First Look: Troubleshooting, Mansetti clash at Churchill
Championship season's in the rearview mirror, but the racing calendar keeps churning with horses looking to close out strong campaigns or restart stalled ones. This week brings five stakes races, the kind of schedule that lets you zero in on the best betting opportunities without drowning in options.
Troubleshooting brings a two-race graded-stakes winning streak into Saturday's Grade 3 Commonwealth Turf at Churchill Downs after capturing the Franklin-Simpson (G1) and the Bryan Station (G3). Mansetti crosses the border looking to continue his strong year, having won the King's Plate before coming up just short in the Prince of Wales and Ontario Derby (G3). The wild card? Flying Mohawk returns from a six-month layoff after that forgettable 18th-place finish in the Kentucky Derby 2025, adding blinkers for his first start since getting beat by more than 40 lengths in his only start on dirt.
The Commonwealth Turf (G3) serves as the week's featured event, but Del Mar's Saturday and Sunday cards plus Aqueduct's New York-bred spots give handicappers plenty of chances to cash tickets this week.
Saturday
Commonwealth Turf (G3), Churchill Downs, 1 1/16 miles, turf, 3-year-olds
Troubleshooting took the Franklin-Simpson (G1) by a neck on Sept. 6 at Kentucky Downs then edged Tenacious Leader by a nose in the Bryan Station (G3) on Oct. 25 at Keeneland for back-to-back graded wins. Mansetti took the King's Plate by 2 1/2 lengths on Aug. 16 at Woodbine before finishing second by a neck to Runaway Again in the Prince of Wales on Sept. 9. He'll make his turf debut here after running second by two lengths in the Ontario Derby (G3) on Oct. 18. Flying Mohawk returns from a six-month layoff after ending up 18th in the Kentucky Derby 2025 on May 3, finishing 42 1/4 lengths behind the winner, and adds adding blinkers for his first start since.
2025 Commonwealth Turf Stakes G3
New York Stallion Thunder Rumble, Aqueduct, 7 furlongs, 3-year-olds and up
Bank Frenzy won the Empire Classic on Oct. 25 at Aqueduct by a neck over Doc Sullivan. The 5-year-old New York-bred gelding by Central Banker has won four of six starts in 2025, including the Commentator at Saratoga on June 4 by 1 1/4 lengths. He also scored in the Haynesfield and Stymie at Aqueduct for trainer Rudy Rodriguez.
2025 New York Stallion Thunder Rumble RS
| No. | Silks | Horse / Sire | Rating | Trainer / Jockey | Last Start | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dr. Kraft The Lieutenant |
Ilkay Kantarmaci Flavien Prat |
5th , 2025 Empire Classic LS | Entered | ||
| Last Race | 5th , 2025 Empire Classic LS | |||||
| 2 | Bank Frenzy Central Banker |
6.47 | Rudy Rodriguez Manuel Franco |
1st , 2025 Empire Classic LS | Entered | |
| Last Race | 1st , 2025 Empire Classic LS | |||||
| 3 | General Banker Central Banker |
6.10 | James Ferraro Luis Romero Rivera, Jr. |
6th , Aqu AlwOC (6/27/25-R2) | Entered | |
| Last Race | 6th , Aqu AlwOC (6/27/25-R2) | |||||
| 4 | Doc Sullivan Solomini |
6.55 | John Alexander Ortiz Joel Rosario |
2nd , 2025 Empire Classic LS | Entered | |
| Last Race | 2nd , 2025 Empire Classic LS | |||||
| 5 | Jackson Heights Union Jackson |
5.62 | Ilkay Kantarmaci Jaime Rodriguez |
3rd (110), Aqu AlwOC (11/7/25-R4) | Entered | |
| Last Race | 3rd (110), Aqu AlwOC (11/7/25-R4) | |||||
New York Stallion Staten Island, Aqueduct, 7 furlongs, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up
Sunday Girl has maintained her stakes profile through the fall, placing fourth in the Iroquois (G3) on Oct. 25 at Aqueduct and third in the Endine at Delaware Park on Sept. 27. The daughter of Central Banker captured the John Hettinger by 2 1/4 lengths on June 29 at Aqueduct and assembled a three-race winning streak earlier this year, including the Correction by a nose on March 2 at Aqueduct.
