Hong Kong Gold Cup night: AI trifecta play

Hong Kong presents two Grade 1 races, both of the middle jewel of a Triple Crown. The Hong Kong Gold Cup is the second leg of the Hong Kong Triple Crown, and Romantic Warrior is back to defend his title. The Hong Kong Classic Cup is the second leg of the 4-year-old Triple Crown, where Little Paradise seeks to continue his trek toward a triple - but some tough competition and a longer distance stand in his way.

Additionally, the Hong Kong Gold Cup is a World Pool race, where you can have the benefit of playing with some of the biggest pools anywhere in the world.

The Sha Tin card begins Saturday at 11:30 p.m. EST. Free PPs are available at Horse Racing Nation as well as full card selections. For more free handicapping information, visit the Hong Kong Jockey Club website.

This season we are once again using our Hong Kong AI analysis developed for HRN's machine learning and advanced analytics.

Race 4 - Citigold Handicap - 1:00 am ET

Gold Patch (no 3) is the projected favorite in this race at 1.5 Off Odds. Our model has this price as an overlay with Fair Odds closer to even money.  However, we also see win potential in two other runners.  Motor (no 4) has early pace and could clear from a wide draw at 11.7 Off Odds. Victory Champion (no 10), one of the strongest late pace runners, has an inside draw as well as excellent projected speed and is the projected 2nd choice at 4.5 Off Odds.

We propose a trifecta ticket leaning on these runners while incorporating combinations underneath with horses expected to outperform their Off Odds or be fairly priced in the place and show positions.

$1 Trifecta - 3,4,10 | 3,4,6,7,10 | 2,3,4,6,7,10,11 (60 combinations) = $60

Here are the AI odds and speed ratings.