Kentucky Derby 2024 rankings: Top 50 contenders
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Have we seen the Kentucky Derby 2024 winner race yet? It's hard to know. Last year's Kentucky Derby winner Mage didn't make his racing debut until Jan. 28.
As we move closer to this year's Derby, Horse Racing Nation's Kentucky Derby 2024 contenders page is a great resource to track both the top 3-year-olds and the up-and-coming ones. These rankings are based on HRN reader votes, so they can change from time to time, and the rankings below are a snapshot of where they stand currently. If you want to vote on any of the horses, just login and go to a horse page and rate them between 1 and 10 stars.
No rankings are perfect, but this is a great snapshot of the top contenders and some up and comers. In addition to all those competing in stakes company, the list includes five horses who are coming off allowance wins and nine runners coming off maiden wins.
In the current top 50, four trainers had 26 of those 50 runners.
Steve Asmussen has seven horses on the list: Carbone at no. 13, Imperial Gun (16), Booth (17), Track Phantom (21), Informed Patriot (39), Otto The Conqueror (41) and Risk It (43).
Bob Baffert has seven horses: Muth (2), Nysos (11), Prince of Monaco (22), Wynstock (23), Coach Prime (25), Pilot Commander (42) and Mirahmadi (44).
Todd Pletcher has six horses: Fierceness (1), Locked (3), Moonlight (27), Born Noble (29), Be You (47) and Haul (49).
Brad Cox has six horses: Nash (5), Timberlake (6), Drum Roll Please (10), Air of Defiance (20), Catching Freedom (24) and Rocketeer (40).
Who are my favorites?
Any Derby rankings or Kentucky Derby odds this early tend to be more about what horses have done than their potential. I'm more interested in seeing the next step from those who have shown promise but aren't at the top of the list yet.
One of those is Honor Marie (7), the off-the-pace winner of the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club in November, trained by Whitworth Beckman. It was an impressive run, and hopefully there's more improvement in store. I also thought that Real Men Violin (33), trained by Kenny McPeek, ran well getting second behind Honor Marie, as did another McPeek runner, Generous Tipper (12), who was last seen running third behind Locked in the Breeders' Futurity (G1).
Of the top of the list, I'm most looking forward to seeing another run from Locked (3), who goes next in the Sam F. Davis (G3).
Here are HRN's current Kentucky Derby Top 50 rankings.
| Rank |
Rating |
Silks |
Horse / Sire |
Trainer / Jockey |
Last Start (Speed), Race / Next Start |
| 1 |
7.16
|
|
Fierceness
City of Light
|
T. Pletcher
J. Velazquez
|
1st (106), 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
2024 Holy Bull G3
|
| 2 |
6.87
|
|
Muth
Good Magic
|
B. Baffert
J. Hernandez
|
1st , 2024 San Vicente G2
|
| 3 |
6.80
|
|
Locked
Gun Runner
|
T. Pletcher
J. Ortiz
|
3rd (96), 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
2024 Sam F. Davis G3
|
| 4 |
6.74
|
|
Dornoch
Good Magic
|
D. Gargan
L. Saez
|
1st (98), 2023 Remsen G2
|
| 5 |
6.67
|
|
Nash
Medaglia d'Oro
|
B. Cox
F. Geroux
|
3rd (93), 2023 Gun Runner LS
|
| 6 |
6.60
|
|
Timberlake
Into Mischief
|
B. Cox
F. Geroux
|
4th (95), 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
|
| 7 |
6.48
|
|
Honor Marie
Honor Code
|
D. Beckman
R. Bejarano
|
1st (96), 2023 Kentucky Jockey Club G2
|
| 8 |
6.48
|
|
Sierra Leone
Gun Runner
|
C. Brown
J. Ortiz
|
2nd (99), 2023 Remsen G2
|
| 9 |
6.48
|
|
Stretch Ride
Street Sense
|
D. Romans
M. Chuan
|
3rd (91), 2023 Kentucky Jockey Club G2
2024 Fountain of Youth G2
|
| 10 |
6.47
|
|
Drum Roll Please
Hard Spun
|
B. Cox
J. Castellano
|
1st , 2024 Jerome LS
2024 Withers G3
|
| 11 |
6.45
|
|
Nysos
Nyquist
|
B. Baffert
F. Prat
|
1st (105), 2023 Bob Hope G3
|
| 12 |
6.39
|
|
Generous Tipper
Street Sense
|
K. McPeek
B. Hernandez, Jr.
|
3rd (87), 2023 Breeders' Futurity G1
2024 Holy Bull G3
|
| 13 |
6.34
|
|
Carbone
Mitole
|
S. Asmussen
R. Santana, Jr.
|
1st (93), OP AlwOC (12/31/23-R8)
|
| 14 |
6.34
|
|
Change of Command
Into Mischief
|
C. McGaughey III
J. Ortiz
|
1st , GP AlwOC (1/5/24-R7)
|
| 15 |
6.27
|
|
Otello
Curlin
|
C. Clement
L. Saez
|
1st , 2024 Mucho Macho Man LS
|
| 16 |
6.27
|
|
Imperial Gun
Gun Runner
|
S. Asmussen
J. Rosario
|
1st (87), OP MSW (12/31/23-R5)
