Kentucky Derby 2024 rankings: Top 50 contenders

Photo: Scott Serio / Eclipse Sportswire

Have we seen the Kentucky Derby 2024 winner race yet? It's hard to know. Last year's Kentucky Derby winner Mage didn't make his racing debut until Jan. 28. 

As we move closer to this year's Derby, Horse Racing Nation's Kentucky Derby 2024 contenders page is a great resource to track both the top 3-year-olds and the up-and-coming ones. These rankings are based on HRN reader votes, so they can change from time to time, and the rankings below are a snapshot of where they stand currently. If you want to vote on any of the horses, just login and go to a horse page and rate them between 1 and 10 stars.  

No rankings are perfect, but this is a great snapshot of the top contenders and some up and comers. In addition to all those competing in stakes company, the list includes five horses who are coming off allowance wins and nine runners coming off maiden wins. 

In the current top 50, four trainers had 26 of those 50 runners. 

Steve Asmussen has seven horses on the list: Carbone at no. 13, Imperial Gun (16), Booth (17), Track Phantom (21), Informed Patriot (39), Otto The Conqueror (41) and Risk It (43).

Bob Baffert has seven horses: Muth (2), Nysos (11), Prince of Monaco (22), Wynstock (23), Coach Prime (25), Pilot Commander (42) and Mirahmadi (44). 

Todd Pletcher has six horses: Fierceness (1), Locked (3), Moonlight (27), Born Noble (29), Be You (47) and Haul (49). 

Brad Cox has six horses: Nash (5), Timberlake (6), Drum Roll Please (10), Air of Defiance (20), Catching Freedom (24) and Rocketeer (40). 

Who are my favorites? 

Any Derby rankings or Kentucky Derby odds this early tend to be more about what horses have done than their potential. I'm more interested in seeing the next step from those who have shown promise but aren't at the top of the list yet. 

One of those is Honor Marie (7), the off-the-pace winner of the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club in November, trained by Whitworth Beckman.  It was an impressive run, and hopefully there's more improvement in store.  I also thought that Real Men Violin (33), trained by Kenny McPeek, ran well getting second behind Honor Marie, as did another McPeek runner, Generous Tipper (12), who was last seen running third behind Locked in the Breeders' Futurity (G1). 

Of the top of the list, I'm most looking forward to seeing another run from Locked (3), who goes next in the Sam F. Davis (G3). 

Here are HRN's current Kentucky Derby Top 50 rankings. 

