Kentucky Derby 2026 futures: Big weekend shakes up market
Three major preps over the weekend reshaped the Kentucky Derby 2026 futures market at Caesars Sportsbook in Nevada. The Fountain of Youth, Gotham and Rebel stakes produced new contenders and knocked others down the board over the weekend, giving bettors plenty to reconsider.
Commandment made the biggest splash. After winning Grade 2 the Fountain of Youth on Saturday at Gulfstream Park, the Brad Cox–trained colt rocketed from 30-1 to 9-1 to become the second choice in Las Vegas. Commandment passed his first two-turn test with victory over Chief Wallabee. Cox identified the Florida Derby (G1) as his likely next start.
Paladin held firm atop the Caesars board at 8-1 on Monday morning, though his odds drifted from 6-1 a week ago. The Chad Brown-trained colt leads the road to the Kentucky Derby leaderboard with 60 points.
Brown strengthened his hand further Saturday at Aqueduct, where Iron Honor took the Gotham (G3). The colt edged away to a one-length victory and shortened from 40-1 to 22-1. Brown said the Wood Memorial (G2) is the next target.
Chief Wallabee’s determined runner-up effort in the Fountain of Youth brought the colt from 16-1 to 10-1. He's trained by Bill Mott, who won last year’s Fountain of Youth with horse of the year Sovereignty.
The Rebel (G2) brought its own shakeup Sunday at Oaklawn. Class President scored for Todd Pletcher, and the colt’s futures reflected it as he shortened from 125-1 to 45-1. Class President earned 50 Derby qualifying points in the race, grinding past Silent Tactic at the wire. Litmus Test set the early pace and faded to third for Bob Baffert.
The weekend was far less kind to several who had been expected to emerge. Silent Tactic, the Southwest (G3) winner who ran second in the Rebel for Mark Casse, drifted from 12-1 to 40-1. Litmus Test moved from 28-1 to 55-1 after fading. Blackout Time finished fourth and drifted from 30-1 to 65-1.
Napoleon Solo, the Champagne winner making his sophomore debut in the Fountain of Youth for trainer Chad Summers, could not sustain his early speed and finished fifth. He moved from 22-1 to 30-1.
Three horses were removed from the Caesars board: Plutarch (18-1), Jackson Hole (25-1) and Balboa (125-1). Jackson Hole, the Pletcher-trained colt who had been undefeated, faded after pressing the pace in the Fountain of Youth.
Among other movers, Boyd shortened from 18-1 to 14-1, and Canaletto went from 22-1 to 15-1. Cherokee Nation made one of the larger jumps, going from 80-1 to 40-1. Solitude Dude, who held third in the Fountain of Youth, tightened from 75-1 to 55-1.
Three horses were added to the board: Creole Chrome at 85-1, Tariff Mindset at 125-1 and Steel at 125-1.
In all, 139 horses were listed Monday morning in the Kentucky Derby 2026 futures at Caesars Sportsbook in Nevada, which also operates William Hill outlets. They are available for betting in person or on an app in Nevada.
| Horse | Previous | Current | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paladin | 6-1 | 8-1 | DRIFTED |
| Commandment | 30-1 | 9-1 | SHORTENED |
| Chief Wallabee | 16-1 | 10-1 | SHORTENED |
| Nearly | 10-1 | 11-1 | DRIFTED |
| Renegade | 10-1 | 12-1 | DRIFTED |
| Boyd | 18-1 | 14-1 | SHORTENED |
| Canaletto | 22-1 | 15-1 | SHORTENED |
| Further Ado | 18-1 | 20-1 | DRIFTED |
| Iron Honor | 40-1 | 22-1 | SHORTENED |
| Golden Tempo | 25-1 | 25-1 | |
| Cannoneer | 28-1 | 28-1 | |
| Napoleon Solo | 22-1 | 30-1 | DRIFTED |
| Brant | 30-1 | 30-1 | |
| Intrepido | 35-1 | 35-1 | |
| Potente | 35-1 | 35-1 | |
| Reagan's Honor | 40-1 | 35-1 | SHORTENED |
| Six Speed | 33-1 | 35-1 | DRIFTED |
| Al Haram | 35-1 | 40-1 | DRIFTED |
| Pyromancer | 40-1 | 40-1 | |
| Cherokee Nation | 80-1 | 40-1 | SHORTENED |
| Leading Change | 40-1 | 40-1 | |
| Ewing | 40-1 | 40-1 | |
| Silent Tactic | 12-1 | 40-1 | DRIFTED |
| Courting | 40-1 | 40-1 | |
| Emerging Market | 45-1 | 45-1 | |
| Class President | 125-1 | 45-1 | SHORTENED |
| Chip Honcho | 50-1 | 50-1 | |
| Buetane | 50-1 | 50-1 | |
| Final Score | 50-1 | 50-1 | |
| Pavlovian | 50-1 | 50-1 | |
| Englishman | 40-1 | 50-1 | DRIFTED |
| So Happy | 60-1 | 50-1 | SHORTENED |
| Litmus Test | 28-1 | 55-1 | DRIFTED |
| Solitude Dude | 75-1 | 55-1 | SHORTENED |
| Schoolyardsuperman | 66-1 | 55-1 | SHORTENED |
| Desert Gate | 50-1 | 60-1 | DRIFTED |
| Rebel Instinct | 60-1 | 60-1 | |
| Incredibolt | 60-1 | 60-1 | |
| Talk to Me Jimmy | 60-1 | 60-1 | |
| Soldier N Diplomat | 60-1 | 60-1 | |
| Big Dom | 60-1 | 60-1 | |
| Bravaro | 60-1 | 65-1 | DRIFTED |
| Blackout Time | 30-1 | 65-1 | DRIFTED |
| The Puma | 66-1 | 66-1 | |
| D'Code | 66-1 | 66-1 | |
| Project Ace | 70-1 | 70-1 | |
| Great White | 85-1 | 75-1 | SHORTENED |
