Inaugural Bettors’ Best Friends Awards: Corrales is top jock

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Of the 245 jockeys with at least 391 mounts this year through Sunday, only Gerardo Corrales sported a better than 20 percent win rate and was among the top two jockeys, according to Horse Racing Nation Impact and return on investment.

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The consistency of winning, expressed in win percentage, combined with outperforming his odds, seen in HRN Impact, and making money for bettors with a positive ROI earned Corrales the HRN Bettors’ Best Friend Award as the top 2022 jockey. Corrales won 156 races from 771 mounts, or 20.2 percent. The expected number of wins based on his starters’ post-time odds was 121, leading to an HRN Impact score of plus 28.4 percent. The only one better was Gaddiel Martinez, whose 62-for-393, 15.7 percent record was good for a plus 29.7 percent HRN Impact. However, that score came with a barely negative ROI of minus 0.7 percent and far fewer mounts.
Bettors’ Best Friends Awards: Lobo is top trainer
Flat-betting Corrales led to a plus 3.8 percent ROI, good for sixth among the aforementioned 245 jockeys. The top ROI belonged to Sahin Civaci, but his win percentage of 16.3 percent and HRN Impact of plus 18.2 percent both fell below Corrales’s lofty metrics.
This chart includes the top 15 jockeys ranked by HRN Impact. On the bottom end, T.D. Houghton ranked last with a minus 30 percent HRN Impact, but there were 11 worse ROIs than his minus 42.7 percent, including Louis Stokes and Colby Hernandez, each at minus 57.1 percent. Stokes also had the lowest win percentage at 5.1. This list included the top 20 percent of the 1,222 jockeys with at least one start this year. Their 158,387 starts were 61 percent of all mounts. HRN Impact used win odds to determine the expected number of wins and compared those to actual wins. Check back this week for Bettors' Best Friend Awards for trainer and sire as well!

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