Hanshin fair odds: Where is value with no strong long shots?

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I'm going to be honest with you. The way my opinion lines up with the expected odds for the listed Hanshin Stakes on Sunday at Churchill Downs makes this my least-favorite type of race to bet.

That is, the logical contenders all make sense and there is not a lot of value because none of the long shots intrigue me.

But there is a reason to play the Hanshin despite being lukewarm about the value opportunity.

I have Zozos as the most likely winner, but he also might be the one to fade the most. He'll definitely take money and has the least amount of upside to be on the ticket. 

Cagliostro most interests me cutting back to a one-turn mile. I loved his return at Keeneland, and he certainly did not embarrass himself when second to Highland Falls in the Blame Stakes (G3). But I am unsure if he will be value in the win pool.

Extra Añejo is the wildcard. His brilliance is unmatched, and being lightly raced gives that air of "how good is he" intrigue. He is the type of horse who I could see singling if you believe in the talent and think is ready for this. 

Charge It is the last of the four who I see as legitimate contenders here. If you have an opinion on any of the other seven, then that is a potential separator for this sequence.

Vertically, I'd be most excited to see Zozos and Charge It get bet, and then I'd lean on Extra Añejo and Cagliostro. If the former gets bet, then I'll need to decide whether he's a toss altogether or whether there's still some value to string him with Cagliostro.

Coverage of selected Churchill Downs stakes is made possible through a marketing co-operative with the Kentucky Thoroughbred Development Fund.

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