Kentucky Derby 2024 contenders

Rank Rating Silks Horse / Sire Trainer / Jockey Last Start (Speed), Race / Next Start
1 7.16 Fierceness
City of Light
T. Pletcher
J. Velazquez
1st (106), 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
2024 Holy Bull G3
2 6.87 Muth
Good Magic
B. Baffert
J. Hernandez
1st , 2024 San Vicente G2
3 6.80 Locked
Gun Runner
T. Pletcher
J. Ortiz
3rd (96), 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
2024 Sam F. Davis G3
4 6.74 Dornoch
Good Magic
D. Gargan
L. Saez
1st (98), 2023 Remsen G2
5 6.67 Nash
Medaglia d'Oro
B. Cox
F. Geroux
3rd (93), 2023 Gun Runner LS
6 6.60 Timberlake
Into Mischief
B. Cox
F. Geroux
4th (95), 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
7 6.48 Honor Marie
Honor Code
D. Beckman
R. Bejarano
1st (96), 2023 Kentucky Jockey Club G2
8 6.48 Sierra Leone
Gun Runner
C. Brown
J. Ortiz
2nd (99), 2023 Remsen G2
9 6.48 Stretch Ride
Street Sense
D. Romans
M. Chuan
3rd (91), 2023 Kentucky Jockey Club G2
2024 Fountain of Youth G2
10 6.47 Drum Roll Please
Hard Spun
B. Cox
J. Castellano
1st , 2024 Jerome LS
2024 Withers G3
11 6.45 Nysos
Nyquist
B. Baffert
F. Prat
1st (105), 2023 Bob Hope G3
12 6.39 Generous Tipper
Street Sense
K. McPeek
B. Hernandez, Jr.
3rd (87), 2023 Breeders' Futurity G1
2024 Holy Bull G3
13 6.34 Carbone
Mitole
S. Asmussen
R. Santana, Jr.
1st (93), OP AlwOC (12/31/23-R8)
14 6.34 Change of Command
Into Mischief
C. McGaughey III
J. Ortiz
1st , GP AlwOC (1/5/24-R7)
15 6.27 Otello
Curlin
C. Clement
L. Saez
1st , 2024 Mucho Macho Man LS
16 6.27 Imperial Gun
Gun Runner
S. Asmussen
J. Rosario
1st (87), OP MSW (12/31/23-R5)
17 6.26 Booth
Mitole
S. Asmussen
R. Santana, Jr.
5th (87), 2023 Ed Brown LS
18 6.26 The Wine Steward
Vino Rosso
M. Maker
L. Saez
2nd (92), 2023 Breeders' Futurity G1
2024 Holy Bull G3
19 6.23 Knightsbridge
Nyquist
W. Mott
J. Graham
1st (100), CD MSW (11/4/23-R7)
20 6.23 Air Of Defiance
Quality Road
B. Cox
L. Saez
1st (105), Kee MSW (10/18/23-R5)
21 6.23 Track Phantom
Quality Road
S. Asmussen
C. Torres
1st (97), 2023 Gun Runner LS
22 6.21 Prince of Monaco
Speightstown
B. Baffert
F. Prat
5th (93), 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
23 6.19 Wynstock
Solomini
B. Baffert
K. Frey
1st (91), 2023 Los Alamitos Futurity G2
24 6.19 Catching Freedom
Constitution
B. Cox
C. Torres
1st , 2024 Smarty Jones LS
2024 Risen Star G2
25 6.19 Coach Prime
Quality Road
B. Baffert
F. Prat
3rd (89), 2023 Los Alamitos Futurity G2
26 6.10 General Partner
Speightstown
C. Brown
M. Franco
6th (91), 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
27 6.09 Moonlight
Audible
T. Pletcher
I. Ortiz, Jr.
4th (88), 2023 Remsen G2
28 6.09 Snead
Nyquist
B. Walsh
J. Loveberry
2nd (95), 2023 Gun Runner LS
29 6.07 Born Noble
Constitution
T. Pletcher
I. Ortiz, Jr.
1st (94), GP MSW (12/30/23-R1)
30 6.07 Parchment Party
Constitution
W. Mott
J. Graham
1st (92), CD AlwOC (11/9/23-R8)
31 6.07 Doncho
Mo Town
M. Lovell
C. Hernandez
1st (107), FG MSW (12/30/23-R8)
32 6.07 First World War
War Front
B. Walsh
T. Gaffalione
2nd , 2024 Mucho Macho Man LS
33 6.06 Real Men Violin
Mendelssohn
K. McPeek
B. Hernandez, Jr.
2nd (93), 2023 Kentucky Jockey Club G2
34 6.06 El Capi
Maclean's Music
R. Dutrow,
J. Gomez
1st (101), Aqu MSW (12/2/23-R2)
35 6.06 Deterministic
Liam's Map
C. Clement
J. Rosario
1st (91), Sar MSW (8/12/23-R5)
2024 Holy Bull G3
36 6.06 Stronghold
Ghostzapper
P. D'Amato
V. oijhn
2nd (90), 2023 Los Alamitos Futurity G2
37 6.06 Time For Truth
Omaha Beach
R. Moquett
R. Bejarano
1st (97), OP MSW (12/31/23-R6)
38 6.06 Just Steel
Justify
D. Lukas
R. Vazquez
2nd , 2024 Smarty Jones LS
39 6.06 Informed Patriot
Hard Spun
S. Asmussen
R. Santana, Jr.
3rd , 2024 Smarty Jones LS
40 6.06 Rocketeer
Curlin
B. Cox
T. Gaffalione
1st , Kee MSW (10/26/23-R8)
41 6.06 Otto The Conqueror
Street Sense
S. Asmussen
T. Gaffalione
1st (89), 2023 Remington Springboard Mile LS
42 6.05 Pilot Commander
Justify
B. Baffert
F. Prat
2nd , 2024 San Vicente G2
2024 Kentucky Derby G1
43 6.04 Risk It
Gun Runner
S. Asmussen
J. Rosario
5th (76), 2023 Gun Runner LS
44 6.04 Mirahmadi
Into Mischief
B. Baffert
J. Hernandez
2nd (92), 2023 Del Mar Futurity G1
45 6.03 Rhyme Schemes
Ghostzapper
N. Casse
R. Santana, Jr.
1st (95), 2023 Saratoga Special G2
46 5.95 Nutella Fella
Runhappy
G. Contessa
J. Alvarado
1st (86), 2023 Hopeful G1
2024 Peter Pan G3
47 5.94 Be You
Curlin
T. Pletcher
L. Saez
5th (81), CD MSW (11/12/23-R7)
48 5.93 Balta
Munnings
P. Lobo
C. Torres
1st (88), CD AlwOC (9/15/23-R8)
49 5.93 Haul
Army Mule
T. Pletcher
E. Zayas
1st (81), GP AlwOC (11/3/23-R4)
2024 Holy Bull G3
50 5.91 Fifth Avenue
Street Sense
R. Mott
L. Saez
1st (88), ELP MSW (6/22/23-R2)
2024 Holy Bull G3

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