Kentucky Derby 2024 odds: Las Vegas vs. pari-mutuels
If his mid-afternoon pari-mutuel price were to hold through post time in Kentucky Derby 2024, consensus favorite Fierceness will carry more value at the track than he showed in the Nevada fixed-odds market on Saturday.
Even though his odds went longer at three Las Vegas books, the Eclipse Award recipient and runaway winner of the Grade 1 Florida Derby was no better than the plus 260, slightly longer than 5-2, that he was showing at Circa Sports. At Churchill Downs he was 7-2, plus 350, on the toteboard showing nationwide betting into the win pool at 4:05 p.m. EDT, a little more than three hours before the race.
DeRosa: Fair odds for Kentucky Derby 2024.
Second choice Sierra Leone also was a better bet in the nationwide pari-mutuels with odds of 5-1 vs. his 9-2 best fixed odds at the Westgate Superbook.
Catching Freedom was 8-1 in both markets. Forever Young drifted to 9-1 at Caesars while showing at 6-1 at the track.
Some of the longest shots had the bigger disparities Saturday afternoon. Mystik Dan was 40-1 in Nevada and 15-1 in the pari-mutuels. Grand Mo the First was 100-1 at Las Vegas and 44-1 at the track.
The Nevada bookmakers assume a different risk since they lock in odds at the time of the bet even though they are not action until the race starts at 7:03 p.m. EDT. Those markets will be closed shortly before post time.
These were the prices showing at the three Nevada shops taking fixed-odds action for the Derby. They are shown with the Churchill Downs pari-mutuels at 4:05 p.m. EDT.
| Kentucky Derby 2024 | Caesars | Circa | Westgate | CD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17. Fierceness | +225 | +260 | 5-2 | 7-2 |
| 2. Sierra Leone | +275 | +365 | 9-2 | 5-1 |
| 4. Catching Freedom | 8-1 | 7-1 | 8-1 | 8-1 |
| 11. Forever Young | 9-1 | +650 | 7-1 | 6-1 |
| 8. Just a Touch | 10-1 | +1150 | 10-1 | 10-1 |
| 7. Honor Marie | 13-1 | 16-1 | 14-1 | 13-1 |
| 1. Dornoch | 20-1 | 15-1 | 20-1 | 22-1 |
| 6. Just Steel | 20-1 | 26-1 | 25-1 | 22-1 |
| 15. Domestic Product | 29-1 | 32-1 | 30-1 | 28-1 |
| 18. Stronghold | 22-1 | 38-1 | 30-1 | 35-1 |
| 3. Mystik Dan | 20-1 | 40-1 | 20-1 | 15-1 |
| 19. Resilience | 25-1 | 50-1 | 30-1 | 29-1 |
| 5. Catalytic | 30-1 | 60-1 | 30-1 | 32-1 |
| 20. Society Man (g) | 50-1 | 60-1 | 60-1 | 46-1 |
| 21. Epic Ride | 35-1 | 65-1 | 40-1 | 45-1 |
| 12. Track Phantom | 20-1 | 70-1 | 50-1 | 41-1 |
| 14. Endlessly | 35-1 | 70-1 | 50-1 | 47-1 |
| 10. T O Password | 33-1 | 75-1 | 80-1 | 48-1 |
| 13. West Saratoga | 50-1 | 90-1 | 40-1 | 23-1 |
| 16. Grand Mo the First | 50-1 | 100-1 | 60-1 | 45-1 |