| Blacksmith | 75-1 | 75-1 | |
| Curtain Call | 75-1 | 75-1 | |
| Provenance | 75-1 | 75-1 | |
| Liberty National | 75-1 | 75-1 | |
| Local Knowledge | 75-1 | 75-1 | |
| Grittiness | 75-1 | 75-1 | |
| Spartacus | 75-1 | 75-1 | |
| Stradale | 80-1 | 80-1 | |
| Strategic Risk | 80-1 | 80-1 | |
| Secured Freedom | 80-1 | 80-1 | |
| Igniter | 80-1 | 80-1 | |
| Powershift | 80-1 | 80-1 | |
| Stop the Car | 80-1 | 80-1 | |
| Creole Chrome | - | 85-1 | NEW |
| Express Kid | 90-1 | 90-1 | |
| Ottinho | 100-1 | 100-1 | |
| Talkin | 100-1 | 100-1 | |
| Universe | 100-1 | 100-1 | |
| Crown the Buckeye | 125-1 | 100-1 | SHORTENED |
| Rancho Santa Fe | 100-1 | 100-1 | |
| Satono Voyage | 100-1 | 100-1 | |
| Carson Street | 100-1 | 100-1 | |
| Intricate Spirit | 100-1 | 100-1 | |
| Infiltrate | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Proletariat | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Hadrian's Wall | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Obliteration | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Arctic Beast | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Falcon Jet | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Tariff Mindset | - | 125-1 | NEW |
| Confessional | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Later Than Planned | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Civil Liberty | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Boca Beach Club | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| It's Our Time | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Brotherly Love | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Stirring Words | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Fulleffort | 100-1 | 125-1 | DRIFTED |
| Greenwich Village | 150-1 | 125-1 | SHORTENED |
| Steel | - | 125-1 | NEW |
| Enforced Agenda | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| The Big Con | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Bottas | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Smarty Hardy | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Boss Dylan | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Mob | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Time for Music | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Criteria | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Street Beast | 125-1 | 125-1 | |
| Amberjack | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Game for It | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Right To Party | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| White Tiger | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Fifty Four Yarder | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Awesome Gun | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Exonerate | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Exosome | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Clocker Special | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Golden Tornado | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Nine Ball | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| My World | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Two Out Hero | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Bull by the Horns | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Spice Runner | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Thunder Buck | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Crupper | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| No Joke Joe | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Top Level | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Khon Han | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Romeo | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Reclamation | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Sockdolager | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Ocean Bear | 150-1 | 150-1 | |
| Into The Beast | 175-1 | 175-1 | |
| Liberty Valance | 175-1 | 175-1 | |
| Rockies Balboa | 175-1 | 175-1 | |
| Robusta | 175-1 | 175-1 | |
| Epic Desire | 175-1 | 175-1 | |
| Waymark | 175-1 | 175-1 | |
| Very Connected | 175-1 | 175-1 | |
| Smoovin Saturday | 150-1 | 200-1 | DRIFTED |
| Herbs Bolt | 200-1 | 200-1 | |
| Attfield | 200-1 | 200-1 | |
| Gallivant | 200-1 | 200-1 | |
| Quality Mischief | 225-1 | 225-1 | |
| Horse of the Sea | 250-1 | 250-1 | |
| Start the Ride | 250-1 | 250-1 | |
| Crossingthechannel | 250-1 | 250-1 | |
| Max Ciao | 250-1 | 250-1 | |
| Vitruvian Man | 250-1 | 250-1 | |
| Classico | 250-1 | 250-1 | |
| Cruise Home | 250-1 | 250-1 | |
| Plutarch | 18-1 | - | REMOVED |
| Jackson Hole | 25-1 | - | REMOVED |
| Balboa | 125-1 | - | REMOVED |