|
| 17 |
6.26
|
|
Booth
Mitole
|
S. Asmussen
R. Santana, Jr.
|
5th (87), 2023 Ed Brown LS
|
| 18 |
6.26
|
|
The Wine Steward
Vino Rosso
|
M. Maker
L. Saez
|
2nd (92), 2023 Breeders' Futurity G1
2024 Holy Bull G3
|
| 19 |
6.23
|
|
Knightsbridge
Nyquist
|
W. Mott
J. Graham
|
1st (100), CD MSW (11/4/23-R7)
|
| 20 |
6.23
|
|
Air Of Defiance
Quality Road
|
B. Cox
L. Saez
|
1st (105), Kee MSW (10/18/23-R5)
|
| 21 |
6.23
|
|
Track Phantom
Quality Road
|
S. Asmussen
C. Torres
|
1st (97), 2023 Gun Runner LS
|
| 22 |
6.21
|
|
Prince of Monaco
Speightstown
|
B. Baffert
F. Prat
|
5th (93), 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
|
| 23 |
6.19
|
|
Wynstock
Solomini
|
B. Baffert
K. Frey
|
1st (91), 2023 Los Alamitos Futurity G2
|
| 24 |
6.19
|
|
Catching Freedom
Constitution
|
B. Cox
C. Torres
|
1st , 2024 Smarty Jones LS
2024 Risen Star G2
|
| 25 |
6.19
|
|
Coach Prime
Quality Road
|
B. Baffert
F. Prat
|
3rd (89), 2023 Los Alamitos Futurity G2
|
| 26 |
6.10
|
|
General Partner
Speightstown
|
C. Brown
M. Franco
|
6th (91), 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1
|
| 27 |
6.09
|
|
Moonlight
Audible
|
T. Pletcher
I. Ortiz, Jr.
|
4th (88), 2023 Remsen G2
|
| 28 |
6.09
|
|
Snead
Nyquist
|
B. Walsh
J. Loveberry
|
2nd (95), 2023 Gun Runner LS
|
| 29 |
6.07
|
|
Born Noble
Constitution
|
T. Pletcher
I. Ortiz, Jr.
|
1st (94), GP MSW (12/30/23-R1)
|
| 30 |
6.07
|
|
Parchment Party
Constitution
|
W. Mott
J. Graham
|
1st (92), CD AlwOC (11/9/23-R8)
|
| 31 |
6.07
|
|
Doncho
Mo Town
|
M. Lovell
C. Hernandez
|
1st (107), FG MSW (12/30/23-R8)
|
| 32 |
6.07
|
|
First World War
War Front
|
B. Walsh
T. Gaffalione
|
2nd , 2024 Mucho Macho Man LS
|
| 33 |
6.06
|
|
Real Men Violin
Mendelssohn
|
K. McPeek
B. Hernandez, Jr.
|
2nd (93), 2023 Kentucky Jockey Club G2
|
| 34 |
6.06
|
|
El Capi
Maclean's Music
|
R. Dutrow,
J. Gomez
|
1st (101), Aqu MSW (12/2/23-R2)
|
| 35 |
6.06
|
|
Deterministic
Liam's Map
|
C. Clement
J. Rosario
|
1st (91), Sar MSW (8/12/23-R5)
2024 Holy Bull G3
|
| 36 |
6.06
|
|
Stronghold
Ghostzapper
|
P. D'Amato
V. oijhn
|
2nd (90), 2023 Los Alamitos Futurity G2
|
| 37 |
6.06
|
|
Time For Truth
Omaha Beach
|
R. Moquett
R. Bejarano
|
1st (97), OP MSW (12/31/23-R6)
|
| 38 |
6.06
|
|
Just Steel
Justify
|
D. Lukas
R. Vazquez
|
2nd , 2024 Smarty Jones LS
|
| 39 |
6.06
|
|
Informed Patriot
Hard Spun
|
S. Asmussen
R. Santana, Jr.
|
3rd , 2024 Smarty Jones LS
|
| 40 |
6.06
|
|
Rocketeer
Curlin
|
B. Cox
T. Gaffalione
|
1st , Kee MSW (10/26/23-R8)
|
| 41 |
6.06
|
|
Otto The Conqueror
Street Sense
|
S. Asmussen
T. Gaffalione
|
1st (89), 2023 Remington Springboard Mile LS
|
| 42 |
6.05
|
|
Pilot Commander
Justify
|
B. Baffert
F. Prat
|
2nd , 2024 San Vicente G2
2024 Kentucky Derby G1
|
| 43 |
6.04
|
|
Risk It
Gun Runner
|
S. Asmussen
J. Rosario
|
5th (76), 2023 Gun Runner LS
|
| 44 |
6.04
|
|
Mirahmadi
Into Mischief
|
B. Baffert
J. Hernandez
|
2nd (92), 2023 Del Mar Futurity G1
|
| 45 |
6.03
|
|
Rhyme Schemes
Ghostzapper
|
N. Casse
R. Santana, Jr.
|
1st (95), 2023 Saratoga Special G2
|
| 46 |
5.95
|
|
Nutella Fella
Runhappy
|
G. Contessa
J. Alvarado
|
1st (86), 2023 Hopeful G1
2024 Peter Pan G3
|
| 47 |
5.94
|
|
Be You
Curlin
|
T. Pletcher
L. Saez
|
5th (81), CD MSW (11/12/23-R7)
|
| 48 |
5.93
|
|
Balta
Munnings
|
P. Lobo
C. Torres
|
1st (88), CD AlwOC (9/15/23-R8)
|
| 49 |
5.93
|
|
Haul
Army Mule
|
T. Pletcher
E. Zayas
|
1st (81), GP AlwOC (11/3/23-R4)
2024 Holy Bull G3
|
| 50 |
5.91
|
|
Fifth Avenue
Street Sense
|
R. Mott
L. Saez
|
1st (88), ELP MSW (6/22/23-R2)
2024 Holy Bull G3
|
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