1  
Chambersville Twirling Candy Ken McPeek 66-1 New
Smarty Hardy Stroll Todd Jordan 66-1  
Commandment Into Mischief Brad Cox 66-1  
Stop the Car Maximum Security Brendan Walsh 66-1  
Talkin Good Magic Danny Gargan 66-1 Drifted
Stradale Yaupon Steve Asmussen 66-1  
The Big Con Dark Angel Miguel Clement 75-1  
Intricate Spirit Complexity Miguel Clement 75-1  
Street Beast Street Sense Ben Colebrook 75-1  
Later Than Planned Cotai Glory Philip D'Amato 75-1  
Stirring Words Constitution Cherie DeVaux 75-1  
Buetane Tiz the Law Bob Baffert 75-1 Drifted
Tagermeen Into Mischief Steve Asmussen 75-1  
Time for Music Not This Time Steve Asmussen 75-1  
Epic Desire Uncle Mo Todd Pletcher 80-1  
Very Connected Connect Kenny McPeek 80-1  
White Tiger Constitution Brad Cox 80-1 New
Attfield Vekoma Thomas Morley 80-1  
Rancho Santa Fe Tapit Brad Cox 80-1 Drifted
Bottas Vekoma Miguel Clement 80-1  
Sleepingonfreedom Independence Hall Kenny McPeek 85-1  
Proletariat Raging Bull Jeff Mullins 90-1  
Max Ciao Maxfield Steve Knapp 90-1  
My World Essential Quality Brad Cox 90-1  
Ganaas War Front Andrew McKeever 90-1  
It's Our Time Not This Time Tom Amoss 90-1  
Infiltrate Oscar Performance Brendan Walsh 90-1  
Mesquite Union Rags Cherie DeVaux 95-1 New
Dr. Kapur McKinzie Saffie Joseph, Jr. 100-1 Drifted
Into The Beast Into Mischief Dale Romans 100-1  
Confessional Essential Quality Brad Cox 100-1  
Exonerate Justify Brad Cox 100-1  
Vitruvian Man Vino Rosso Doug O'Neill 100-1  
Longshoreman Twirling Candy Wesley Ward 100-1  
Stable Hero Vekoma Randy Morse 100-1  
Liberty Valance Constitution Brendan Walsh 110-1 New
Cruise Home Catalina Cruiser Dean Pederson 125-1  
Chip Honcho Connect Steve Asmussen 125-1 New
Project Ace War of Will Dale Romans 125-1  
Just Asap Maxfield Mark Casse 150-1  
Password Uncle Mo Rodolphe Brisset 150-1  
Grittiness Curlin Todd Pletcher 150-1  
Nine Ball Code of Honor Riley Mott 150-1  
Maximus Prime Maximus Mischief Anthony Mitchell 200-1  
Gallivant Into Mischief Ben Colebrook 200-1 Drifted
AP Again Honor A. P. Doug O'Neill 250-1  
Knick The Quick Knicks Go Christopher Davis 300-1  
JJ Grey Street Boss Kenny McPeek 300-1  
Kristofferson Nyquist Bob Baffert -- Removed
Acknowledgemeplz Bucchero Doug O'Neill -- Removed
I Did I Did Curlin Mike Maker -- Removed
Stickupwithoutagun McKinzie Kenny McPeek -- Removed
Casa Cielo Caravaggio Keith Desormeaux -- Removed
Johnny's Red Storm Twirling Candy George Weaver -- Removed
Bacio Maclean's Music Wesley Ward -- Removed
Cabourg Munnings Jose D'Angelo -- Removed
Vost Instagrand William Walden -- Removed
Camigol Neolithic Antonio Sano -- Removed

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