2025 New York Stallion Staten Island RS
| No. | Silks | Horse / Sire | Rating | Trainer / Jockey | Last Start | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stone Smuggler Honest Mischief |
Jorge Abreu Manuel Franco |
6th , 2025 Iroquois RS | Entered | ||
| Last Race | 6th , 2025 Iroquois RS | |||||
| 2 | Midtown Lights Redesdale |
Saffie Joseph, Jr. Javier Castellano |
2nd (105), Aqu AlwOC (11/8/25-R1) | Entered | ||
| Last Race | 2nd (105), Aqu AlwOC (11/8/25-R1) | |||||
| 3 | Soloshot Solomini |
Ilkay Kantarmaci Ruben Silvera |
6th (107), AQU AOC (11/09/2025-R6) | Entered | ||
| Last Race | 6th (107), AQU AOC (11/09/2025-R6) | |||||
| 4 | Khali Magic Al Khali |
4.45 | Rudy Rodriguez Ruben Silvera |
5th , 2025 Iroquois RS | Entered | |
| Last Race | 5th , 2025 Iroquois RS | |||||
| 5 | Storm Changer Name Changer |
Dimitrios Synnefias Jose Gomez |
8th , 2025 Iroquois RS | Entered | ||
| Last Race | 8th , 2025 Iroquois RS | |||||
| 6 | Intentious Solomini |
David Duggan Joel Rosario |
1st (91), BAQ ALW (10/26/2025-R7) | Entered | ||
| Last Race | 1st (91), BAQ ALW (10/26/2025-R7) | |||||
| 7 | Sunday Girl Frankel |
David Duggan Flavien Prat |
3rd , Nby MSW (8/28/25-R4) | Entered | ||
| Last Race | 3rd , Nby MSW (8/28/25-R4) | |||||
Native Diver, Del Mar, 1 1/8 miles, 3-year-olds and up
Privman secured the Tokyo City at Santa Anita on Oct. 25, winning by 1 3/4 lengths after pressing the pace. The 3-year-old son of Justify finished third in the Goodwood (G1) in late September and previously won an allowance race at Del Mar in August after breaking his maiden at the same track in July.
2025 Native Diver Stakes LS
| Silks | Horse / Sire | Rating | Trainer | Last Start | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Privman Justify |
7.30 | Bob Baffert | 1st (132), 2025 Tokyo City Cup LS | Possible | ||
| Last Race | 1st (132), 2025 Tokyo City Cup LS | |||||
| Indispensable Constitution |
7.11 | John Sadler | 3rd , 2025 Ack Ack G3 | Possible | ||
| Last Race | 3rd , 2025 Ack Ack G3 | |||||
| Winterfell Arrogate |
6.12 | Bob Baffert | 5th (126), 2024 Malibu G1 | Possible | ||
| Last Race | 5th (126), 2024 Malibu G1 | |||||
| Westwood Authentic |
6.07 | John Shirreffs | 2nd (112), DMR AOC (10/31/2025-R1) | Possible | ||
| Last Race | 2nd (112), DMR AOC (10/31/2025-R1) | |||||
| British Isles Justify |
Bob Baffert | 1st (119), SA AOC (10/11/2025-R9) | Possible | |||
| Last Race | 1st (119), SA AOC (10/11/2025-R9) | |||||
| Del Mar Jerry Mastery |
Steven Miyadi | 4th (109), SA AOC (10/11/2025-R4) | Possible | |||
| Last Race | 4th (109), SA AOC (10/11/2025-R4) | |||||
| Vodka Vodka Stay Thirsty |
Aggie Ordonez | 1st (117), DMR AOC (10/31/2025-R1) | Possible | |||
| Last Race | 1st (117), DMR AOC (10/31/2025-R1) | |||||
Sunday
Red Carpet (G3), Del Mar, 1 3/8 miles, turf, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up
Mrs. Astor came home third in her most recent start Aug. 15 in Del Mar's CTT and TOC Stakes after the 5-year-old mare had won consecutive stakes. She dominated the Santa Barbara by five lengths May 4 before narrowly capturing the Possibly Perfect by a nose at Santa Anita on June 14.
2025 Red Carpet G3
| Silks | Horse / Sire | Rating | Trainer | Last Start | Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mrs. Astor Lookin At Lucky |
6.74 | Jonathan Thomas | 3rd , 2025 CTT and TOC LS | Probable | ||
| Last Race | 3rd , 2025 CTT and TOC LS | |||||
| Public Assembly More Than Ready |
6.94 | Philip D'Amato | 6th (118), 2025 Goldikova G3 | Possible | ||
| Last Race | 6th (118), 2025 Goldikova G3 | |||||
| Mahina Bolt d'Oro |
6.60 | Patrick Gallagher | 9th (101), 2025 Swingtime RS | Possible | ||
| Last Race | 9th (101), 2025 Swingtime RS | |||||
| Sun Of Hill Camelot Kitten |
6.23 | Philip D'Amato | 7th , 2025 Swingtime RS | Possible | ||
| Last Race | 7th , 2025 Swingtime RS | |||||
| Venganza Curlin |
5.87 | Richard Mandella | 4th (105), 2025 Swingtime RS | Possible | ||
| Last Race | 4th (105), 2025 Swingtime RS | |||||
| Musical Rhapsody Holy Roman Emperor |
5.59 | Philip D'Amato | 5th (112), DMR AOC (08/30/2025-R7) | Possible | ||
| Last Race | 5th (112), DMR AOC (08/30/2025-R7) | |||||
| Eternal Reign Invincible Spirit |
Philip D'Amato | 6th , 2025 Royal Heroine G3 | Possible | |||
| Last Race | 6th , 2025 Royal Heroine G3 | |||||